Archive for Doug Martin

NEWS: Roddy White and Doug Martin both inactive for Week 3; Bobby Rainey a RB1 this week and Harry Douglas a sneaky fantasy WR3?

SMITTY: Bobby Rainey is a fantasy RB1 against a Falcons rushing defense that gives up over 150 rushing yards per game and has surrendered 5TDs through the first two weeks. Get Roddy White out of your line-up, and consider Harry Douglas as a spot play this week if you’re in need. Even if you don’t own White, Douglas is a sneaky start if desperate at your fantasy WR3. Julio Jones owners better get ready for a big Week 3! Looking for Week 3 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Bobby Rainey expected to start Week 3 tonight; Doug Martin (knee) unlikely to play?

SMITTY: This is huge news for Bobby Rainey owners, as that Falcons defense is giving 150+ rushing yards per game on the ground, and has surrendered 5TDs through the first two weeks. Be sure to check back last-minute to ensure that Martin is sitting, but all indications are that Rainey will hold low-end RB1-type value in Week 3. Make sure Rainey isn’t available on your waiver wire still! Looking for Week 3 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Doug Martin would have practiced today had the Bucs held a practice?

According to reports, Bucs coach Lovie Smith suggested that if the Bucs held a practice on Monday, Doug Martin (knee) would have participated.

SMITTY: This is solid news for Martin owners, although, even if he can go on Thursday night, Martin might not be in for a full workload. It obviously hurts Bobby Rainey’s upside if Martin plays, so keep tabs on this one, as that Falcons match-up is gold for whomever starts (and if they get starter carries). Looking for Week 3 Power Rankings?

RADIO: Listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2!

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2 of the 2014 fantasy football season! Take a listen!

The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 9/9/14

Guest: Smitty

Topics: Cordarrelle Patterson, Bernard Pierce, Ray Rice, Justin Forsett, Jordan Cameron, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White, Josh Gordon, Wes Welker, Michael Floyd, Andre Ellington, Bobby Rainey, Doug Martin, Eddie Lacy, Golden Tate, Percy Harvin, Anquan Boldin, Joique Bell, Chris Ivory, Keenan Allen

Listen Now!

NEWS: Doug Martin (knee) not seriously hurt?

According to reports, Bucs RB Doug Martin (knee) is not considered seriously hurt.

SMITTY: His knee/leg injury is actually being called “minor” and it’s said that he could have gone back in to the game in Week 1 if he had to. This is great news for those fearing the worst here, but be sure to sign-up for our Smart Alerts so that you get alerted immediately should anything change. We are still a bit cautious with Martin’s Week 2 projections, but he remains a risky low-end RB1 heading into Weeks 2-16.

NEWS: RB Doug Martin did not finish Week 1.

According to reports, Bucs RB Doug Martin rushed just 9 times for 9 yards and pulled in 1 pass for 7 yards in Week 1; he exited the game with a knee injury.

SMITTY: We will keep you posted once we know more, but this isn’t a good thing. Martin didn’t want to speak to the injury until he found out more, so it’s time to get a tad bit worried at least. For more on this, and what to do if you’re a Doug Martin owner, be sure to sign-up for our Smart Alerts.

NEWS: Doug Martin a top 5RB in terms of pure talent?

According to ESPN’s Christopher Harris, Bucs RB Doug Martin is a top 5RB in the NFL based on ‘pure talent.’

SMITTY: It’s an interesting take on the bounce-back candidate, and before anyone jumps all over this analysis, it’s important to keep in mind that Martin was a top 5ish overall pick heading into last off-season. The guy got hurt, it happens. There still is a chance he is a top 5-10 fantasy running back, and with no real competition behind him, his top 22-25 overall ADP is looking pretty solid right now. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Doug Martin expected to be the bell cow in TB?

According to multiple reports, Bucs head coach Lovie Smith has recently called Doug Martin the team’s bell cow heading into 2014.

SMITTY: While this is logical, there were some concerns about a RBBC developing in Tampa Bay this upcoming season after the drafting of rookie RB Charles Sims. Since the rookie suffered his ankle injury, Doug Martin is looking more and more like a very underrated low-end RB1 heading into 2014. How so? His ADP is in the 3.01-3.03 range, which is rather low-risk/high-reward if you ask us. Don’t draft him higher than you need to, as that’s how you minimize the risk with Martin. Looking for Doug Martin Week 1 Power Rankings?

2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft In July (Redraft, PPR)

Below is a 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (in July), and below each round you will find my commentary/take on that round. This mock draft took place on our forums, so it’s a great indicator of current/true player values. The scoring for this fantasy football mock draft was assumed to be PPR, and it was done with a ‘redraft’ (2014 only) frame of mind. Thanks to all who participated. Enjoy.

Round One
1.01 – LeSean McCoy RB
1.02 – Jamaal Charles RB
1.03 – Adrian Peterson RB
1.04 – Calvin Johnson WR
1.05 – Eddie Lacy RB
1.06 – Matt Forte RB
1.07 – AJ Green WR
1.08 – Demariyus Thomas WR
1.09 – Julio Jones WR
1.10 – Jimmy Graham TE
1.11 – Marshawn Lynch RB
1.12 – Dez Byrant WR

Smitty’s Take: There weren’t very many surprises in round one, and their usually aren’t. Sure, a case can be made for Peyton Manning being round one worthy, but it’s not surprising to see him fall to 2.01. LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles and Adrian Peterson are spot on in my book, and I can’t argue a bit with 1.04-1.12 (aside from pushing Manning into that 1.09-1.12 range, which isn’t everyone’s cup of tea).

Round Two
2.01 – Peyton Manning QB
2.02 – Monte Ball RB
2.03 – Aaron Rodgers QB
2.04 – Rob Gronkowski TE
2.05 – Doug Martin RB
2.06 – Brandon Marshall WR
2.07 – Antonio Brown WR
2.08 – Randall Cobb WR
2.09 – Demarco Murray RB
2.10 – Arian Foster RB
2.11 – Leveon Bell RB
2.12 – Julius Thomas TE

Smitty’s Take: Ok, so this is where one draft will look completely different than another draft (even if that mock draft took place on the same exact forum 10 minutes later). I love the value of Montee Ball, even though his value has climbed higher than most expected (aside from us, as we predicted the climb). This is a redraft mock, but we’ve been pimping Ball since last season, and he and Nick Foles (and Christine Michael) have been our top “go get” players all off-season long. This was when Foles was still in most everyone’s bottom-half of their top ten-ranked passers, and this was before Ball started sniffing second-round value (he was even a 4th-round player on average back in February). In redraft, though, don’t shy away from making Ball your second-drafted player, as he is very likely to crank out top 1-5RB numbers in that extremely-potent Denver offense. I wouldn’t even shy away from grabbing him ahead of Lynch in round one. Crazy? Well, let’s talk come season’s end.

Aaron Rodgers probably seems high to some, and not high to others. Frankly, how high QBs go depends on your league and league trends, so anyone suggesting that Rodgers at 2.03 is too early, or too late, is obviously speaking based on trends that they see league-wide. His 2.03 slotting above is neither too early or too late, as he can easily earn top 15 overall value. Doug Martin has a touch more risk than upside at his 2.05 slotting above, but if you can handcuff him to Charles Sims, you can minimize most of that risk. But, if drafting at that spot, I would have let him slide to the 2.10-2.12 range, which is where I’m more comfortable snagging Martin in 2014; he has tons of talent, but he also has an injury label that he needs to shake, plus he has a potential sharing situation heading his way. Arian foster has awesome value heading into 2014, as he constantly falls in that late second-round range. He may go in the first-round in some leagues, as again, every league is different with players like this (faced injury the prior season and has some overworked concerns). He has top 5RB upside, so 2.10 is low-risk/high-reward in my opinion.

Round Three
3.01 – Giovani Bernard RB
3.02 – CJ Spiller RB
3.03 – Nick Foles QB
3.04 – Jordy Nelson WR
3.05 – Victor Cruz WR
3.06 – Drew Brees QB
3.07 – Keenan Allen WR
3.08 – Zac Stacy RB
3.09 – Bishop Stankey RB
3.10 – Cordarrelle Patterson WR
3.11 – Andre Johnson WR
3.12 – Pierre Garcon WR

Smitty’s Take: I love the value of Gio Bernard at 3.01, but I don’t think you will see him fall that far on average. I could be wrong, and I sure hope that I am wrong, as I’d love this value in all my real upcoming 2014 fantasy football drafts. Gio Bernard is fantasy RB1-capable, yet he landed at 3.01 above… that’s crazy-good value, and again, that’s why I think that this won’t happen on average (he will more often be a 2.04-2.08 range player). Cordarrelle Patterson is now creeping into the 3rd-round in a lot of early 2014 mock drafts… expect this trend to continue, possibly even in the upward direction. He can earn that value, though, he has WR1-type upside, I just wonder if that production is still a year away. It might not be, but it gets a bit risky when you’re talking 3rd-round vs. 4th-round is all (I like him a lot in the 4th). Keenan Allen is another player that is climbing mock draft boards as of late, and let me tell you, I see the guy producing borderline low-end fantasy WR1-type numbers this year. He often falls into the 4th-round outside of STARTERS/DraftCalc communities, so snag him in the 4th-round where you can, as he can crush that value! Nick Foles is another player that ranks and gets drafted higher in DraftCalc and FFStarters worlds, so know that he often falls to the 4th-round, or even the 5th-round… and if I consider the 3rd-round still a steal (in terms of what he can do by season’s end), you can imagine how big of a steal he is to me at 4th- and 5th-round value. Use ADP data to your advantage and don’t draft Foles in the 3rd-round if you don’t have to, but I think we’re about to see Foles drop a top 3 fantasy QB season (with appearances with the top 1-2 on lots of occasions).

Round Four
4.01 – Andre Ellington RB
4.02 – Alshon Jefferey WR
4.03 – Matthew Stafford QB
4.04 – Alfred Morris RB
4.05 – Michael Floyd WR
4.06 – Vincent Jackson WR
4.07 – Wes Welker WR
4.08 – Frank Gore RB
4.09 – Andrew Luck QB
4.10 – Kendall Wright WR
4.11 – Percy Harvin WR
4.12 – Shane Vereen RB

Smitty’s Take: Not a lot of surprises in terms of players falling into this round, but I will say that Andre Ellington is the only running back left that has top 5-10 fantasy running back upside. He has almost no risk as a 4th- to 5th-round pick, because he pulled in 39 receptions as a rookie, and 40-50 receptions feels like a given entering his first season as a starter. Ellington has HUGE, HUGE upside! I can’t wait to watch him breakout!

Just Missed The Cut

Now, a 4th-round argument can be made for any of the below players, especially Ben Tate (if handcuffed to Terrance West), Tom Brady, and Chris Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald
Reggie Bush
Sammy Watkins
Ben Tate & Terrance West
Trent Richardson
Toby Gerhart
Chris Johnson
Rashad Jennings
Joique Bell
Cam Newton
Tom Brady
RG3
Ryan Mathews
Mike Evans
Vernon Davis
Ray Rice / Bernard Pierce
Jordan Cameron
Michael Crabtree
Eric Decker
Lamar Miller
Mike Wallace
Matt Ryan
Tony Romo
Hakeem Nicks
Julian Edelman

NEWS: Charles Sims has elite upside; a must-own for Doug Martin owners?

According to joebucsfan.com, Bucs rookie RB Charles Sims has a “Hall Of Fame Chance” despite walking into 2014 as the back-up rusher in Tampa Bay.

SMITTY: According to the article, Howard David (SiriusXM NFL Radio host) thinks that Charles Sims “has Hall of Fame talent in his body.” David said, “I think they got themselves a steal here. I don’t want to give him the bust into Canton just yet, but I think he’s got a chance.” It’s high praise for sure, and it’s important not to get too carried away with such a report, but it’s good for fantasy football owners to responsibly absorb everything that they can, then make informed decisions. The take-away here is this… Doug Martin has low-end fantasy RB1-type talent, but his handcuff (Sims) has been compared to Matt Forte on more than one occasion from more than one scout. Now this… the point here is to not overreact or overvalue Sims, but he does have serious upside, and he is almost a must-own this season for all Martin owners (especially dynasty league owners). Owning both running backs will have you sleeping like a baby, as Martin still has an injury label to shake loose. View where we have both players on our 2014 fantasy football cheat sheets.

Note: Thanks to STARTERS forum moderator rabidbucfan for the heads up on this article.