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Updated ADP Data (2016)

smitty staff

Below is current 2016 ADP Data (Average Draft Position Data), which was created using a number of reliable ADP data sources in the industry. It’s super important for all fantasy football drafters to take a fresh set of ADP Data with them to their draft, as you need to know where players are getting taken on average. This helps you avoid reaching too early for sleepers and helps you avoid missing out on drafting your targeted players.

ADP Data | 2016

Date: 8/28/16

Pick Name Pos Team Bye
1.01 Antonio Brown WR PIT 8
1.02 Todd Gurley RB LA 8
1.03 Julio Jones WR ATL 11
1.04 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG 8
1.05 David Johnson RB ARI 9
1.06 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 6
1.07 A.J. Green WR CIN 9
1.08 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL 7
1.09 LeVeon Bell RB PIT 8
1.10 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 9
1.11 Dez Bryant WR DAL 7
1.12 Lamar Miller RB HOU 9
2.01 Allen Robinson WR JAC 5
2.02 Rob Gronkowski TE NE 9
2.03 Jamaal Charles RB KC 5
2.04 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 11
2.05 Eddie Lacy RB GB 4
2.06 Devonta Freeman RB ATL 11
2.07 Jordy Nelson WR GB 4
2.08 LeSean McCoy RB BUF 10
2.09 Mike Evans WR TB 6
2.10 Keenan Allen WR SD 11
2.11 Mark Ingram RB NO 5
2.12 Doug Martin RB TB 6
3.01 Amari Cooper WR OAK 10
3.02 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 9
3.03 Brandin Cooks WR NO 5
3.04 CJ Anderson RB DEN 11
3.05 Sammy Watkins WR BUF 10
3.06 Cam Newton QB CAR 7
3.07 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 11
3.08 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 4
3.09 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 7
3.10 Carlos Hyde RB SF 8
3.11 T.Y. Hilton WR IND 10
3.12 Randall Cobb WR GB 4
4.01 DeMarco Murray RB TEN 13
4.02 Jarvis Landry WR MIA 8
4.03 Jeremy Hill RB CIN 9
4.04 Matt Forte RB NYJ 11
4.05 Jeremy Langford RB CHI 9
4.06 Jordan Reed TE WAS 9
4.07 Andrew Luck QB IND 10
4.08 Thomas Rawls RB SEA 5
4.09 Jeremy Maclin WR KC 5
4.10 Julian Edelman WR NE 9
4.11 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 7
4.12 Donte Moncrief WR IND 10
5.01 Latavius Murray RB OAK 10
5.02 Eric Decker WR NYJ 11
5.03 Greg Olsen TE CAR 7
5.04 Russell Wilson QB SEA 5
5.05 Ryan Mathews RB PHI 4
5.06 Melvin Gordon RB SD 11
5.07 Josh Gordon WR CLE 13
5.08 Arian Foster RB MIA 8
5.09 Golden Tate WR DET 10
5.10 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 5
5.11 Michael Floyd WR ARI 9
5.12 Drew Brees QB NO 5
6.01 Allen Hurns WR JAC 5
6.02 Marvin Jones WR DET 10
6.03 DeAngelo Williams RB PIT 8
6.04 Ameer Abdullah RB DET 10
6.05 Rashad Jennings RB NYG 8
6.06 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 8
6.07 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 9
6.08 Tyler Lockett WR SEA 5
6.09 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 11
6.10 Tom Brady QB NE 9
6.11 John Brown WR ARI 9
6.12 Frank Gore RB IND 10
7.01 Matt Jones RB WAS 9
7.02 Travis Kelce TE KC 5
7.03 Coby Fleener TE NO 5
7.04 Delanie Walker TE TEN 13
7.05 Giovani Bernard RB CIN 9
7.06 Duke Johnson RB CLE 13
7.07 Carson Palmer QB ARI 9
7.08 Blake Bortles QB JAC 5
7.09 Derrick Henry RB TEN 13
7.10 Jordan Matthews WR PHI 4
7.11 Tyler Eifert TE CIN 9
7.12 LeGarrette Blount RB NE 9
8.01 DeVante Parker WR MIA 8
8.02 Chris Ivory RB JAC 5
8.03 Danny Woodhead RB SD 11
8.04 Justin Forsett RB BAL 8
8.05 Sterling Shepard WR NYG 8
8.06 Gary Barnidge TE CLE 13
8.07 Eli Manning QB NYG 8
8.08 Corey Coleman WR CLE 13
8.09 DeSean Jackson WR WAS 9
8.10 TJ Yeldon RB JAC 5
8.11 Kevin White WR CHI 9
8.12 Michael Crabtree WR OAK 10
9.01 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 13
9.02 Jay Ajayi RB MIA 8
9.03 Philip Rivers QB SD 11
9.04 Julius Thomas TE JAC 5
9.05 Stefon Diggs WR MIN 6
9.06 Denver Defense DEF DEN 11
9.07 Dion Lewis RB NE 9
9.08 Charles Sims RB TB 6
9.09 Christine Michael RB SEA 5
9.10 Kamar Aiken WR BAL 8
9.11 Derek Carr QB OAK 10
9.12 Tevin Coleman RB ATL 11
10.01 Arizona Defense DEF ARI 9
10.02 Antonio Gates TE SD 11
10.03 Devontae Booker RB DEN 11
10.04 Torrey Smith WR SF 8
10.05 Seattle Defense DEF SEA 5
10.06 Bilal Powell RB NYJ 11
10.07 Travis Benjamin WR SD 11
10.08 Devin Funchess WR CAR 7
10.09 Tyrod Taylor QB BUF 10
10.10 Markus Wheaton WR PIT 8
10.11 Michael Thomas WR NO 5
10.12 Carolina Defense DEF CAR 7
11.01 Jimmy Graham TE SEA 5
11.02 James White RB NE 9
11.03 Kirk Cousins QB WAS 9
11.04 Matthew Stafford QB DET 10
11.05 Willie Snead WR NO 5
11.06 Zach Ertz TE PHI 4
11.07 Kansas City Defense DEF KC 5
11.08 DeAndre Washington RB OAK 10
11.09 Tavon Austin WR LA 8
11.10 Alfred Morris RB DAL 7
11.11 Martellus Bennett TE NE 9
11.12 Mohamed Sanu WR ATL 11
12.01 Steve Smith WR BAL 8
12.02 Vincent Jackson WR TB 6
12.03 Houston Defense DEF HOU 9
12.04 Jameis Winston QB TB 6
12.05 Tyler Boyd WR CIN 9
12.06 Andy Dalton QB CIN 9
12.07 Minnesota Defense DEF MIN 6
12.08 Dwayne Allen TE IND 10
12.09 Chris Johnson RB ARI 9
12.10 Rishard Matthews WR TEN 13
12.11 Tajae Sharpe WR TEN 13
12.12 Theo Riddick RB DET 10
13.01 James Starks RB GB 4
13.02 Matt Ryan QB ATL 11
13.03 Marcus Mariota QB TEN 13
13.04 Robert Griffin III QB CLE 13
13.05 Tony Romo QB DAL 7
13.06 Stephen Gostkowski PK NE 9
13.07 Charcandrick West RB KC 5
13.08 Spencer Ware RB SEA 5
13.09 Sammie Coates WR PIT 8
13.10 NY Jets Defense DEF NYJ 11
13.11 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 6
13.12 Phillip Dorsett WR IND 10
14.01 Terrelle Pryor WR CLE 13
14.02 Darren Sproles RB PHI 4
14.03 Los Angeles Defense DEF LA 8
14.04 Justin Tucker PK BAL 8
14.05 Ladarius Green TE PIT 8
14.06 Jason Witten TE DAL 7
14.07 Laquon Treadwell WR MIN 6
14.08 Jared Cook TE GB 4
14.09 Terrance West RB BAL 8
14.10 Zach Miller TE CHI 9
14.11 Mike Wallace WR BAL 8
14.12 Steven Hauschka PK SEA 5

ADP (Average Draft Positions) Update – July

As we do every month, we have compiled some ADP from some of the more trusted ADP sources on the web.

Undervalued

At a glance, you have to love the ADP values of: Devonta Freeman (17), Amari Cooper (22), Aaron Rodgers (32), Andrew Luck (48), Jeremy Langford (45), Blake Bortles (83)

Overvalued

You have to be cautious with players ranking too high, like: Eddie Lacy (18), Thomas Rawls (28), Kelvin Benjamin (31), Latavius Murray (38)

1 Antonio Brown WR PIT
2 Todd Gurley RB LA
4 Julio Jones WR ATL
3 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
5 Adrian Peterson RB MIN
6 David Johnson RB ARI
7 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
8 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
9 A.J. Green WR CIN
11 Lamar Miller RB HOU
12 Dez Bryant WR DAL
13 Rob Gronkowski TE NE
10 LeVeon Bell RB PIT
16 Allen Robinson WR JAC
14 Jamaal Charles RB KC
17 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
15 Jordy Nelson WR GB
18 Eddie Lacy RB GB
19 Keenan Allen WR SD
20 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
21 Mike Evans WR TB
22 Amari Cooper WR OAK
23 Doug Martin RB TB
25 LeSean McCoy RB BUF
24 Mark Ingram RB NO
26 Brandin Cooks WR NO
27 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
28 Thomas Rawls RB SEA
29 Cam Newton QB CAR
31 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
30 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
32 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
33 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
34 Matt Forte RB NYJ
36 CJ Anderson RB DEN
35 Sammy Watkins WR BUF
37 Randall Cobb WR GB
39 Carlos Hyde RB SF
40 Jarvis Landry WR MIA
41 Julian Edelman WR NE
42 DeMarco Murray RB TEN
43 Jordan Reed TE WAS
44 Golden Tate WR DET
45 Jeremy Langford RB CHI
48 Andrew Luck QB IND
46 Dion Lewis RB NE
47 Doug Baldwin WR SEA
38 Latavius Murray RB OAK
49 Matt Jones RB WAS
51 Russell Wilson QB SEA
50 Jeremy Maclin WR KC
53 Ryan Mathews RB PHI
52 Greg Olsen TE CAR
54 Michael Floyd WR ARI
55 Jeremy Hill RB CIN
57 Donte Moncrief WR IND
58 Allen Hurns WR JAC
56 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
59 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
60 Drew Brees QB NO
61 Jay Ajayi RB MIA
62 Eric Decker WR NYJ
65 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
64 Frank Gore RB IND
66 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
67 Ameer Abdullah RB DET
68 Tyler Eifert TE CIN
63 Chris Ivory RB JAC
69 Melvin Gordon RB SD
70 Jordan Matthews WR PHI
72 Travis Kelce TE KC
73 Duke Johnson RB CLE
74 DeVante Parker WR MIA
75 Giovani Bernard RB CIN
76 DeAngelo Williams RB PIT
77 John Brown WR ARI
78 Delanie Walker TE TEN
71 Tom Brady QB NE
79 Tyler Lockett WR SEA
80 Carson Palmer QB ARI
81 Justin Forsett RB BAL
82 Danny Woodhead RB SD
83 Blake Bortles QB JAC
84 Coby Fleener TE NO
85 Arian Foster RB HOU
86 Kevin White WR CHI
87 DeSean Jackson WR WAS
88 Rashad Jennings RB NYG
89 Michael Crabtree WR OAK
90 Ladarius Green TE PIT
91 TJ Yeldon RB JAC
92 Eli Manning QB NYG
93 Marvin Jones WR DET
94 Tevin Coleman RB ATL
95 Derrick Henry RB TEN
96 Gary Barnidge TE CLE
97 Sterling Shepard WR NYG
98 Philip Rivers QB SD
99 Charles Sims RB TB
100 Markus Wheaton WR PIT
101 Julius Thomas TE JAC
102 Denver Defense DEF DEN
103 Stefon Diggs WR MIN
104 Derek Carr QB OAK
105 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE
106 Corey Coleman WR CLE
107 Arizona Defense DEF ARI
108 Steve Smith WR BAL
109 Torrey Smith WR SF

2016 ADP Rankings (Mid June)

Each month we compile an ADP average from some of the better ADP sources around the internet, and here is our mid June version. Our STARTERS team is hard at work getting the Draft Analyzer ready for 2016, so enjoy this while you wait, but also use this with the Draft Analyzer when you draft, as you want to know where people are drafting these players so that you don’t reach or miss out on acquiring them.

2016 ADP Data (June)

Date: 6/14/16

1 Antonio Brown WR
2 LeVeon Bell RB
3 Todd Gurley RB
4 Julio Jones WR
5 Odell Beckham Jr WR
6 DeAndre Hopkins WR
7 Adrian Peterson RB
8 David Johnson RB
9 Ezekiel Elliott RB
10 Rob Gronkowski TE
11 A.J. Green WR
12 Dez Bryant WR
13 Jamaal Charles RB
14 Lamar Miller RB
15 Allen Robinson WR
16 Devonta Freeman RB
17 Eddie Lacy RB
18 Alshon Jeffery WR
19 Mike Evans WR
20 Jordy Nelson WR
21 Amari Cooper WR
22 Doug Martin RB
23 Keenan Allen WR
24 Mark Ingram RB
25 Demaryius Thomas WR
26 Brandon Marshall WR
27 Matt Forte RB
28 Thomas Rawls RB
29 LeSean McCoy RB
30 Kelvin Benjamin WR
31 Brandin Cooks WR
32 Cam Newton QB
33 T.Y. Hilton WR
34 Aaron Rodgers QB
35 Sammy Watkins WR
36 Julian Edelman WR
37 CJ Anderson RB
38 Carlos Hyde RB
39 Jeremy Langford RB
40 DeMarco Murray RB
41 Jordan Reed TE
42 Jarvis Landry WR
43 Andrew Luck QB
44 Randall Cobb WR
45 Golden Tate WR
46 Matt Jones RB
47 Doug Baldwin WR
48 Jay Ajayi RB
49 Dion Lewis RB
50 Greg Olsen TE
51 Jonathan Stewart RB
52 Jeremy Maclin WR
53 Jeremy Hill RB
54 Ryan Mathews RB
55 Allen Hurns WR
56 Russell Wilson QB
57 Michael Floyd WR
58 Latavius Murray RB
59 Tyler Eifert TE
60 Ben Roethlisberger QB
61 Emmanuel Sanders WR
62 Larry Fitzgerald WR
63 Chris Ivory RB
64 Melvin Gordon RB
65 Travis Kelce TE
66 Eric Decker WR
67 Jordan Matthews WR
68 Tom Brady QB
69 Frank Gore RB
70 Ameer Abdullah RB
71 Drew Brees QB
72 Delanie Walker TE
73 DeVante Parker WR
74 Blake Bortles QB
75 Justin Forsett RB
76 Giovani Bernard RB
77 Coby Fleener TE
78 Duke Johnson RB
79 Kevin White WR
80 John Brown WR
81 Carson Palmer QB
82 Danny Woodhead RB
83 TJ Yeldon RB
84 Tyler Lockett WR
85 Donte Moncrief WR
86 Karlos Williams RB
87 Steve Smith WR
88 Ladarius Green TE
89 DeSean Jackson WR
90 Arian Foster RB
91 Gary Barnidge TE
92 Michael Crabtree WR
93 Philip Rivers QB
94 DeAngelo Williams RB
95 Rashad Jennings RB
96 Isaiah Crowell RB
97 Jimmy Graham TE
98 Dorial Green-Beckham WR
99 Denver Defense DEF
100 Markus Wheaton WR
101 Eli Manning QB
102 Tevin Coleman RB
103 Derek Carr QB
104 Travis Benjamin WR
105 Arizona Defense DEF
106 LeGarrette Blount RB
107 Marvin Jones WR
108 Julius Thomas TE
109 Stefon Diggs WR
110 Seattle Defense DEF
111 Laquon Treadwell WR
112 Tony Romo QB
113 Charcandrick West RB
114 Kirk Cousins QB
115 Charles Sims RB

Updated 2016 ADP (End of May Edition)

It’s important to constantly look at updated ADP Data, and we will have updates in both June and July for this. Here is the final May Redraft edition of 2016 ADP Data for the 2016 fantasy football season.

ADP Data 2016

  1. Antonio Brown WR PIT
  2. Todd Gurley RB LA
  3. LeVeon Bell RB PIT
  4. Julio Jones WR ATL
  5. Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
  6. Adrian Peterson RB MIN
  7. David Johnson RB ARI
  8. DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
  9. Rob Gronkowski TE NE
  10. Dez Bryant WR DAL
  11. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
  12. Allen Robinson WR JAC
  13. Jamaal Charles RB KC
  14. A.J. Green WR CIN
  15. Devonta Freeman RB ATL
  16. Jordy Nelson WR GB
  17. Lamar Miller RB HOU
  18. Eddie Lacy RB GB
  19. Thomas Rawls RB SEA
  20. Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
  21. Amari Cooper WR OAK
  22. Doug Martin RB TB
  23. Mike Evans WR TB
  24. Mark Ingram RB NO
  25. Keenan Allen WR SD
  26. Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
  27. LeSean McCoy RB BUF
  28. Matt Forte RB NYJ
  29. Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
  30. Sammy Watkins WR BUF
  31. Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
  32. Brandin Cooks WR NO
  33. Julian Edelman WR NE
  34. Jeremy Langford RB CHI
  35. Aaron Rodgers QB GB
  36. Cam Newton QB CAR
  37. CJ Anderson RB DEN
  38. T.Y. Hilton WR IND
  39. Jordan Reed TE WAS
  40. DeMarco Murray RB TEN
  41. Jarvis Landry WR MIA
  42. Andrew Luck QB IND
  43. Carlos Hyde RB SF
  44. Randall Cobb WR GB
  45. Matt Jones RB WAS
  46. Golden Tate WR DET
  47. Doug Baldwin WR SEA
  48. Tyler Eifert TE CIN
  49. Dion Lewis RB NE
  50. Jeremy Hill RB CIN
  51. Greg Olsen TE CAR
  52. Jeremy Maclin WR KC
  53. Ryan Mathews RB PHI
  54. Allen Hurns WR JAC
  55. Jay Ajayi RB MIA
  56. Russell Wilson QB SEA
  57. Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
  58. Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
  59. Melvin Gordon RB SD
  60. Travis Kelce TE KC
  61. Jordan Matthews WR PHI
  62. Tom Brady QB NE
  63. Chris Ivory RB JAC
  64. Delanie Walker TE TEN
  65. Ameer Abdullah RB DET
  66. Latavius Murray RB OAK
  67. Eric Decker WR NYJ
  68. Drew Brees QB NO
  69. Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
  70. TJ Yeldon RB JAC
  71. DeVante Parker WR MIA
  72. Michael Floyd WR ARI
  73. Blake Bortles QB JAC
  74. Frank Gore RB IND
  75. Steve Smith WR BAL
  76. Giovani Bernard RB CIN
  77. Carson Palmer QB ARI
  78. Coby Fleener TE NO
  79. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

The clear #1 overall fantasy pick in 2015 is…

smitty staff

So, who is the No. 1 overall pick heading into all 2015 Fantasy Football yearly-league drafts?

While an argument can easily be made for a handful of players, like Adrian Peterson and LeVeon Bell (even with the scheduled missed games), my clear #1 overall pick in 2015 is…

Read More

2015 Average Draft Positions: April

smitty staff

Ok, so it’s only the middle of April, and 2015 Average Draft Positions (ADPs) are hardly settled, especially with the upcoming 2015 NFL Draft…. that said, it’s still fun, and important, to dig into the data and find out which players are looking overvalued heading into the upcoming fantasy football season, and which players look like early sleeper candidates.

This is REDRAFT ADP Data.

2015 ADP Data

Date: 4/21/15 | Source: Mixture of Industry-leading ‘Redraft’ ADPs

Note: I have placed notes next to certain players that are worth talking about, good or bad.

1 LeVeon Bell RB PIT – Keep in mind that a lot of this ADP data piled on prior to his suspension being announced, but even if we looked at only recent drafts, he will likely be near top 5.

2 Jamaal Charles RB KC

3 Eddie Lacy RB GB

4 Adrian Peterson RB MIN – Surprisingly high for even redraft ADP data, but certainly still worth this pick. He could still be the No. 1 rusher in fantasy.

5 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA

6 Antonio Brown WR PIT – Not surprising, however, his value is almost too high for him to exceed any further expectations. I’d almost rather trade down and land an AJ Green or Julio Jones in the 18-20ish range, thus moving up in a draft at other spots.

7 Matt Forte RB CHI – Year of decline? Or, does he have one more top 1-5RB season left? Certainly consider selling in dynasty. This is redraft ADP Data, though, so this slot is warranted, but concern is present for sure, even in redraft.

8 Rob Gronkowski TE NE

9 Dez Bryant WR DAL

10 DeMarco Murray RB PHI – Solid value, but still ranked about right given the risks involved in moving teams, getting hurt, and playing for an offense that just had LeSean McCoy bust.

11 LeSean McCoy RB BUF

12 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG – This is high, but he is worth the ranking.

13 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN – Solid value, but also a decent place to slot him given there are ‘some’ questions about Peyton Manning delivering top 1-3QB numbers this year.

14 Calvin Johnson WR DET – Very solid value. He is still Calvin, and unless we’re talking dynasty, he has No. 1WR upside still.

15 Arian Foster RB HOU – Foster was on our Upside Board last year, and for good reason. However, this year, there is a touch more risk he misses more than 1-2 games.

16 Jordy Nelson WR GB – Solid value, as always. He is always an underrated fantasy WR1.

17 Julio Jones WR ATL – Huge upside ranked this late, but about right given the risks. I like this value vs risk, it’s a risk worth taking given his 1-3 fantasy wide receiver ceiling.

18 A.J. Green WR CIN – Steal. It’s hard to imagine him not earning at least this value, and that screams sleeper given the slot, as he could be a top 1-4 fantasy wide receiver this season.

19 Aaron Rodgers QB GB – Some say a QB in the second is too early. I say no way, not when you’re talking Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck, as both have No. 1 overall upside in most all formats (especially leagues where QBs get 6pts per TD.

20 CJ Anderson RB DEN – It’s too risky counting on this situation as your RB2.

21 Jeremy Hill RB CIN – While I love Hill, who was an Upside Board player last year, ranking No. 21 means he has less upside than most would like. This seems like a fair value type slotting, meaning the ‘ceiling’ value isn’t through the roof.

22 Andrew Luck QB IND – See what I just said above regarding Aaron Rodgers.

23 Randall Cobb WR GB

24 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI – A top 5 fantasy WR season on the way?

25 T.Y. Hilton WR IND

26 Carlos Hyde RB SF – Get ready, this kid could be a top 5-10RB, a potential that makes this 26th overall ranking very solid.

27 Mike Evans WR TB – Beast in the making.

28 Jimmy Graham TE SEA – Solid value given he could still rival Rob Gronkowski. “Could” being the keyword, as we just don’t know what is in store for Graham in Seattle.

29 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN – This is a risky third player to draft in 2015. I like him as a 4th- or 5th-drafted player, but it seems like his ADP is just too high to snag him at those levels. I say pass on him in 2015, he has to play out of his mind to earn his value back, and that is questionable given how so many are predicting less passing in DEN in 2015.

30 Justin Forsett RB BAL – Risky in some ways, still solid ‘upside’ down here at No. 30 overall. What BAL does in the draft will move this guy around a ton between now and 2015.

31 Lamar Miller RB MIA – A former Upside Board candidate that could explode later than expected? We have always seen top 5-10RB numbers in this kid, he just needs/needed a chance.

32 Mark Ingram RB NO – Solid value given his ceiling. His playing time and job security are the risks, but that seems pretty well built into his ADP at this point. Great news.

33 Frank Gore RB IND – He could squeeze out one more elite year in this situation. Then again, it wouldn’t be all that shocking to see him just have decent success, or great success here and there.

34 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR – Solid future, and very solid value given he has WR2 upside.

35 Alfred Morris RB WAS

36 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU

37 Peyton Manning QB DEN – Are there concerns? Sure, but at this value who cares?

38 Joique Bell RB DET

39 Tre Mason RB STL – Top 10RB in the making? Or, is he yet another runner that will be overlooked and underutilized by his coaching staff?

40 Jordan Matthews WR PHI – Nice situation, huge talent.

41 Brandin Cooks WR NO – This screams value, as he could catch 90+ balls in 2015 – easy.

42 Latavius Murray RB OAK – Huge sleeper, but will OAK draft a runner? Will Oakland screw this up? They could, but the risk seems built into the ADP. Trust in Murray at 42 overall value, no question. He is worth that risk!

43 Russell Wilson QB SEA

44 Julian Edelman WR NE

45 Sammy Watkins WR BUF – Sleeper. Wow. In redraft, at least, it appears Sammy Watkins is being overlooked. Take full advantage.

46 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR – Not sure I trust him, even here. I wouldn’t call this all that risky, though, but with players like Drew Brees, brandon Marshall, Andre Johnson, Martavis Bryant, Jarvis Landry and Tom Brady still available in redraft, I couldn’t take JStew just yet.

47 Drew Brees QB NO – Steal in redraft.

48 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ – Solid value, but it looks like many fear a decline in NY this year. Again, solid value, but expectations should be somewhat curbed in NY.

49 Andre Ellington RB ARI

50 Golden Tate WR DET

51 Greg Olsen TE CAR

52 Andre Johnson WR IND – He still could be elite, for at least this year, in IND.

53 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE

54 Travis Kelce TE KC

55 Jarvis Landry WR MIA – Like with Sammy Watkins above, wow. This is great value in redraft.

56 Devonta Freeman RB ATL

57 Jeremy Maclin WR KC

58 Martavis Bryant WR PIT – Steal.

59 Tom Brady QB NE – Solid value.

60 Rashad Jennings RB NYG

61 DeSean Jackson WR WAS

62 C.J. Spiller RB NO – Huge appeal at this value. He could bust, sure, but the risk is minimal at 62 overall.

63 Giovani Bernard RB CIN – Don’t write him off after one year. CIN has room for both he and Jeremy Hill. He is worth the gamble at this slot, no question.

64 Keenan Allen WR SD

65 Todd Gurley RB FA – Steal. He may not play right away, or if he does, he could be limited. That doesn’t matter. He could be a top 10RB once he does get into his team’s line-up.

66 Julius Thomas TE JAC

67 Martellus Bennett TE CHI

68 Victor Cruz WR NYG – This is way too high given his injury.

69 Matt Ryan QB ATL

70 Darren McFadden RB DAL

71 LeGarrette Blount RB PIT

72 Mike Wallace WR MIN

73 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT

74 Ryan Mathews RB PHI

75 Roddy White WR ATL

76 Denard Robinson RB JAC

77 Michael Floyd WR ARI

78 Cam Newton QB CAR

79 Doug Martin RB TB

80 Antonio Gates TE SD

81 Vincent Jackson WR TB

82 Torrey Smith WR BAL

83 Tony Romo QB DAL

84 Branden Oliver RB SD

85 Matthew Stafford QB DET

86 Brandon LaFell WR NE

87 Kenny Stills WR MIA

88 Melvin Gordon RB FA – This is high-way robbery, but I don’t see Melvin Gordon ranking this low after the draft. Look for him to be a 3rd- to 4th-round pick come August. Expect that, at least.

89 Shane Vereen RB NYG

90 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN

91 Bishop Sankey RB TEN

92 Chris Ivory RB NYJ

93 Donte Moncrief WR IND – Could breakout in 2015.

94 Jordan Cameron TE MIA

95 Owen Daniels TE DEN

96 Eli Manning QB NYG

97 Steve Smith WR BAL

98 Dwayne Allen TE IND

99 Knile Davis RB KC

100 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

ARTICLE: Update August 29th ADP Data

Below is ADP (Average Draft Positions lists out there) Data as of today, August 29th, 2014. This is actually an average of the averages, as we use multiple industry ADPs and average that data together (including our friends over at FFCalc). This data is critical info to have on draft day, as it tells you where players are getting drafted on average — You don’t want to reach on your sleepers, as the value and upside is often how late you can grab them.

[table id=4 /]

2014 ADP Data – As of August 16th 2014

Below is updated ADP (Average Draft Position) Data as of August 16th, 2014. It was compiled using FFCalc’s redraft ADP, along with a few other sources around the industry — So, it’s an average of the averages. Enjoy, and please comment below on any players that stand out (as overvalued or undervalued).

2014 ADP Data | As of 8/16/14

[table id=3 /]

Analyzing the July ADP: 2014 Value Grabs

smitty-staff

Ok, so it’s the middle of July, which means that 2014 fantasy football drafts are around the corner. Are you ready? Do you know know where players are falling on average in recent fantasy football mock drafts? Knowing a player’s ADP (average draft position) is a critical aspect of fantasy football drafting, as you always want to maximize draft value with every pick that you make. Now, what does that mean? Here are two examples:

Not Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be drafting Marshawn Lynch in the 1.08-1.09 range. Keep in mind, I am not calling the selecting of Lynch at 1.08-1.09 a bad pick, it’s just not a pick that is going to give you tons of unexpected value. In fact, Lynch has to have a top 5ish fantasy running back season for him to earn you back your investment. While you won’t be able to draft underrated players at every selection, especially in the first round, this is an example of picking a player where he deserves to be selected. There is both nothing wrong with this pick, nor is there anything spectacular about it. It’s just a good predictable pick.

Maximizing Draft Value

An example of this would be to draft Aaron Rodgers at 3.01. Given that Rodgers could arguably lead all fantasy football players in scoring in 2014, there is a ton of room for over-performing with a 3.01 selection. Again, you can’t find value above and beyond at every turn, but in rounds 2-5 (not so much in round 1), there are handfuls of players that fit the bill.

Ok, so now that I’ve explained “Maximizing Draft Value”, it’s time to call out some “value grabs” heading into early 2014 fantasy football drafts. The ADP data below was provided by our friends over at fantasy football calculator:

2014 Fantasy Football ADP (as of 7/16/14)

[table id=2 /]

Value Grabs

Round One

There never are a lot of over-performing players in the first-round, as you can only over-perform so much from a first-round draft slot. However, if trying to pin down a couple names, I’d say that both Montee Ball and Peyton Manning have the ability to lead their position in scoring, so given they both have ADPs near the tail-end of the first-round, there is some value if we have to muster some up in this first-round.

Rounds 2-3

2.01 – Arian Foster: Honestly, Foster falls a lot further than this in all the drafts I’ve participated in, but because he has top 5RB appeal, even a 2.01 slotting has some value written all over it. So, expect Foster to fall more in the 2.05-2.12 range in your upcoming draft, and that’s fantastic value. Yes, there are some injury concerns, but Foster only has 1,320 regular-season touches to his name, which is 635 less than Marshawn Lynch (1,955) has to his name, and 572 less than Matt Forte (1,892) has to his name.

2.02 – AJ Green: I’m not sure why a receiver that could potentially finish as the No. 1 overall receiver in 2014 sits at 2.02 — That’s quite a bargain, and this data has over 800 drafts averaged.

2.04 – Julio Jones: Everything just said about AJG above can be said here. Are there injury concerns? Sure, but Julio has as much upside and physical ability than any receiver in the league (if not more).

2.07 – Giovani Bernard: While it’s entirely possible the little guy finishes around this range overall come season’s end, he has a ceiling in the top 5-10RB range, so this is a screaming deal, especially in PPR.

2.08 – Aaron Rodgers: I think I already covered how awesome this value is (in paragraph one of this article); the dude can be the No. 1 overall scorer. I don’t care if QBs fall late, or if there is always good QB value later, anytime you can land a player at 2.08 that can lead all fantasy players in scoring, you’re looking at a monster-type steal.

3.06 – Andre Ellington: Some might even think that this ADP is too high for an unproven Arizona rusher, but the soon-to-be sophomore rusher pulled in 39 passes as a rookie! He is easily considered the starter in AZ heading into 2014, and it wouldn’t shock me at all if he drops top 5-10RB numbers. This is a home run pick right here, and if he remains healthy, it’s a pick that won’t likely leave you burned, as he can earn 3.06-type value even if he doesn’t meet my lofty expectations.

3.07 – CJ Spiller: He still has top 10RB appeal, so the risk is low in the middle-to-late third!

Round 4-5

4.07 – Cordarrelle Patterson: There is very little risk right here, as CP can drop low-end WR2-type numbers on a disappointing season. His ceiling is easily top 6-12 for WRs in 2014 and beyond.

5.08 – Michael Floyd: The stud receiver could very well takeover as Arizona’s top option by late this year, or at least early next year. On his journey to that talent level, he should drop super-high fantasy WR2-type numbers.

5.11 – Joique Bell: The runner turns 28 before Week 1, so he is no spring chicken…. just keep that in mind in dynasty, although he has low mileage. For all you yearly-league players out there, this runner could very well crank out high-end fantasy RB2-type stats this upcoming season, which would make him a steal in hindsight when talking about 5.11-type ADP. If healthy, he feels like a lock for 50-60 receptions… I envision him running for 1,000 yards and 6TDs this year, as well… even if he doesn’t, he still earns 5.11-type value in PPR. If he meets my expectations, well, then he crushes 5.11 value!

We could go on and on, as there are handfuls of later-round grabs that could explode from their current ADPs (like Nick Foles in the 6th-round), but this should have you covered through round 5. For more on this topic, or any other, get on the forums!