SMITTY: Things will be official next month, but the often talked about son of Cris Carter is a fine dynasty grab if for whatever reason he is still available on waivers. He is 6-4, so he has great size, and of course great genes, but character issues had him undrafted in 2013, so he is no lock to make the roster in 2015. Grab him on pure spec, though, no question.
SMITTY: This is tipping back in the right direction for TY Hilton owners, as he was looking very iffy to play Week 17 earlier in the week. Still, you have to wonder how much he will play, or for how long. The Colts have made it clear that they won’t bench their starters in Week 17, as they want to gain some confidence heading into the playoffs, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the starters will play the entire game either. It’s risky playing Week 17 in fantasy football, that’s why we recommend all leagues have their fantasy championship in Week 16. However, we are here to support all leagues and types, but just know that Hilton is almost impossible to sit as a fantasy wR2 if playing, but comes with risk. Also, if you need a WR3 or WR4, Donte Moncrief remains a high-risk/super-high-reward play in Week 17 (even after last week’s huge letdown, which was not Moncrief’s fault). Looking for Week 17 Power Rankings?
SMITTY: Nothing is official, but it’s looking like Dwayne Allen is trending to sit Week 17, which would make Coby Fleener a very solid TE play in Week 17. The thinking here is that the Colts will look to get Allen healthy for the playoff battle, and it’s logical. Stay tuned, this could certainly change, but even if he plays, he could play a little, so regardless Fleener is a nice play in a week where big name players aren’t necessarily a lock to produce. While on the topic of the Colts, TY Hilton is back at practice and looking more likely to play Week 17; however, he could play a little or a lot, that’s a risky thing to predict given the Colts will also want to rest Hilton for the playoffs. While he burned many fantasy owners last week (not his fault given how Luck played in Week 16), Donte Moncrief has strong fantasy WR3-type appeal heading into Week 17. Stay tuned on both of these guys! Looking for Week 17 Power Rankings?
SMITTY: Donte Moncrief is a great start with Hilton out.
SMITTY: This sounds like a multiple week injury, at least initially. Stay tuned on this one and be sure to sign up for our Smart Alerts if you haven’t already. Clearly Trent Richardson would gain more value if handed more carries.
SMITTY: Coby Fleener pulled in seven passes for 144 yards in Week 11, so he is absolutely a must-grab, especially if you lost Dwayne Allen or Julius Thomas this week. Both could be back this week, or neither could be back — Stay tuned for injury updates on those two, but grab Fleener if available!
According to ESPN, Colts general manager Ryan Grigson had this to say on RB Trent Richardson: “Trent, he needs to answer the bell and do his job to the best of his ability. We’re all accountable here. I will say this, there are a lot of backs last year that wouldn’t have got [2.4] considering the amount of people he had in that box and the amount of bodies that were hitting him before he even seemed to get the ball sometimes. He’s such a hard runner, we know how tough he is, but he’s got to produce just like all these guys do on this final 53.”
SMITTY: Honestly, there is a lot of truth to the fact that many backs would have done poorly given Trent Richardson’s situation (new environment, lots of stacked boxes, watching his backup come in and see different defensive fronts). That said, Richardson might be battling a head game at this point, and if that remains the case heading into Weeks 1 and 2, he could be in trouble. If he can shake last year’s disappointments, and this year’s fear of repeating all that, I have faith he can run hard and run well. It’s honestly 50/50 that T-Rich shakes this head game – It will be good to analyze him once or twice more prior to Week 1. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?
According to reports, Colts RB Vick Ballard suffered a torn Achilles and is done for the 2014 NFL season.
SMITTY: Not that Vick Ballard was a huge threat to Trent Richardson, but there is one less player to worry about should the Colts have T-Rich on a short leash in 2014. Ahmad Bradshaw averaged 4.5 YPC and scored 2TDs in his three-played games in 2014, so he is the threat to Richardson should he look anything like he did last season. Honestly, though, I am liking T-Rich entering August drafts, as he holds a ridiculously-good 5th-round ADP, which has essentially all risk built right into the investment. He can still be a top 10 fantasy running back. He can bust as well, sure, but he can still be an elite talent, don’t write him off yet. Check out where we have Trent Richardson ranked on our Week 1 Power Rankings.
According to usatoday.com, Colts coach Chuck Pagano predicts that Trent Richardson will have a “great” season in 2014.
SMITTY: This is a tough one, honestly, it is. I was sold on Trent Richardson last year, and he just didn’t deliver. In his defense, changing teams during a season is never easy, and I watched tape on the runner and he had some strong runs if you dig deep enough. The talent is there, but it’s almost as if his struggles last year were mental and confidence-related. That’s the only part that has me hesitating on his 5th-round ADP. Now, that’s not a bad risk/reward in the 5th-round, as I truly believe T-Rich has the talent, I am just not sure if he has shaken whatever made him ineffective for most all of last season. Here is what you have to ask yourself if on the clock and looking at Richardson’s name tag… are the other available players still a better grab? Players often available at Richardson’s ADP are: Ben Tate, Chris Johnson, Michael Floyd, Jordan Cameron and Joique Bell… All the runners listed have similar risk levels and similar upsides, but I’d have to say a handcuffed Ben Tate seems like the better 5th-round buy heading into August!
According to IndyStar.com, Colts WR Donte Moncief has “freakish athleticism” at 6-2, 221 pounds.
SMITTY: I love Donte Moncrief’s upside. He has size (6-2, 221 pounds) and speed (with a 40-time between 4.35-4.40). He could start out slow in terms of production, given he has a grip of decent receivers sitting in front of him, but none have his long-term ceiling. TY Hilton has nice upside for the now and the future, but he is more of high-end fantasy WR3 that can dance with WR2s on frequent occasions. That’s no knock on him, I’m a huge fan and supporter, and he is super-underrated right now (recent article). Moncrief just has that fantasy WR1-type ability, speed and size… while the team currently looks crowded at the position, Reggie Wayne is 35 (coming off knee surgery), Hakeem Nicks is a big talent, but he is on a one-year deal and he is super injury-prone. Da’Rick Rogers has some talent, no doubt, but his ceiling value doesn’t feel near Hilton’s, and it’s likely nowhere close to the value that Moncrief holds. Check out where we have all these Colts receivers ranked, as well as Andrew Luck (who is in for a breakout season) heading into 2014. Look for some Moncrief dynasty write-ups shortly.