Archive for 502

NEWS: Ryan Fitzpatrick benched; Houston to start Ryan Mallett in Week 11 after the bye.

SMITTY: You have to think the team will lean on Arian Foster more than ever coming out of the bye. But, can Foster hold up? We love Foster, he was on the Upside Board this year among the 12 names listed on the list… however, now is a time to sell-high, as he commands a ton! Don’t sell-low, and don’t even consider selling at fair market value… sell-high or not at all. Looking for Week 10 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Andrew Luck, TY Hilton, Arian Foster and Andre Johnson go nuts on Thursday night.

SMITTY: What a fantasy contest this one was. Andrew Luck threw for 370 yards, 3TDs, and 1INT against the Texans in this Week 6 Thursday night battle, and TY Hilton pulled in 9 balls for 223 yards and a score. On the Texans’ side of the football, Andre Johnson pulled in 7 balls for 99 yards and a TD, while Arian Foster totled 109 rushing yards and 2TDs on 20 rushes (and pulled in 3 passes for 32 yards. While I love Hilton, and think he could continue to play at a high level, he isn’t a bad sell-high candidate coming off this one… same goes for Andre Johnson, whom I also like, but he could still be inconsistent this season, so test those trade waters using our Trade Analyzer. Also, looking for Week 6 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Week 5 Quick-Hitting Probable/Questionable/Out List

We have so many probable, questionable and out players to report on today, I tossed a majority of them into this one post. It looks like Reggie Bush is going to get a ton of work in Week 5, he is an excellent start this week. Good luck with all your decisions, folks, and be sure to get on our forums and get some last-minute line-up advice!

Probable Players for Week 5

A.J. Green (toe) was limited in practice on Friday, but is probable for Week 5.
Julio Jones (ankle) is probable for Week 5.
Dez Bryant (shoulder) is probable for Week 5.
Jamaal Charles (ankle) is probable for Week 5.
Andre Ellington (foot) is probable for Week 5.
Jordan Cameron (shoulder) is probable for Week 5.
Arian Foster (hamstring) is probable for Week 5.
Tony Romo (back) is probable for Week 5.
Golden Tate (hamstring) is probable for Week 5.
Ladarius Green (hamstring) is probable for Week 5.
Sammy Watkins (ribs) is probable for Week 5.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (foot) is listed as questionable for Week 5.
Ben Tate is probable for Week 5.

Questionable Players for Week 5

Andre Johnson (ankle) was held out of Friday’s practice and is questionable for Week 5.
Vernon Davis (back) is questionable for Week 5.

Out Players for Week 5

Joique Bell is out for Week 5.

NEWS: Arian Foster and Andre Johnson increase activity on Tuesday.

According to chron.com, both Arian Foster and Andre Johnson increased their activity on Tuesday.

SMITTY: Arian Foster reportedly ran well with the first-team, showing good acceleration, and Andre Johnson also saw action with the first-team. All good signs and both have top 5-10 upside at their positions heading into 2014. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings on these guys?

NEWS: Andre Johnson and Arian Foster back practicing.

According to Dave Zangaro on Twitter, both Texans WR Andre Johnson (hamstring) and RB Arian Foster (hamstring) are back at practice.

SMITTY: This is great news for both players. If healthy, both have top five upside at their position. Looking for Arian Foster and Andre Johnson Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: DeAndre Hopkins catching nearly everything?

According to houstontexans.com, Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins “has caught nearly everything” in camp and “since Andre’s been out of practice, he’s starred… can’t wait to see him battle with Patrick Peterson on Sunday night…ready for next step.”

SMITTY: We were higher on DeAndre Hopkins than just about any site on the planet heading into the 2013 NFL Draft — I still love his upside. It could take him one more year before he becomes a top 10-15 fantasy WR, but he could certainly show signs of those talent levels here and there in 2014. He is an excellent sleeper fantasy WR3 heading into August. For one more season, Andre Johnson holds fantasy WR1-type value. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Andre Johnson reports to camp on FRI.

According to numerous reports, Texans WR Andre Johnson reported to Texans camp on Friday.

SMITTY: This is great news for Andre Johnson owners. As we’ve said several times this off-season, even though we expect to see flashes of brilliance out of DeAndre Hopkins (as Johnson slowly transitions the WR1 targets to the receiver), AJ still likely has one more top 10 fantasy wide receiver season left in him, yes even at 33.

WR Andre Johnson expected to report to camp on time.

According to Houston Chronicle’s Jerome Solomon, Texans WR Andre Johnson is “expected to be at camp on time” and “was at NRG Stadium yesterday.”

SMITTY: Andre Johnson, now 33, is winding down talent-wise if you’re examining the situation from a dynasty perspective; however, if anyone can crank out a top 4-10 fantasy wide receiver season at the age of 33, it’s Johnson. As for DeAndre Hopkins, we should start seeing flashes of brilliance here and there in 2014, as he could be a 80/1200/8TD guy come 2015. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings for Andre Johnson?

NEWS: Andre Johnson looking more likely to report to camp?

UPDATE: (7/10/14) According to NFL.com, Andre Johnson will be an instant distraction, as the receiver doesn’t want to play for the Texans this season; four teams are reportedly interested in trading for Johnson. Johnson also is reportedly willing to restructure his current contract in order to facilitate a trade.

According to Ian Rapoport on Twitter, when asked if he show up for Texans camp, Texans WR Andre Johnson said, “Hopefully. We’ll see what happens. Camp is 3 weeks away.”

SMITTY: Andre Johnson is expected to report to camp, as his holdout has a lot to do with wanting to get out of Houston, it’s not about getting a big extension. Johnson has an ADP near the 4.10-5.02 range, which is a bargain given he still might have one more fantasy WR1-type season left in the tank. The veteran turns 33 tomorrow, and while most receivers rarely play at that elite level at 33, Johnson should be an exception to the rule. DeAndre Hopkins might start showing flashes of WR2-type numbers in 2014, which will setup an even better 2015. Johnson sits atop tier 2 receivers on our 2014 fantasy football cheat sheets.

2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft In July (Redraft, PPR)

Below is a 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (in July), and below each round you will find my commentary/take on that round. This mock draft took place on our forums, so it’s a great indicator of current/true player values. The scoring for this fantasy football mock draft was assumed to be PPR, and it was done with a ‘redraft’ (2014 only) frame of mind. Thanks to all who participated. Enjoy.

Round One
1.01 – LeSean McCoy RB
1.02 – Jamaal Charles RB
1.03 – Adrian Peterson RB
1.04 – Calvin Johnson WR
1.05 – Eddie Lacy RB
1.06 – Matt Forte RB
1.07 – AJ Green WR
1.08 – Demariyus Thomas WR
1.09 – Julio Jones WR
1.10 – Jimmy Graham TE
1.11 – Marshawn Lynch RB
1.12 – Dez Byrant WR

Smitty’s Take: There weren’t very many surprises in round one, and their usually aren’t. Sure, a case can be made for Peyton Manning being round one worthy, but it’s not surprising to see him fall to 2.01. LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles and Adrian Peterson are spot on in my book, and I can’t argue a bit with 1.04-1.12 (aside from pushing Manning into that 1.09-1.12 range, which isn’t everyone’s cup of tea).

Round Two
2.01 – Peyton Manning QB
2.02 – Monte Ball RB
2.03 – Aaron Rodgers QB
2.04 – Rob Gronkowski TE
2.05 – Doug Martin RB
2.06 – Brandon Marshall WR
2.07 – Antonio Brown WR
2.08 – Randall Cobb WR
2.09 – Demarco Murray RB
2.10 – Arian Foster RB
2.11 – Leveon Bell RB
2.12 – Julius Thomas TE

Smitty’s Take: Ok, so this is where one draft will look completely different than another draft (even if that mock draft took place on the same exact forum 10 minutes later). I love the value of Montee Ball, even though his value has climbed higher than most expected (aside from us, as we predicted the climb). This is a redraft mock, but we’ve been pimping Ball since last season, and he and Nick Foles (and Christine Michael) have been our top “go get” players all off-season long. This was when Foles was still in most everyone’s bottom-half of their top ten-ranked passers, and this was before Ball started sniffing second-round value (he was even a 4th-round player on average back in February). In redraft, though, don’t shy away from making Ball your second-drafted player, as he is very likely to crank out top 1-5RB numbers in that extremely-potent Denver offense. I wouldn’t even shy away from grabbing him ahead of Lynch in round one. Crazy? Well, let’s talk come season’s end.

Aaron Rodgers probably seems high to some, and not high to others. Frankly, how high QBs go depends on your league and league trends, so anyone suggesting that Rodgers at 2.03 is too early, or too late, is obviously speaking based on trends that they see league-wide. His 2.03 slotting above is neither too early or too late, as he can easily earn top 15 overall value. Doug Martin has a touch more risk than upside at his 2.05 slotting above, but if you can handcuff him to Charles Sims, you can minimize most of that risk. But, if drafting at that spot, I would have let him slide to the 2.10-2.12 range, which is where I’m more comfortable snagging Martin in 2014; he has tons of talent, but he also has an injury label that he needs to shake, plus he has a potential sharing situation heading his way. Arian foster has awesome value heading into 2014, as he constantly falls in that late second-round range. He may go in the first-round in some leagues, as again, every league is different with players like this (faced injury the prior season and has some overworked concerns). He has top 5RB upside, so 2.10 is low-risk/high-reward in my opinion.

Round Three
3.01 – Giovani Bernard RB
3.02 – CJ Spiller RB
3.03 – Nick Foles QB
3.04 – Jordy Nelson WR
3.05 – Victor Cruz WR
3.06 – Drew Brees QB
3.07 – Keenan Allen WR
3.08 – Zac Stacy RB
3.09 – Bishop Stankey RB
3.10 – Cordarrelle Patterson WR
3.11 – Andre Johnson WR
3.12 – Pierre Garcon WR

Smitty’s Take: I love the value of Gio Bernard at 3.01, but I don’t think you will see him fall that far on average. I could be wrong, and I sure hope that I am wrong, as I’d love this value in all my real upcoming 2014 fantasy football drafts. Gio Bernard is fantasy RB1-capable, yet he landed at 3.01 above… that’s crazy-good value, and again, that’s why I think that this won’t happen on average (he will more often be a 2.04-2.08 range player). Cordarrelle Patterson is now creeping into the 3rd-round in a lot of early 2014 mock drafts… expect this trend to continue, possibly even in the upward direction. He can earn that value, though, he has WR1-type upside, I just wonder if that production is still a year away. It might not be, but it gets a bit risky when you’re talking 3rd-round vs. 4th-round is all (I like him a lot in the 4th). Keenan Allen is another player that is climbing mock draft boards as of late, and let me tell you, I see the guy producing borderline low-end fantasy WR1-type numbers this year. He often falls into the 4th-round outside of STARTERS/DraftCalc communities, so snag him in the 4th-round where you can, as he can crush that value! Nick Foles is another player that ranks and gets drafted higher in DraftCalc and FFStarters worlds, so know that he often falls to the 4th-round, or even the 5th-round… and if I consider the 3rd-round still a steal (in terms of what he can do by season’s end), you can imagine how big of a steal he is to me at 4th- and 5th-round value. Use ADP data to your advantage and don’t draft Foles in the 3rd-round if you don’t have to, but I think we’re about to see Foles drop a top 3 fantasy QB season (with appearances with the top 1-2 on lots of occasions).

Round Four
4.01 – Andre Ellington RB
4.02 – Alshon Jefferey WR
4.03 – Matthew Stafford QB
4.04 – Alfred Morris RB
4.05 – Michael Floyd WR
4.06 – Vincent Jackson WR
4.07 – Wes Welker WR
4.08 – Frank Gore RB
4.09 – Andrew Luck QB
4.10 – Kendall Wright WR
4.11 – Percy Harvin WR
4.12 – Shane Vereen RB

Smitty’s Take: Not a lot of surprises in terms of players falling into this round, but I will say that Andre Ellington is the only running back left that has top 5-10 fantasy running back upside. He has almost no risk as a 4th- to 5th-round pick, because he pulled in 39 receptions as a rookie, and 40-50 receptions feels like a given entering his first season as a starter. Ellington has HUGE, HUGE upside! I can’t wait to watch him breakout!

Just Missed The Cut

Now, a 4th-round argument can be made for any of the below players, especially Ben Tate (if handcuffed to Terrance West), Tom Brady, and Chris Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald
Reggie Bush
Sammy Watkins
Ben Tate & Terrance West
Trent Richardson
Toby Gerhart
Chris Johnson
Rashad Jennings
Joique Bell
Cam Newton
Tom Brady
RG3
Ryan Mathews
Mike Evans
Vernon Davis
Ray Rice / Bernard Pierce
Jordan Cameron
Michael Crabtree
Eric Decker
Lamar Miller
Mike Wallace
Matt Ryan
Tony Romo
Hakeem Nicks
Julian Edelman