Archive for Giovani Bernard

NEWS: Jeremy Hill to have a big season even with Gio getting his?

According to Bengals.com, Bengals coach Marvin Lewis had this to say on why he sent his rookie Jeremy Hill back onto the field in the second-half of the team’s final preseason game: “Well, Jeremy has to understand what it’s like to be an NFL running back. We aren’t five deep. When we get to Sundays and we go down to 46 guys, and if he’s going to be the guy, then he’s going to have to be able to shoulder the load. You can get some good conditioning out here tonight. He’s going to learn to run with his pads down and protect the football. They were good snaps for him to learn with tonight.”

SMITTY: It’s becoming pretty clear that Jeremy Hill has monster sleeper potential at his 9th-round ADP, an ADP I expect to already be in the 8th if drafting let’s say today. This isn’t to say Gio Bernard won’t get his 300 or so touches, there is room for both a 900-1,000 rusher in Hill and at least a 275-300 total touch-type rusher in Gio. Handcuffing these two together is extremely smart, especially if you’re a Gio owner, but Hill is shaping up to be a sleeper RB2 heading into 2014. Check out the changes we made with Jeremy Hill’s Week 1 Power Rankings.

RADIO: Listen Russ Bliss and Smitty Talk Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Montee Ball and more.

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ third radio show of the 2014 fantasy football season! Russ has been doing fantasy radio for over 20 years with his famous “The Red Zone” program, which airs on NBCSports Radio (1060am). Smitty is slotted to join Russ almost every Tuesday night, and below is the third show of the year. Take a listen!

The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 8/26/14

Guest: Smitty,

Topics: Tim Wright, Sam Bradford, Shaun Hill, Zac Stacy, Andre Ellington, Montee Ball, Tony Romo, Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde, Demaryius Thomas, AJ Green, Calvin Johnson, Eddie Lacy, Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Giovani Bernard, Marshawn Lynch, Dez Bryant, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, and more

Listen Now!

NEWS: Giovani Bernard to get a share of goal line carries?

According to reports, Bengals RB Giovani Bernard could get a decent amount of goal-line carries in 2014.

SMITTY: While we expect Jeremy Hill to be a sneaky fantasy flex-play in 2014, which will include a good amount of shots at short-yardage touchdowns, it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Giovani Bernard was used a decent amount near the goal-line. He is just so dynamic, it would be nuts to just run him off the field when the offense was sniffing the end zone. Bernard should be in for 300 total touches this season, with 60-70 of those being receptions. Top 5-10RB numbers are in the cards for Gio, so get ready for the show! Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

Benard Pierce, Carlos Hyde, Jeremy Hill and Lorenzo Taliaferro all look strong in their preseason openers.

Jeremy Hill ran the ball six times for 36 years during his team’s preseason opener on Thursday night. Carlos Hyde ran the ball five times for 39 yards during his preseason debut against the Ravens; In the same game, Ray Rice ran the ball three times for 17 yards, Lorenzo Taliaferro ran the ball 13 times for 71 yards, and Bernard Pierce ran the ball 10 times for 37 yards and 1TD.

SMITTY: Lorenzo Taliaferro looked very good on Thursday night. He ran with authority and power. The problem is, he has two very good runners ahead of him in Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce, who both have very high-end RB2-type upside if getting starter carries. Will this just be a RBBC in 2014? Or, will one runner get starter touches? If so, which one? I hope it’s Pierce, and he does get first crack in Weeks 1 and 2, as Rice is suspended for the season’s first two contests. Taliaferro has nice dynasty appeal despite his crowded situation. Both Carlos Hyde and Jeremy Hill look fantastic already, and both have flex-like value right out of the gate in 2014. Frank Gore is 31 and has a ton of mileage — Hyde is a big sleeper even past his immediate flex-like appeal, and the word is that Hill could get 200 carries in ’14 (and that’s with Giovani Bernard still likely producing top 5-10 fantasy running back numbers). Check out where all these guys rank heading into Week 1.

NEWS: Jeremy Hill to get 10-15 carries in 2014; Gio Bernard still a top 5-10RB candidate?

According to Paul Dehner Jr. on Twitter, Bengals rookie RB Jeremy Hill could be looking at 10-15 carries per-game in 2014.

SMITTY: Jeremy Hill has an ADP of 9.10, which is a steal given that he easily has flex-like appeal right out of the gate in 2014. Even if we use the middle number, 12.5 carries per-game, that’s a 200-carry season, which will net him 850-950 yards, and likely well over 5-8TDs (given he’s the likely goal-line option for the Bengals this upcoming season). Don’t worry, Giovani Bernard owners, this is all great news for you, as it keeps Gio healthy and tough to focus on defensively. Gio could be in for a top 5-7 fantasy running back season in 2014, as he could hit 60-70 receptions, total 1,500 ru/rec yards, and score 5-10 scores (likely on the 10 side). Looking for Week 1 Giovani Bernard LineUp Rankings?

NEWS: Giovani Bernard having an outstanding camp.

According to CBSSports, Bengals RB Giovani Bernard is having an “outstanding” camp. “He’s had an outstanding camp,” assistant coach Hue Jackson said. “He’s so explosive, he can catch the ball, he’s a tough son of a gun. He protects. He blocks.”

SMITTY: Giovani Bernard is one of the biggest steals heading into August drafts, as he has an ADP around the 2.04-2.06 range, yet he has top 5RB upside. And, that’s even assuming that Jeremy Hill produces flex-like fantasy numbers in 2014. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings on both Bernard and Hill?

NEWS: Giovani Bernard to see 260-300 touches; a top 5RB season awaits?

According to ESPN, Bengals RB Giovani Bernard could get 260-300 touches in 2014. “You don’t necessarily have to hand it off and say, ‘Hey, Gio got 260 touches last year out of the backfield.’ Maybe he gets 260 to 300 touches but he gets them some other way,” Bengals running backs coach Kyle Caskey said. “Maybe he gets 200 out of the backfield but he catches 100 passes or however it is. We’ll find a way to get the ball to him.”

SMITTY: If Giovani Bernard sniffs 300 total touches, he will likely be a top 5 fantasy running back this year. I think he will reach near those touch totals, too. The great part? Bernard has an ADP around 2.05-2.07 right now. That’s insanely-good value, the kind of value that can help win a league. Run our Draft Analyzer and get full-season 2014 fantasy football projections on Bernard!

NEWS: Jeremy Hill could breakout in 2014?

According to ESPN’s Coley Harvey, rookie RB Jeremy Hill could breakout in 2014.

SMITTY: Jeremy Hill has a lot of upside, given that Giovani Bernard is going to need all kinds of rest on his way to producing top 4-10 fantasy running back numbers. Even with Bernard playing at that elite-like level, there are a grip of carries leftover for almost a fantasy flex-like role (as both runners can even be on the field at the same time). Looking for Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Giovani Bernard to rush 230 times and pull in 70 passes?

According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, Bengals RB Giovani Bernard will be used early and often in 2014.

SMITTY: The writer predicts 230 carries and 70 receptions for the little guy, which would have him producing 900-1,000 yards on the ground and 600+ receiving yards. I won’t argue against anything in that range, as Giovani Bernard rushed the ball 170 times and pulled in 56 passes as a rookie. With an ADP in the 2.07-3.01, Bernard is shaping up to be a draft day steal.

Analyzing the July ADP: 2014 Value Grabs

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Ok, so it’s the middle of July, which means that 2014 fantasy football drafts are around the corner. Are you ready? Do you know know where players are falling on average in recent fantasy football mock drafts? Knowing a player’s ADP (average draft position) is a critical aspect of fantasy football drafting, as you always want to maximize draft value with every pick that you make. Now, what does that mean? Here are two examples:

Not Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be drafting Marshawn Lynch in the 1.08-1.09 range. Keep in mind, I am not calling the selecting of Lynch at 1.08-1.09 a bad pick, it’s just not a pick that is going to give you tons of unexpected value. In fact, Lynch has to have a top 5ish fantasy running back season for him to earn you back your investment. While you won’t be able to draft underrated players at every selection, especially in the first round, this is an example of picking a player where he deserves to be selected. There is both nothing wrong with this pick, nor is there anything spectacular about it. It’s just a good predictable pick.

Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be to draft Aaron Rodgers at 3.01. Given that Rodgers could arguably lead all fantasy football players in scoring in 2014, there is a ton of room for over-performing with a 3.01 selection. Again, you can’t find value above and beyond at every turn, but in rounds 2-5 (not so much in round 1), there are handfuls of players that fit the bill.

Ok, so now that I’ve explained “Maximizing Draft Value”, it’s time to call out some “value grabs” heading into early 2014 fantasy football drafts. The ADP data below was provided by our friends over at fantasy football calculator:

2014 Fantasy Football ADP (as of 7/16/14)

1
1.02
LeSean McCoy
RB
PHI
2 1.02 Jamaal Charles RB KC
3 1.03 Adrian Peterson RB MIN
4 1.05 Matt Forte RB CHI
5 1.05 Calvin Johnson WR DET
6 1.06 Eddie Lacy RB GB
7 1.08 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA
8 1.09 Jimmy Graham TE NO
9 1.09 Peyton Manning QB DEN
10 1.09 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
11 1.11 Dez Bryant WR DAL
12 1.12 Montee Ball RB DEN
13 2.01 Arian Foster RB HOU
14 2.02 A.J. Green WR CIN
15 2.03 DeMarco Murray RB DAL
16 2.04 Julio Jones WR ATL
17 2.05 Brandon Marshall WR CHI
18 2.05 LeVeon Bell RB PIT
19 2.07 Giovani Bernard RB CIN
20 2.08 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
21 2.09 Alfred Morris RB WAS
22 2.1 Drew Brees QB NO
23 2.11 Jordy Nelson WR GB
24 2.12 Doug Martin RB TB
25 3.01 Antonio Brown WR PIT
26 3.02 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
27 3.03 Zac Stacy RB STL
28 3.04 Randall Cobb WR GB
29 3.05 Julius Thomas TE DEN
30 3.06 Andre Ellington RB ARI
31 3.07 C.J. Spiller RB BUF
32 3.07 Rob Gronkowski TE NE
33 3.09 Reggie Bush RB DET
34 3.1 Vincent Jackson WR TB
35 3.11 Keenan Allen WR SD
36 4.01 Pierre Garcon WR WAS
37 4.01 Toby Gerhart RB JAC
38 4.03 Bishop Sankey RB TEN
39 4.03 Victor Cruz WR NYG
40 4.05 Ryan Mathews RB SD
41 4.05 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
42 4.06 Rashad Jennings RB NYG
43 4.07 Wes Welker WR DEN
44 4.07 Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN
45 4.09 Percy Harvin WR SEA
46 4.11 Shane Vereen RB NE
47 4.11 Andre Johnson WR HOU
48 4.11 Frank Gore RB SF
49 4.12 Matthew Stafford QB DET
50 4.12 Michael Crabtree WR SF
51 5.02 Roddy White WR ATL
52 5.02 Chris Johnson RB NYJ
53 5.04 DeSean Jackson WR WAS
54 5.05 Trent Richardson RB IND
55 5.07 Andrew Luck QB IND
56 5.07 Ben Tate RB CLE
57 5.08 Michael Floyd WR ARI
58 5.09 Vernon Davis TE SF
59 5.09 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
60 5.1 Jordan Cameron TE CLE
61 5.11 Joique Bell RB DET
62 6.01 Jeremy Maclin WR PHI
63 6.01 Ray Rice RB BAL
64 6.04 Torrey Smith WR BAL
65 6.05 Stevan Ridley RB NE
66 6.06 Nick Foles QB PHI
67 6.06 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
68 6.07 Robert Griffin III QB WAS
69 6.08 Mike Wallace WR MIA
70 6.09 Steven Jackson RB ATL
71 6.1 Julian Edelman WR NE
72 6.11 Jason Witten TE DAL
73 6.11 Pierre Thomas RB NO
74 7.01 Tom Brady QB NE
75 7.02 Marques Colston WR NO
76 7.03 Lamar Miller RB MIA
77 7.05 Maurice Jones-Drew RB OAK
78 7.06 Terrance Williams WR DAL
79 7.06 Matt Ryan QB ATL
80 7.06 Golden Tate WR DET
81 7.07 Jordan Reed TE WAS
82 7.09 Cam Newton QB CAR
83 7.09 Darren Sproles RB PHI
84 7.11 Sammy Watkins WR BUF
85 7.12 Terrance West RB CLE
86 8.01 Kendall Wright WR TEN
87 8.01 Reggie Wayne WR IND
88 8.02 Greg Olsen TE CAR
89 8.03 Colin Kaepernick QB SF
90 8.05 Dennis Pitta TE BAL
91 8.05 Seattle Defense DEF SEA
92 8.05 Bernard Pierce RB BAL
93 8.05 Eric Decker WR NYJ
94 8.08 Tony Romo QB DAL
95 8.09 Darren McFadden RB OAK
96 8.1 Riley Cooper WR PHI
97 8.11 Fred Jackson RB BUF
98 8.12 Kyle Rudolph TE MIN
99 8.12 Brandin Cooks WR NO
100 9.02 Jeremy Hill RB CIN
101 9.03 Knowshon Moreno RB MIA
102 9.04 Khiry Robinson RB NO
103 9.04 Rueben Randle WR NYG
104 9.04 Jay Cutler QB CHI
105 9.05 Danny Woodhead RB SD
106 9.09 Mike Evans WR TB
107 9.09 Hakeem Nicks WR IND
108 9.09 San Francisco Defense DEF SF
109 9.09 Dwayne Bowe WR KC
110 9.1 DeAngelo Williams RB CAR
111 9.11 Tavon Austin WR STL
112 10.01 Philip Rivers QB SD
113 10.03 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
114 10.04 Cecil Shorts WR JAC
115 10.05 Zach Ertz TE PHI
116 10.06 Carolina Defense DEF CAR
117 10.06 Christine Michael RB SEA
118 10.08 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
119 10.08 Russell Wilson QB SEA
120 10.08 Danny Amendola WR NE
121 10.1 Kenny Stills WR NO
122 10.11 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
123 10.12 Denver Defense DEF DEN
124 11.01 Anquan Boldin WR SF
125 11.03 Eric Ebron TE DET
126 11.03 St. Louis Defense DEF STL
127 11.04 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
128 11.04 LeGarrette Blount RB PIT
129 11.05 Marvin Jones WR CIN
130 11.07 Carlos Hyde RB SF
131 11.08 Tre Mason RB STL
132 11.08 Ladarius Green TE SD
133 11.09 Andy Dalton QB CIN
134 11.1 New England Defense DEF NE
135 11.1 Jarrett Boykin WR GB
136 11.11 Jordan Matthews WR PHI
137 11.12 Chris Ivory RB NYJ
138 11.12 Aaron Dobson WR NE
139 12.01 Johnny Manziel QB CLE
140 12.04 David Wilson RB NYG
141 12.05 Arizona Defense DEF ARI
142 12.07 Martellus Bennett TE CHI
143 12.07 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
144 12.08 Steve Smith WR BAL
145 12.09 Cincinnati Defense DEF CIN
146 12.11 James Jones WR OAK
147 12.12 Matt Prater PK DEN
148 13.01 Josh McCown QB TB
149 13.01 Charles Clay TE MIA
150 13.02 Andre Brown RB HOU

Value Grabs

Round One

There never are a lot of over-performing players in the first-round, as you can only over-perform so much from a first-round draft slot. However, if trying to pin down a couple names, I’d say that both Montee Ball and Peyton Manning have the ability to lead their position in scoring, so given they both have ADPs near the tail-end of the first-round, there is some value if we have to muster some up in this first-round.

Rounds 2-3

2.01 – Arian Foster: Honestly, Foster falls a lot further than this in all the drafts I’ve participated in, but because he has top 5RB appeal, even a 2.01 slotting has some value written all over it. So, expect Foster to fall more in the 2.05-2.12 range in your upcoming draft, and that’s fantastic value. Yes, there are some injury concerns, but Foster only has 1,320 regular-season touches to his name, which is 635 less than Marshawn Lynch (1,955) has to his name, and 572 less than Matt Forte (1,892) has to his name.

2.02 – AJ Green: I’m not sure why a receiver that could potentially finish as the No. 1 overall receiver in 2014 sits at 2.02 — That’s quite a bargain, and this data has over 800 drafts averaged.

2.04 – Julio Jones: Everything just said about AJG above can be said here. Are there injury concerns? Sure, but Julio has as much upside and physical ability than any receiver in the league (if not more).

2.07 – Giovani Bernard: While it’s entirely possible the little guy finishes around this range overall come season’s end, he has a ceiling in the top 5-10RB range, so this is a screaming deal, especially in PPR.

2.08 – Aaron Rodgers: I think I already covered how awesome this value is (in paragraph one of this article); the dude can be the No. 1 overall scorer. I don’t care if QBs fall late, or if there is always good QB value later, anytime you can land a player at 2.08 that can lead all fantasy players in scoring, you’re looking at a monster-type steal.

3.06 – Andre Ellington: Some might even think that this ADP is too high for an unproven Arizona rusher, but the soon-to-be sophomore rusher pulled in 39 passes as a rookie! He is easily considered the starter in AZ heading into 2014, and it wouldn’t shock me at all if he drops top 5-10RB numbers. This is a home run pick right here, and if he remains healthy, it’s a pick that won’t likely leave you burned, as he can earn 3.06-type value even if he doesn’t meet my lofty expectations.

3.07 – CJ Spiller: He still has top 10RB appeal, so the risk is low in the middle-to-late third!

Round 4-5

4.07 – Cordarrelle Patterson: There is very little risk right here, as CP can drop low-end WR2-type numbers on a disappointing season. His ceiling is easily top 6-12 for WRs in 2014 and beyond.

5.08 – Michael Floyd: The stud receiver could very well takeover as Arizona’s top option by late this year, or at least early next year. On his journey to that talent level, he should drop super-high fantasy WR2-type numbers.

5.11 – Joique Bell: The runner turns 28 before Week 1, so he is no spring chicken…. just keep that in mind in dynasty, although he has low mileage. For all you yearly-league players out there, this runner could very well crank out high-end fantasy RB2-type stats this upcoming season, which would make him a steal in hindsight when talking about 5.11-type ADP. If healthy, he feels like a lock for 50-60 receptions… I envision him running for 1,000 yards and 6TDs this year, as well… even if he doesn’t, he still earns 5.11-type value in PPR. If he meets my expectations, well, then he crushes 5.11 value!

We could go on and on, as there are handfuls of later-round grabs that could explode from their current ADPs (like Nick Foles in the 6th-round), but this should have you covered through round 5. For more on this topic, or any other, get on the forums!