Archive for joique bell

NEWS: Reggie Bush limited Wednesday icing his knee; Joique Bell a sleeping giant?

According to reports, Lions RB Reggie Bush (knee) was limited during Wednesday’s practice; Bush was seen icing his knee on Wednesday.

SMITTY: Predicting injury is a tough business to be in, but there is a reason Joique Bell has been one of my biggest sleeper rushers heading into 2014… Bush has huge injury risk with those knees, and given how aggressively he cuts and runs, the odds of Bush getting hurt are better than the odds of him staying healthy, especially given that he played through last year with knee issues. Even in a sharing role, that Lions offense force-feeds Joique Bell solid touches, proof by his 51 yards rushing and 1TD last week. On top of that, the guy catches 50+ passes a season in that sharing role. If not given the majority of carries, Bell still has awesome flex-type value… but, if given a starter’s workload, this could be the runner that puts strong RB2s on many fantasy benches in the near future. I say all this now not so that you all can go buy-high… go buy-low if you can, his value, if healthy, can almost go nowhere but up. Take a look at our Joique Bell Week 1 Power Rankings?

RADIO: Listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2!

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2 of the 2014 fantasy football season! Take a listen!

The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 9/9/14

Guest: Smitty

Topics: Cordarrelle Patterson, Bernard Pierce, Ray Rice, Justin Forsett, Jordan Cameron, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White, Josh Gordon, Wes Welker, Michael Floyd, Andre Ellington, Bobby Rainey, Doug Martin, Eddie Lacy, Golden Tate, Percy Harvin, Anquan Boldin, Joique Bell, Chris Ivory, Keenan Allen

Listen Now!

RADIO: Listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk sleepers on 1060am (8-19-14)

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ first radio show of the 2014 fantasy football season! Russ has been doing fantasy radio for over 20 years with his famous “The Red Zone” program, which airs on NBCSports Radio (1060am). Smitty is slotted to join Russ almost every Tuesday night, and below is the first show of the year. Take a listen!

The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 8/19/14

Guest: Smitty, Gary Davenport

Topics: Sleepers, Draft Strategies

Listen Now!

NEWS: Calvin Johnson making jaw-dropping plays every day in camp?

According to ESPN, Lions WR Calvin Johnson “has looked impressive through the first two weeks of camp, making jaw-dropping plays essentially every day.”

SMITTY: Calvin Johnson is just insanely-talented, there is no other way to put it. I think Julio Jones is right there with him as far as pure physical ability, and of course Dez Bryant and AJ Green are almost right there with those two… receivers are dominating fantasy football consistency right now, and like last year, my favorite plan of attack for upcoming drafts is to go WR/WR and load up on Joique Bell-types at the running back position. I wouldn’t take the WR/WR approach in every league you do, but it’s a fantastic strategy if you know how to land your sleeper rushers. Back on the topic of Lions players, Matthew Stafford could be in for a big year given all his weapons, which includes newly-added Golden Tate, and still-solid Reggie Bush — That’s all on top of having a 100+ and 50+ reception players in both Calvin and Bell. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings on all these guys?

NEWS: Joique Bell (knee) cutting and accelerating with ease on Tuesday?

According to MLive.com, Lions RB Joique Bell, who missed OTAs and minicamp while recovering from a knee injury, was cutting and accelerating with “ease” during Tuesday’s training camp practice.

SMITTY: Player is one of our biggest sleeper rushers heading into this upcoming fantasy season. Why? Well, for a long write-up on the matter, read this. In a nutshell, the guy is a 50-60 reception running back that will likely be asked to run the ball a whole lot more in 2014. Last year, he rushed for 650 yards, pulled in 53 passes for 547 yards, and scored 8TDs. I think all that looks about right for 2014, except he could have a grip more yardage. For exact projections on Bell (and Reggie Bush, who can still produce RB2-type numbers himself in ’14), check out our full-season 2014 Fantasy Football Projections.

NEWS: Trent Richardson expected to have a great season?

According to usatoday.com, Colts coach Chuck Pagano predicts that Trent Richardson will have a “great” season in 2014.

SMITTY: This is a tough one, honestly, it is. I was sold on Trent Richardson last year, and he just didn’t deliver. In his defense, changing teams during a season is never easy, and I watched tape on the runner and he had some strong runs if you dig deep enough. The talent is there, but it’s almost as if his struggles last year were mental and confidence-related. That’s the only part that has me hesitating on his 5th-round ADP. Now, that’s not a bad risk/reward in the 5th-round, as I truly believe T-Rich has the talent, I am just not sure if he has shaken whatever made him ineffective for most all of last season. Here is what you have to ask yourself if on the clock and looking at Richardson’s name tag… are the other available players still a better grab? Players often available at Richardson’s ADP are: Ben Tate, Chris Johnson, Michael Floyd, Jordan Cameron and Joique Bell… All the runners listed have similar risk levels and similar upsides, but I’d have to say a handcuffed Ben Tate seems like the better 5th-round buy heading into August!

Analyzing the July ADP: 2014 Value Grabs

smitty-staff

Ok, so it’s the middle of July, which means that 2014 fantasy football drafts are around the corner. Are you ready? Do you know know where players are falling on average in recent fantasy football mock drafts? Knowing a player’s ADP (average draft position) is a critical aspect of fantasy football drafting, as you always want to maximize draft value with every pick that you make. Now, what does that mean? Here are two examples:

Not Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be drafting Marshawn Lynch in the 1.08-1.09 range. Keep in mind, I am not calling the selecting of Lynch at 1.08-1.09 a bad pick, it’s just not a pick that is going to give you tons of unexpected value. In fact, Lynch has to have a top 5ish fantasy running back season for him to earn you back your investment. While you won’t be able to draft underrated players at every selection, especially in the first round, this is an example of picking a player where he deserves to be selected. There is both nothing wrong with this pick, nor is there anything spectacular about it. It’s just a good predictable pick.

Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be to draft Aaron Rodgers at 3.01. Given that Rodgers could arguably lead all fantasy football players in scoring in 2014, there is a ton of room for over-performing with a 3.01 selection. Again, you can’t find value above and beyond at every turn, but in rounds 2-5 (not so much in round 1), there are handfuls of players that fit the bill.

Ok, so now that I’ve explained “Maximizing Draft Value”, it’s time to call out some “value grabs” heading into early 2014 fantasy football drafts. The ADP data below was provided by our friends over at fantasy football calculator:

2014 Fantasy Football ADP (as of 7/16/14)

1
1.02
LeSean McCoy
RB
PHI
2 1.02 Jamaal Charles RB KC
3 1.03 Adrian Peterson RB MIN
4 1.05 Matt Forte RB CHI
5 1.05 Calvin Johnson WR DET
6 1.06 Eddie Lacy RB GB
7 1.08 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA
8 1.09 Jimmy Graham TE NO
9 1.09 Peyton Manning QB DEN
10 1.09 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
11 1.11 Dez Bryant WR DAL
12 1.12 Montee Ball RB DEN
13 2.01 Arian Foster RB HOU
14 2.02 A.J. Green WR CIN
15 2.03 DeMarco Murray RB DAL
16 2.04 Julio Jones WR ATL
17 2.05 Brandon Marshall WR CHI
18 2.05 LeVeon Bell RB PIT
19 2.07 Giovani Bernard RB CIN
20 2.08 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
21 2.09 Alfred Morris RB WAS
22 2.1 Drew Brees QB NO
23 2.11 Jordy Nelson WR GB
24 2.12 Doug Martin RB TB
25 3.01 Antonio Brown WR PIT
26 3.02 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
27 3.03 Zac Stacy RB STL
28 3.04 Randall Cobb WR GB
29 3.05 Julius Thomas TE DEN
30 3.06 Andre Ellington RB ARI
31 3.07 C.J. Spiller RB BUF
32 3.07 Rob Gronkowski TE NE
33 3.09 Reggie Bush RB DET
34 3.1 Vincent Jackson WR TB
35 3.11 Keenan Allen WR SD
36 4.01 Pierre Garcon WR WAS
37 4.01 Toby Gerhart RB JAC
38 4.03 Bishop Sankey RB TEN
39 4.03 Victor Cruz WR NYG
40 4.05 Ryan Mathews RB SD
41 4.05 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
42 4.06 Rashad Jennings RB NYG
43 4.07 Wes Welker WR DEN
44 4.07 Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN
45 4.09 Percy Harvin WR SEA
46 4.11 Shane Vereen RB NE
47 4.11 Andre Johnson WR HOU
48 4.11 Frank Gore RB SF
49 4.12 Matthew Stafford QB DET
50 4.12 Michael Crabtree WR SF
51 5.02 Roddy White WR ATL
52 5.02 Chris Johnson RB NYJ
53 5.04 DeSean Jackson WR WAS
54 5.05 Trent Richardson RB IND
55 5.07 Andrew Luck QB IND
56 5.07 Ben Tate RB CLE
57 5.08 Michael Floyd WR ARI
58 5.09 Vernon Davis TE SF
59 5.09 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
60 5.1 Jordan Cameron TE CLE
61 5.11 Joique Bell RB DET
62 6.01 Jeremy Maclin WR PHI
63 6.01 Ray Rice RB BAL
64 6.04 Torrey Smith WR BAL
65 6.05 Stevan Ridley RB NE
66 6.06 Nick Foles QB PHI
67 6.06 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
68 6.07 Robert Griffin III QB WAS
69 6.08 Mike Wallace WR MIA
70 6.09 Steven Jackson RB ATL
71 6.1 Julian Edelman WR NE
72 6.11 Jason Witten TE DAL
73 6.11 Pierre Thomas RB NO
74 7.01 Tom Brady QB NE
75 7.02 Marques Colston WR NO
76 7.03 Lamar Miller RB MIA
77 7.05 Maurice Jones-Drew RB OAK
78 7.06 Terrance Williams WR DAL
79 7.06 Matt Ryan QB ATL
80 7.06 Golden Tate WR DET
81 7.07 Jordan Reed TE WAS
82 7.09 Cam Newton QB CAR
83 7.09 Darren Sproles RB PHI
84 7.11 Sammy Watkins WR BUF
85 7.12 Terrance West RB CLE
86 8.01 Kendall Wright WR TEN
87 8.01 Reggie Wayne WR IND
88 8.02 Greg Olsen TE CAR
89 8.03 Colin Kaepernick QB SF
90 8.05 Dennis Pitta TE BAL
91 8.05 Seattle Defense DEF SEA
92 8.05 Bernard Pierce RB BAL
93 8.05 Eric Decker WR NYJ
94 8.08 Tony Romo QB DAL
95 8.09 Darren McFadden RB OAK
96 8.1 Riley Cooper WR PHI
97 8.11 Fred Jackson RB BUF
98 8.12 Kyle Rudolph TE MIN
99 8.12 Brandin Cooks WR NO
100 9.02 Jeremy Hill RB CIN
101 9.03 Knowshon Moreno RB MIA
102 9.04 Khiry Robinson RB NO
103 9.04 Rueben Randle WR NYG
104 9.04 Jay Cutler QB CHI
105 9.05 Danny Woodhead RB SD
106 9.09 Mike Evans WR TB
107 9.09 Hakeem Nicks WR IND
108 9.09 San Francisco Defense DEF SF
109 9.09 Dwayne Bowe WR KC
110 9.1 DeAngelo Williams RB CAR
111 9.11 Tavon Austin WR STL
112 10.01 Philip Rivers QB SD
113 10.03 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
114 10.04 Cecil Shorts WR JAC
115 10.05 Zach Ertz TE PHI
116 10.06 Carolina Defense DEF CAR
117 10.06 Christine Michael RB SEA
118 10.08 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
119 10.08 Russell Wilson QB SEA
120 10.08 Danny Amendola WR NE
121 10.1 Kenny Stills WR NO
122 10.11 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
123 10.12 Denver Defense DEF DEN
124 11.01 Anquan Boldin WR SF
125 11.03 Eric Ebron TE DET
126 11.03 St. Louis Defense DEF STL
127 11.04 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
128 11.04 LeGarrette Blount RB PIT
129 11.05 Marvin Jones WR CIN
130 11.07 Carlos Hyde RB SF
131 11.08 Tre Mason RB STL
132 11.08 Ladarius Green TE SD
133 11.09 Andy Dalton QB CIN
134 11.1 New England Defense DEF NE
135 11.1 Jarrett Boykin WR GB
136 11.11 Jordan Matthews WR PHI
137 11.12 Chris Ivory RB NYJ
138 11.12 Aaron Dobson WR NE
139 12.01 Johnny Manziel QB CLE
140 12.04 David Wilson RB NYG
141 12.05 Arizona Defense DEF ARI
142 12.07 Martellus Bennett TE CHI
143 12.07 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
144 12.08 Steve Smith WR BAL
145 12.09 Cincinnati Defense DEF CIN
146 12.11 James Jones WR OAK
147 12.12 Matt Prater PK DEN
148 13.01 Josh McCown QB TB
149 13.01 Charles Clay TE MIA
150 13.02 Andre Brown RB HOU

Value Grabs

Round One

There never are a lot of over-performing players in the first-round, as you can only over-perform so much from a first-round draft slot. However, if trying to pin down a couple names, I’d say that both Montee Ball and Peyton Manning have the ability to lead their position in scoring, so given they both have ADPs near the tail-end of the first-round, there is some value if we have to muster some up in this first-round.

Rounds 2-3

2.01 – Arian Foster: Honestly, Foster falls a lot further than this in all the drafts I’ve participated in, but because he has top 5RB appeal, even a 2.01 slotting has some value written all over it. So, expect Foster to fall more in the 2.05-2.12 range in your upcoming draft, and that’s fantastic value. Yes, there are some injury concerns, but Foster only has 1,320 regular-season touches to his name, which is 635 less than Marshawn Lynch (1,955) has to his name, and 572 less than Matt Forte (1,892) has to his name.

2.02 – AJ Green: I’m not sure why a receiver that could potentially finish as the No. 1 overall receiver in 2014 sits at 2.02 — That’s quite a bargain, and this data has over 800 drafts averaged.

2.04 – Julio Jones: Everything just said about AJG above can be said here. Are there injury concerns? Sure, but Julio has as much upside and physical ability than any receiver in the league (if not more).

2.07 – Giovani Bernard: While it’s entirely possible the little guy finishes around this range overall come season’s end, he has a ceiling in the top 5-10RB range, so this is a screaming deal, especially in PPR.

2.08 – Aaron Rodgers: I think I already covered how awesome this value is (in paragraph one of this article); the dude can be the No. 1 overall scorer. I don’t care if QBs fall late, or if there is always good QB value later, anytime you can land a player at 2.08 that can lead all fantasy players in scoring, you’re looking at a monster-type steal.

3.06 – Andre Ellington: Some might even think that this ADP is too high for an unproven Arizona rusher, but the soon-to-be sophomore rusher pulled in 39 passes as a rookie! He is easily considered the starter in AZ heading into 2014, and it wouldn’t shock me at all if he drops top 5-10RB numbers. This is a home run pick right here, and if he remains healthy, it’s a pick that won’t likely leave you burned, as he can earn 3.06-type value even if he doesn’t meet my lofty expectations.

3.07 – CJ Spiller: He still has top 10RB appeal, so the risk is low in the middle-to-late third!

Round 4-5

4.07 – Cordarrelle Patterson: There is very little risk right here, as CP can drop low-end WR2-type numbers on a disappointing season. His ceiling is easily top 6-12 for WRs in 2014 and beyond.

5.08 – Michael Floyd: The stud receiver could very well takeover as Arizona’s top option by late this year, or at least early next year. On his journey to that talent level, he should drop super-high fantasy WR2-type numbers.

5.11 – Joique Bell: The runner turns 28 before Week 1, so he is no spring chicken…. just keep that in mind in dynasty, although he has low mileage. For all you yearly-league players out there, this runner could very well crank out high-end fantasy RB2-type stats this upcoming season, which would make him a steal in hindsight when talking about 5.11-type ADP. If healthy, he feels like a lock for 50-60 receptions… I envision him running for 1,000 yards and 6TDs this year, as well… even if he doesn’t, he still earns 5.11-type value in PPR. If he meets my expectations, well, then he crushes 5.11 value!

We could go on and on, as there are handfuls of later-round grabs that could explode from their current ADPs (like Nick Foles in the 6th-round), but this should have you covered through round 5. For more on this topic, or any other, get on the forums!

NEWS: Cordarrelle Patterson says he will be a top-five playmaker in 2014.

According to NFL.com, Vikings WR Cordarrelle Patterson believes he is in for a breakout season in 2014. “I’m going to be a top-five playmaker,” Patterson said. “I’m a playmaker, I like to make plays. Like I tell them, just get the ball in my hands I feel like I’m special with it. I just like to do special things with the ball.”

SMITTY: Cordarrelle Patterson is on most everyone’s breakout radar, however, the guy can still smash his currently-rising ADP, which has now climbed into the 4.12-5.03 range. His ADP has climbed quite a bit over the last two months, there is no denying it, but that doesn’t mean he still can’t nicely outplay it even at 4.12-5.03 value, as that’s where players like Roddy White, Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson and DeSean Jackson are being taken. A couple players below the 4.12 spot are players I like as much as Patterson, like Michael Floyd and Joique Bell, but Patterson has as much value, or more, as some players in the 3rd-round, like Reggie Bush, Vincent Jackson, Victor Cruz, and Ryan Mathews. I love VJax and Cruz this year, so I’m not predicting bust for those guys, I just feel that Patterson also belongs in that late 3rd-round range with those big names, which is fantastic news for those able to snag him in the late 4th- or early 5th-rounds. Want to know where we have all these players ranked based on your exact league scoring? Get your hands on our fantasy football cheat sheets 2014!

NEWS: Joique Bell feels 100 percent; Bell in for a big fantasy season?

According to mlive.com, Lions RB Joique Bell (knee) is full-go and is expected to be ready for minicamp. “I’m feeling 100 percent,” Bell said. “I’m feeling great.”

SMITTY: Joique Bell has breakout/sleeper written all over him. Sure, most knowledgeable fantasy owners know he has nice upside, but I think his ceiling is still quite a bit higher than his current ADP, which is 5.10 to 6.04. Now, Reggie Bush could run the ball 180-200 times, and 50+ receptions is almost a given for Bush (assuming he stays healthy), but the Lions have all kinds of room for both of these guys to produce given that they each pull in 50+ receptions. Bell could run the ball over 200 times and pull in even 55 passes in 2014; he might even punch in 8 scores. That’s high-end RB2 appeal, so 5.10-6.04 is a steal! Note: if Bush or Bell get hurt (and especially if both get hurt), get ready for the Theo Riddick show (grab him in deep leagues and make him a must-own if you have either Bush or Bell or both).

NEWS: Theo Riddick to serve a Darren Sproles-like role in DET?

According to freep.com, Lions back-up QB Dan Orlovsky sees Lions RB Theo Riddick taking on a role similar to that of Darren Sproles and he predicts that Reddick will have a breakout season and pull in 50 passes in 2014. “I’m telling you, if he doesn’t 50 catches this year, I’ll be surprised because he’s going to have opportunities and he’s very talented at it,” Orlovsky said. “I think he’s going to play that Sproles role, for sure.”

SMITTY: It’s important to not overreact with this, as it’s hard to imagine a big receiving or running role being available with both Joique Bell and Reggie Bush set to pull in 50 passes and at least 160-180 rushes each. All that said, keep in mind that Bush has a history of knee issues, so even if Dan Orlovsky is jumping the gun here, it’s not difficult imagining injury coming into play here, and that would absolutely open the door to a grip of carries and receptions. The point here, it might be time to grab Theo Riddick in deep dynasty leagues, as this isn’t the first time his name has come up like this.