Archive for adp data

ADP (Average Draft Positions) Update – July

As we do every month, we have compiled some ADP from some of the more trusted ADP sources on the web.

Undervalued

At a glance, you have to love the ADP values of: Devonta Freeman (17), Amari Cooper (22), Aaron Rodgers (32), Andrew Luck (48), Jeremy Langford (45), Blake Bortles (83)

Overvalued

You have to be cautious with players ranking too high, like: Eddie Lacy (18), Thomas Rawls (28), Kelvin Benjamin (31), Latavius Murray (38)

1 Antonio Brown WR PIT
2 Todd Gurley RB LA
4 Julio Jones WR ATL
3 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
5 Adrian Peterson RB MIN
6 David Johnson RB ARI
7 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
8 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
9 A.J. Green WR CIN
11 Lamar Miller RB HOU
12 Dez Bryant WR DAL
13 Rob Gronkowski TE NE
10 LeVeon Bell RB PIT
16 Allen Robinson WR JAC
14 Jamaal Charles RB KC
17 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
15 Jordy Nelson WR GB
18 Eddie Lacy RB GB
19 Keenan Allen WR SD
20 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
21 Mike Evans WR TB
22 Amari Cooper WR OAK
23 Doug Martin RB TB
25 LeSean McCoy RB BUF
24 Mark Ingram RB NO
26 Brandin Cooks WR NO
27 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
28 Thomas Rawls RB SEA
29 Cam Newton QB CAR
31 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
30 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
32 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
33 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
34 Matt Forte RB NYJ
36 CJ Anderson RB DEN
35 Sammy Watkins WR BUF
37 Randall Cobb WR GB
39 Carlos Hyde RB SF
40 Jarvis Landry WR MIA
41 Julian Edelman WR NE
42 DeMarco Murray RB TEN
43 Jordan Reed TE WAS
44 Golden Tate WR DET
45 Jeremy Langford RB CHI
48 Andrew Luck QB IND
46 Dion Lewis RB NE
47 Doug Baldwin WR SEA
38 Latavius Murray RB OAK
49 Matt Jones RB WAS
51 Russell Wilson QB SEA
50 Jeremy Maclin WR KC
53 Ryan Mathews RB PHI
52 Greg Olsen TE CAR
54 Michael Floyd WR ARI
55 Jeremy Hill RB CIN
57 Donte Moncrief WR IND
58 Allen Hurns WR JAC
56 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
59 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
60 Drew Brees QB NO
61 Jay Ajayi RB MIA
62 Eric Decker WR NYJ
65 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
64 Frank Gore RB IND
66 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
67 Ameer Abdullah RB DET
68 Tyler Eifert TE CIN
63 Chris Ivory RB JAC
69 Melvin Gordon RB SD
70 Jordan Matthews WR PHI
72 Travis Kelce TE KC
73 Duke Johnson RB CLE
74 DeVante Parker WR MIA
75 Giovani Bernard RB CIN
76 DeAngelo Williams RB PIT
77 John Brown WR ARI
78 Delanie Walker TE TEN
71 Tom Brady QB NE
79 Tyler Lockett WR SEA
80 Carson Palmer QB ARI
81 Justin Forsett RB BAL
82 Danny Woodhead RB SD
83 Blake Bortles QB JAC
84 Coby Fleener TE NO
85 Arian Foster RB HOU
86 Kevin White WR CHI
87 DeSean Jackson WR WAS
88 Rashad Jennings RB NYG
89 Michael Crabtree WR OAK
90 Ladarius Green TE PIT
91 TJ Yeldon RB JAC
92 Eli Manning QB NYG
93 Marvin Jones WR DET
94 Tevin Coleman RB ATL
95 Derrick Henry RB TEN
96 Gary Barnidge TE CLE
97 Sterling Shepard WR NYG
98 Philip Rivers QB SD
99 Charles Sims RB TB
100 Markus Wheaton WR PIT
101 Julius Thomas TE JAC
102 Denver Defense DEF DEN
103 Stefon Diggs WR MIN
104 Derek Carr QB OAK
105 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE
106 Corey Coleman WR CLE
107 Arizona Defense DEF ARI
108 Steve Smith WR BAL
109 Torrey Smith WR SF

Updated 2016 ADP (End of May Edition)

It’s important to constantly look at updated ADP Data, and we will have updates in both June and July for this. Here is the final May Redraft edition of 2016 ADP Data for the 2016 fantasy football season.

ADP Data 2016

  1. Antonio Brown WR PIT
  2. Todd Gurley RB LA
  3. LeVeon Bell RB PIT
  4. Julio Jones WR ATL
  5. Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
  6. Adrian Peterson RB MIN
  7. David Johnson RB ARI
  8. DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
  9. Rob Gronkowski TE NE
  10. Dez Bryant WR DAL
  11. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
  12. Allen Robinson WR JAC
  13. Jamaal Charles RB KC
  14. A.J. Green WR CIN
  15. Devonta Freeman RB ATL
  16. Jordy Nelson WR GB
  17. Lamar Miller RB HOU
  18. Eddie Lacy RB GB
  19. Thomas Rawls RB SEA
  20. Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
  21. Amari Cooper WR OAK
  22. Doug Martin RB TB
  23. Mike Evans WR TB
  24. Mark Ingram RB NO
  25. Keenan Allen WR SD
  26. Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
  27. LeSean McCoy RB BUF
  28. Matt Forte RB NYJ
  29. Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
  30. Sammy Watkins WR BUF
  31. Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
  32. Brandin Cooks WR NO
  33. Julian Edelman WR NE
  34. Jeremy Langford RB CHI
  35. Aaron Rodgers QB GB
  36. Cam Newton QB CAR
  37. CJ Anderson RB DEN
  38. T.Y. Hilton WR IND
  39. Jordan Reed TE WAS
  40. DeMarco Murray RB TEN
  41. Jarvis Landry WR MIA
  42. Andrew Luck QB IND
  43. Carlos Hyde RB SF
  44. Randall Cobb WR GB
  45. Matt Jones RB WAS
  46. Golden Tate WR DET
  47. Doug Baldwin WR SEA
  48. Tyler Eifert TE CIN
  49. Dion Lewis RB NE
  50. Jeremy Hill RB CIN
  51. Greg Olsen TE CAR
  52. Jeremy Maclin WR KC
  53. Ryan Mathews RB PHI
  54. Allen Hurns WR JAC
  55. Jay Ajayi RB MIA
  56. Russell Wilson QB SEA
  57. Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
  58. Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
  59. Melvin Gordon RB SD
  60. Travis Kelce TE KC
  61. Jordan Matthews WR PHI
  62. Tom Brady QB NE
  63. Chris Ivory RB JAC
  64. Delanie Walker TE TEN
  65. Ameer Abdullah RB DET
  66. Latavius Murray RB OAK
  67. Eric Decker WR NYJ
  68. Drew Brees QB NO
  69. Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
  70. TJ Yeldon RB JAC
  71. DeVante Parker WR MIA
  72. Michael Floyd WR ARI
  73. Blake Bortles QB JAC
  74. Frank Gore RB IND
  75. Steve Smith WR BAL
  76. Giovani Bernard RB CIN
  77. Carson Palmer QB ARI
  78. Coby Fleener TE NO
  79. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

2015 Average Draft Positions: April

smitty staff

Ok, so it’s only the middle of April, and 2015 Average Draft Positions (ADPs) are hardly settled, especially with the upcoming 2015 NFL Draft…. that said, it’s still fun, and important, to dig into the data and find out which players are looking overvalued heading into the upcoming fantasy football season, and which players look like early sleeper candidates.

This is REDRAFT ADP Data.

2015 ADP Data

Date: 4/21/15 | Source: Mixture of Industry-leading ‘Redraft’ ADPs

Note: I have placed notes next to certain players that are worth talking about, good or bad.

1 LeVeon Bell RB PIT – Keep in mind that a lot of this ADP data piled on prior to his suspension being announced, but even if we looked at only recent drafts, he will likely be near top 5.

2 Jamaal Charles RB KC

3 Eddie Lacy RB GB

4 Adrian Peterson RB MIN – Surprisingly high for even redraft ADP data, but certainly still worth this pick. He could still be the No. 1 rusher in fantasy.

5 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA

6 Antonio Brown WR PIT – Not surprising, however, his value is almost too high for him to exceed any further expectations. I’d almost rather trade down and land an AJ Green or Julio Jones in the 18-20ish range, thus moving up in a draft at other spots.

7 Matt Forte RB CHI – Year of decline? Or, does he have one more top 1-5RB season left? Certainly consider selling in dynasty. This is redraft ADP Data, though, so this slot is warranted, but concern is present for sure, even in redraft.

8 Rob Gronkowski TE NE

9 Dez Bryant WR DAL

10 DeMarco Murray RB PHI – Solid value, but still ranked about right given the risks involved in moving teams, getting hurt, and playing for an offense that just had LeSean McCoy bust.

11 LeSean McCoy RB BUF

12 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG – This is high, but he is worth the ranking.

13 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN – Solid value, but also a decent place to slot him given there are ‘some’ questions about Peyton Manning delivering top 1-3QB numbers this year.

14 Calvin Johnson WR DET – Very solid value. He is still Calvin, and unless we’re talking dynasty, he has No. 1WR upside still.

15 Arian Foster RB HOU – Foster was on our Upside Board last year, and for good reason. However, this year, there is a touch more risk he misses more than 1-2 games.

16 Jordy Nelson WR GB – Solid value, as always. He is always an underrated fantasy WR1.

17 Julio Jones WR ATL – Huge upside ranked this late, but about right given the risks. I like this value vs risk, it’s a risk worth taking given his 1-3 fantasy wide receiver ceiling.

18 A.J. Green WR CIN – Steal. It’s hard to imagine him not earning at least this value, and that screams sleeper given the slot, as he could be a top 1-4 fantasy wide receiver this season.

19 Aaron Rodgers QB GB – Some say a QB in the second is too early. I say no way, not when you’re talking Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck, as both have No. 1 overall upside in most all formats (especially leagues where QBs get 6pts per TD.

20 CJ Anderson RB DEN – It’s too risky counting on this situation as your RB2.

21 Jeremy Hill RB CIN – While I love Hill, who was an Upside Board player last year, ranking No. 21 means he has less upside than most would like. This seems like a fair value type slotting, meaning the ‘ceiling’ value isn’t through the roof.

22 Andrew Luck QB IND – See what I just said above regarding Aaron Rodgers.

23 Randall Cobb WR GB

24 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI – A top 5 fantasy WR season on the way?

25 T.Y. Hilton WR IND

26 Carlos Hyde RB SF – Get ready, this kid could be a top 5-10RB, a potential that makes this 26th overall ranking very solid.

27 Mike Evans WR TB – Beast in the making.

28 Jimmy Graham TE SEA – Solid value given he could still rival Rob Gronkowski. “Could” being the keyword, as we just don’t know what is in store for Graham in Seattle.

29 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN – This is a risky third player to draft in 2015. I like him as a 4th- or 5th-drafted player, but it seems like his ADP is just too high to snag him at those levels. I say pass on him in 2015, he has to play out of his mind to earn his value back, and that is questionable given how so many are predicting less passing in DEN in 2015.

30 Justin Forsett RB BAL – Risky in some ways, still solid ‘upside’ down here at No. 30 overall. What BAL does in the draft will move this guy around a ton between now and 2015.

31 Lamar Miller RB MIA – A former Upside Board candidate that could explode later than expected? We have always seen top 5-10RB numbers in this kid, he just needs/needed a chance.

32 Mark Ingram RB NO – Solid value given his ceiling. His playing time and job security are the risks, but that seems pretty well built into his ADP at this point. Great news.

33 Frank Gore RB IND – He could squeeze out one more elite year in this situation. Then again, it wouldn’t be all that shocking to see him just have decent success, or great success here and there.

34 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR – Solid future, and very solid value given he has WR2 upside.

35 Alfred Morris RB WAS

36 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU

37 Peyton Manning QB DEN – Are there concerns? Sure, but at this value who cares?

38 Joique Bell RB DET

39 Tre Mason RB STL – Top 10RB in the making? Or, is he yet another runner that will be overlooked and underutilized by his coaching staff?

40 Jordan Matthews WR PHI – Nice situation, huge talent.

41 Brandin Cooks WR NO – This screams value, as he could catch 90+ balls in 2015 – easy.

42 Latavius Murray RB OAK – Huge sleeper, but will OAK draft a runner? Will Oakland screw this up? They could, but the risk seems built into the ADP. Trust in Murray at 42 overall value, no question. He is worth that risk!

43 Russell Wilson QB SEA

44 Julian Edelman WR NE

45 Sammy Watkins WR BUF – Sleeper. Wow. In redraft, at least, it appears Sammy Watkins is being overlooked. Take full advantage.

46 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR – Not sure I trust him, even here. I wouldn’t call this all that risky, though, but with players like Drew Brees, brandon Marshall, Andre Johnson, Martavis Bryant, Jarvis Landry and Tom Brady still available in redraft, I couldn’t take JStew just yet.

47 Drew Brees QB NO – Steal in redraft.

48 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ – Solid value, but it looks like many fear a decline in NY this year. Again, solid value, but expectations should be somewhat curbed in NY.

49 Andre Ellington RB ARI

50 Golden Tate WR DET

51 Greg Olsen TE CAR

52 Andre Johnson WR IND – He still could be elite, for at least this year, in IND.

53 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE

54 Travis Kelce TE KC

55 Jarvis Landry WR MIA – Like with Sammy Watkins above, wow. This is great value in redraft.

56 Devonta Freeman RB ATL

57 Jeremy Maclin WR KC

58 Martavis Bryant WR PIT – Steal.

59 Tom Brady QB NE – Solid value.

60 Rashad Jennings RB NYG

61 DeSean Jackson WR WAS

62 C.J. Spiller RB NO – Huge appeal at this value. He could bust, sure, but the risk is minimal at 62 overall.

63 Giovani Bernard RB CIN – Don’t write him off after one year. CIN has room for both he and Jeremy Hill. He is worth the gamble at this slot, no question.

64 Keenan Allen WR SD

65 Todd Gurley RB FA – Steal. He may not play right away, or if he does, he could be limited. That doesn’t matter. He could be a top 10RB once he does get into his team’s line-up.

66 Julius Thomas TE JAC

67 Martellus Bennett TE CHI

68 Victor Cruz WR NYG – This is way too high given his injury.

69 Matt Ryan QB ATL

70 Darren McFadden RB DAL

71 LeGarrette Blount RB PIT

72 Mike Wallace WR MIN

73 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT

74 Ryan Mathews RB PHI

75 Roddy White WR ATL

76 Denard Robinson RB JAC

77 Michael Floyd WR ARI

78 Cam Newton QB CAR

79 Doug Martin RB TB

80 Antonio Gates TE SD

81 Vincent Jackson WR TB

82 Torrey Smith WR BAL

83 Tony Romo QB DAL

84 Branden Oliver RB SD

85 Matthew Stafford QB DET

86 Brandon LaFell WR NE

87 Kenny Stills WR MIA

88 Melvin Gordon RB FA – This is high-way robbery, but I don’t see Melvin Gordon ranking this low after the draft. Look for him to be a 3rd- to 4th-round pick come August. Expect that, at least.

89 Shane Vereen RB NYG

90 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN

91 Bishop Sankey RB TEN

92 Chris Ivory RB NYJ

93 Donte Moncrief WR IND – Could breakout in 2015.

94 Jordan Cameron TE MIA

95 Owen Daniels TE DEN

96 Eli Manning QB NYG

97 Steve Smith WR BAL

98 Dwayne Allen TE IND

99 Knile Davis RB KC

100 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

ARTICLE: Update August 29th ADP Data

Below is ADP (Average Draft Positions lists out there) Data as of today, August 29th, 2014. This is actually an average of the averages, as we use multiple industry ADPs and average that data together (including our friends over at FFCalc). This data is critical info to have on draft day, as it tells you where players are getting drafted on average — You don’t want to reach on your sleepers, as the value and upside is often how late you can grab them.

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