Archive for rb

Todd Gurley or David Johnson?


Obviously we have two very dynamic football players here and we know projecting out numbers with a minimal sample size comes with risk. When David Johnson assumed the role of RB1 for the Cardinals last five regular season games he generated some incredible numbers so much that if we were to use his per game average to forecast his 2016 production it would look something like this 288 attempts, 1,414 yards, 13 Td’s, 54 receptions, 691 yards and 3 Td’s. As it seems by the buzz he is receiving that is what is happening. His performance in the last five, (four) games could not have come at a better for fantasy owners than weeks 13-16, if you played your Championship week 17, Sorry!

Remembering Johnson was the only RB the Cardinals had left standing in that stretch so putting those game averages together over the course of 16 games and assuming he will play all 16 games would almost be irresponsible, the resigning of Chris Johnson is evident Bruce Arians likes his veteran guys so we can figure Chris Johnson and a healthy Andre Ellington will get their’re work. When asked how he will determine the running back rotation the Cardinals heach coach would use terms such as ‘”riding the hot hand”’ and ‘game to game basis’. That question won’’t be asked at Rams’ camp. How much stock do we put into CoachSpeak? I figure David Johnson to account for 55% of the Cardinals rushing attempts. As for the Rams, I have Gurley slated for 70% of the Rams rushing attempts, nothing against Cunningham and Mason, well maybe Mason? This could be the season that answers the some distant rumblings that questions if Gurley may just be a two-down back? I think it is interesting how these two players stack up both 6-’1, 224 Lbs with the same skill sets, playing in the same division, facing the same defenses, will make all things equal when vying for NFC West ground supremacy.

2016 Projection

Todd Gurley 304 attempts, 1473 rushing yards, 13TDs; 35 receptions, 316 receiving yards, 1TD
David Johnson 233 attempts, 1025 rushing yards, 8TDs; 54 receptions, 415 receiving yards, 2TDs

Is Ezekiel Elliott a top 5RB already?

Our Draft Analyzer already has Ezekiel Elliott ranked inside the top 5RBs for 2016 (depending on your entered scoring). Is this premature? Is there too much risk counting on the runner at top 5RB value?

I say he is worth top 5-10RB consideration, no question. I caution anyone to rank him ahead of the big three RBs, LeVeon Bell, Todd Gurley, and David Johnson, but after those big guns, there are a grip of RBs that warrant that 4th rank. Devonta Freeman, Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Charles, there are a handful of running backs worth ranking in that 4th spot, and Elliott has just as much 2016 upside as any of those players. Word out of Dallas is that the rookie could see 300 carries in 2016, and while that is a bit concerning for his dynasty value, as it could wear him down, it’s fantastic news for redraft leaguers who plan to own Zeke. He is in a potent offense behind one of the best offensive lines in the league, and while Tony Romo has had trouble staying healthy over the last couple of years, that Dallas passing game, led by Dez Bryant, will make stacking the box against Elliott extremely tough. Elliott, if healthy, should easily earn top 5-10RB numbers. He could bounce around even higher than that from time to time.

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Breaking News: Jordy Nelson suffers torn ACL?

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Jordy Nelson

8/23/2015: Jordy Nelson has reportedly suffered a torn ACL. He left the team’s second preseason game and went to the ground. He did walk off the field prior, but initial reports are that he suffered a torn ACL. We will confirm all this and get back to you with an update, but give Randall Cobb a big bump into the locked-in fantasy WR1 group (which he was already sniffing), and give Davante Adams a nice bump into a sneaky good fantasy WR3-type value, and look for both Jeff Janis and Ty Montgomery to get some more run. Eddie Lacy also becomes more valuable in the team’s passing attack, making him a top 4 overall lock in all drafts. Aaron Rodgers definitely takes a little hit, but honestly, he is still right there with Andrew Luck regardless. Our Analyzers are updated already reflecting this news. Read More Spotlights

Spotlight: Chris Johnson

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Chris Johnson (RB/FA)

8/11/2015: According to recent reports, the Cardinals have offered free agent RB Chris Johnson a one-year deal. It’s tough to say how accurate these reports are, but even if accurate, it’s even tougher to predict how this will shake out. If you are a dynasty leaguer and have large rosters in your league, he is… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: Ameer Abdullah

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Ameer Abdullah (RB/DET)

8/4/2015: I talked about Ameer Abdullah being one of this year’s biggest sleepers and home run picks back in June, but it’s time to give this topic a bump. His value is climbing, as most all relatively ‘in the know’ fantasy owners out there realize that his time is near. However, he can still EXPLODE from his current ADP (which is gradually climbing upward and is sitting near the 6.01 range). On one hand, that’s your 6th-drafted player in redraft should you take him that high, but with what looks to be a bare minimum of 10-14 touches per game, the risk of disaster (for the cost) is low. On the other hand, because he has “The Next Arian Foster” type feel to him, he could win you a league should he land at 6.01 value. I’ve said this all off-season, and last off-season… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: Arian Foster

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Arian Foster (RB/HOU)

8/4/2015: We have bad news for Arian Foster owners, as the runner is going to have groin surgery and will start the season on the reserve/designated to return list. This could have him sidelined until Week 10. While the Texans could sign another player… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: Chris Johnson

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Chris Johnson (RB/FA)

7/28/2015: According to a few reports, free agent rusher Chris Johnson (CJ2K) has been in contact with the Cowboys, and he has been feeling ‘explosive’ as of late. I will start off by saying that in no way shape or form is Johnson a lock for even landing a job in the NFL, let alone signing with Dallas and beating out all other Dallas rushers, but he should be… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: Duke Johnson

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Duke Johnson (RB/CLE)

7/28/2015: Duke Johnson reportedly took some first-team reps away from Terrance West in minicamp OTAs. Despite the Browns suggesting they will ride the hot hand at the running back position this year, Johnson is a strong prospect and is clearly already gaining some ground/momentum. Everyone should… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: LeVeon Bell

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Le’Veon Bell (RB/PIT)

7/28/2015: Le’Veon Bell’s three-game suspension has been reduced to two games. Bell was facing a three-game suspension for violating the league’s substance-abuse policy. This gives Bell a huge bump, as… Read Spotlight

Spotlight: CJ Anderson

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

CJ Anderson

7/20/2015: CJ Anderson had a fantastic 2014 fantasy campaign, as an early Montee Ball injury opened the door to the Broncos’ starting running back job. Anderson took off with the opportunity, and he even has the support of Peyton Manning right now. So, what’s not to like? Well, I won’t say I don’t like Anderson heading into 2015, and I won’t even predict he fails; however, with… Read Spotlight