Archive for sleepers

Week 10 Buy Low Sell High

Below we have our Week 10 Buy-Low/Sell-High. Take a listen to Smitty and Russ talk specifically about: Ben Roethlisberger, Devonta Freeman, Todd Gurley, Spencer Ware Antonio Brown, DeAndre Hopkins, Dez Bryant, Brandin Cooks

Listen Now! (Buy-Low/Sell-High)

Week 6 Radio Show with Russ Bliss

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Take a listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty on Russ’ Week 6 Fantasy Football Show (The Red Zone), which is on on NBC Sports Radio 1060am. Russ has arguably the longest running fantasy football radio show in the world, and you can check out the entire hour below. Enjoy.

Listen Now!

Video: Fantasy Draft Prep Show

Below is our 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Prep Video Show, a video show created from Starters’ recent Red Zone 1060am NBC Sports Radio fantasy football show.

RB Analysis (32-Team Breakdown)

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Below you will find my take on the 32 running back situations heading into the 2016 fantasy football season!

AFC

BUF: LeSean McCoy RB – The clear starter and potential a top 5-10RB in 2016. Just be sure to handcuff him to Mike Gillislee.

MIA: Arian Foster RB – He should have a nice season per start, but will he start many games, or will he get hurt fast? He should be handcuffed to Jay Ajayi

NE: LeGarrette Blount RB – The early favorite for starter carries with Dion Lewis likely to miss at least 8 weeks. James White and Tyler Gaffney command consideration, as this is NE, anyone could be starting by Week 5.

NYJ: Matt Forte RB – He is 30, and Bilal Powell is kind of a threat, but Forte has a good situation and could be one of this year’s “I shouldn’t have written him off yet as a RB1” type calls.

BAL: RB – While the early favorite to start, Buck Allen, Terrance West and Kenneth Dixon (injured, could miss several weeks) make this a cloudy situation, and one to avoid unless the value is right/low-risk.

CIN: Jeremy Hill RB – This is one undervalued RB that could play like a low-end RB1 this year. Gio Bernard is a solid flex grab all on his own, but a must-own for all Hill owners. Gio would thrive if forced to start, keep that in mind.

CLE: Isaiah Crowell RB – Looking like the clear starter, Crowell has one of the most talented backups in the league right behind him in Duke Johnson (who caught 60 balls for 500+ yards last year in a non-starting role. Imagine him starting and getting the rushes! Duke is the long-term bet come mid-season.

PIT: LeVeon Bell RB – He will miss three games, but he is still a top 7-10 overall pick in redraft. DeAngelo Williams is a must-own and will play like a low-end RB1 in Weeks 1-3.

HOU: Lamar Miller RB – Get ready for a top 5-10RB season!

IND: Frank Gore RB – He is old and injury is always a worry, but rookie Josh Ferguson is not impressing (yet), and Robert Turbin and Jordan Todman are the only other RBs that could steal carries. Todman is talented, but I’m not so sure the team would turn to him (at least right away) if Gore got hurt.

JAC: T.J. Yeldon RB – He’s the back to own if forced to pick between he and co-starter Chris Ivory, however, with Ivory looking like the goal line guy, this is a RBBC to avoid until one becomes the clear starter, which might only happen with injury.

TEN: DeMarco Murray RB – Derrick Henry looks good, and he would thrive starting, but Murray is the main guy and will have a great season if he stays healthy. He’s a sneaky-good RB2 this year, as somehow people are valuing him at lower value than that!

DEN: CJ Anderson RB – The clear starter, but both Devontae Booker and Ronnie Hillman could steal more touches than people think by 3-4 weeks into the season. Booker has the home upside of all the DEN rushers.

KC: Jamaal Charles RB – A top 5-10RB this year according to must, but he MUST be handcuffed to both Spencer Ware/C-West, and owning just the duo backups is often a great strategy to use!

OAK: Latavius Murray RB – The clear starter, but as the season moves along, DeAndre Washington could start making it tough for the Raiders to give Murray all the carries. Murray has the talent, but he needs to step up.

SD: Melvin Gordon RB – Breakout season coming!

NFC

DAL: Ezekiel Elliott RB – He could hit a rookie wall near Weeks 10-11, and that would be a great time to laterally trade in redraft… keep that in mind. But, he has a great situation, and he can be a top 4-8RB in 2016 when all is said and done!

NYG: Rashad Jennings RB – The clear starter, but Shane Vereen will pull in a lot of passes and will cut into the receptions that could be going to Jennings.

PHI: Ryan Mathews RB – He is the clear starter as of now, but staying healthy could be tough for the RB. Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood would fight for carries if Mathews went down.

WAS: Matt Jones RB – Banged up now, he could return in Week 1 or soon after. Rob Kelley is a must-own and will likely start Week 1 if Jones isn’t ready for Week 1.

CHI: Jeremy Langford RB – A big time breakout candidate.

DET: Ameer Abdullah RB – He should breakout this year, but if he drops the ball early and often, look for Theo Riddick to be the guy to own. Interesting fact: Riddick pulled in 80 receptions last year.

GB: Eddie Lacy RB – Lots of bust potential here. James Starks is a must-own.

MIN: Adrian Peterson RB – He should have one more elite season left.

ATL: Devonta Freeman RB – So underrated it’s crazy! He was the top RB last year, and his so called ‘drop off’ was not something that should scare off anyone, as his ‘drop off’ was still an elite RB numbers wise. Tevin Coleman is a must-own.

CAR: Jonathan Stewart RB – Hard to trust the guy, but he is younger than Matt Forte if you can believe that. Cameron Artis-Payne is a must-own.

NO: Mark Ingram RB – A top 10RB if healthy.

TB: Doug Martin RB – Kind of an underrated top 7-10RB this year. Charles Sims is a must-own.

AZ: David Johnson RB – His coaches call him the best receiving back they’ve ever seen — A top 1-3RB season in the cards! Chris Johnson is a must-own.

STL: Todd Gurley RB – Double-digit TDs and 1,400 rushing yards is in the cards in 2016. He might turn out to be a much better WR than people are projecting, keep that in mind, too.

SF: Carlos Hyde RB – A breakout season on the way, he just needs to stay healthy!

SEA: Thomas Rawls RB – The starter, if healthy, but watch out for Christine Michael, who has nothing to lose. He also has tremendous talent. Michael could be a huge force if given starter carries!

Russ’ 2016 eBook Released

Russ Bliss’ eBook Is Here!!!

russ bliss ebook - 2014 fantasy football starters

Russ Bliss’ 2016 eBook is below!

Updated: 7/30/16


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Two Upside Board Predictions Just Added

ffs-upsideboardLooking for 2016 Upside Board predictions? We have you covered. We have already added the first two players to the list for the 2016 fantasy football season. Check them out now!
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Tight Ends Sleepers for 2016

Below you will find a list of 2016 Tight End Sleepers for 2016.

Zach Ertz (TE/PHI)

Chip Kelly held Zach Ertz back a ton in Philly. He did the same to Jordan Matthews. We should see more productive players this year in terms of both of those guys. Ertz has very good TD upside. His TE ADP nears the 10 range, so don’t reach much past that, as he isn’t a sure bet… he is just a nice bet at that 10ish range for TEs for 2016.

Coby Fleener (TE/NO)

His current ADP for tight ends is around the 7-10 range, and with Drew Brees now tossing him the rock, he should have a big season in New Orleans. We would say don’t grab him earlier than you have to, though, but 7-12 for TEs is a great spot. Back him up nicely, though, just in case the transition to NO isn’t a smooth one.

Other TE Sleepers

  • Dwayne Allen (TE/IND)
  • Eric Ebron (TE/DET)
  • Jimmy Graham (TE/SEA)
  • Jordan Cameron (TE/MIA)
  • Richard Rodgers (TE/GB)

Deeper QB Sleepers

Kirk Cousins (QB – WAS)

Kirk Cousins will likely be undervalued in most formats in 2016, as there are just so many quarterbacks to rank above him, like Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Blake Bortles, Russell Wilson, Cam Newton, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Even Ben Roethlisberger and Tony Romo might have more 2016 value than Cousins, to at least some. So, if you want a passer capable of top 5-10 fantasy QB upside, yet he will cost you almost 8-14 overall QB value, well, Cousins is your guy. The risk is super low given that kind of value, just make sure you back him up with another similar 10-15QB option.

Marcus Mariota (QB – TEN)

Like Cousins, by default, 10 or so passers might get ranked above Mariota entering 2016 fantasy football drafts. Mariota has some maturing to do, and he could still be hit and miss in 2016, but he showed tons of promise last year as a rookie, where he threw for 2,818 yards, 19 TDs and 10 INTs, while running for 252 yards two TDs. The additions of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry, defenses will be kept honest, and in turn that will help Mariota hook up with Kendall Wright, Dorial Green-Beckham and Delanie Walker downfield. Don’t be surprised if Mariota totals over 30 TDs (passing and rushing) this upcoming season.

Other QB Sleepers

Derek Carr (QB – OAK)
Jameis Winston (QB – TB)
Robert Griffin III (QB – CLE)

Deep Sleepers: May

There are a ton of deep sleepers to target in 2016 fantasy football drafts, and this article will just touch on a few. We will provide more and more names as we near August, so stay tuned for future versions of this column.

Devontae Booker (RB/DEN)

CJ Anderson might have the starting job locked up in Denver, as he was signed to a huge off-season contract, but don’t sleep on Devontae Booker, a Devonta Freeman type rusher with a ton of determination. He has made it public that he plans to attack the starting gig, and he has the skill set to do it. Anderson isn’t the most secure RB1 in fantasy football, and his ADP is falling despite his huge contract and placement in that lineup. I think people fear that he isn’t for real, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that people aren’t still sleeping on Booker. They are. Take advantage and draft him as a stash type rusher.

Wendell Smallwood (RB/PHI)

Ryan Mathews and aging Darren Sproles are the only thing standing in the way of Smallwood, a runner that could easily be one of the bigger rookie running back surprises in 2016. He may not develop, so it’s important not to reach too high to grab him, but his ADP is in the crazy-low range where he isn’t even showing up in the top 100 of redraft ADPs. He has monster upside with no risk.

Bounce-Back Players for 2016

Below are a list of just a few bounce-back fantasy football candidates heading into the 2016 NFL fantasy football season. Have a few names you want to toss out? Comment below!

Eddie Lacy

Eddie Lacy has reportedly lost 15-18 pounds since the end of last year. Some are even suggesting that he will enter 2016 in the best shape of his life. There are plenty of reasons to doubt him, but if he can be had at RB2 value entering 2016, and currently that’s the case, he has bounce-back written all over him.

Jordy Nelson

Another Packer with bounce-back written all over him. Aaron Rodgers struggled a bit last year, as did the Packers, and one reason is that Rodgers lost Jordy. Jordy is always underrated, but coming off injury, he is more likely to get overlooked than ever. Buy-low, at least until his ADP climbs back into stud range, and it may. Once it does, then he is a tad risky and the appeal is somewhat lost.

Andrew Luck

Most expect a bounce-back, but given that he and Aaron Rodgers both struggled last year, and now with Brady again looking at a 4-game suspension, QBs might fall further than they should in 2016. Take advantage, as Luck (and Rodgers) both have top 10 overall value, it’s just that QBs are waited on in almost every veteran fantasy football draft. At 3rd- and 4th-round value, we say don’t wait, be the one to snag either QB.

Jamaal Charles

He should bounce-back from injury nicely, for at least one season. Don’t spend a top 5RB pick on him, but if you can get him near 2nd-round value, or particularly at 2nd-round value, strike!

DeMarco Murray

Risky, sure, especially with a new team (TEN); however, he is still top 5-10RB skilled, and TEN wanted him, which is a change from his situation in PHI last year. His ADP is in the 3rd/4th, so the risk is very low, whereas the reward is 1st-round possible.