Archive for 4818

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski expected to play Week 1.

According to reports, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (knee) is ‘expected’ to play Week 1 against the Dolphins.

SMITTY: Be certain to sign up for our Smart Alerts if you want last-minute news on Gronk on Sunday morning. Also, we just sent out a Smart Alert on this matter (right now) with “waiver wire” implications.

NEWS: Tom Brady calf injury not considered serious.

According to reports, Patriots QB Tom Brady (calf) is not serious. Rob Gronkowski is still iffy in terms of playing time for Week 1, but he is expected to play.

SMITTY: We feel that Tom Brady is extremely undervalued heading into 2014. Extremely. He can be had via trade like he is a top 7+ passer, yet he still has top 4-5 overall upside. He is a great player to trade for right now. Check back Sunday morning regarding both Brady and Gronk! Try Analyzing some trades via our Trade Analyzer.

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski will be used in certain situations in Week1?

According to MiamiHerald.com, many believe that the Patriots will “pick their spots” with using Rob Gronkowski in Week 1.

SMITTY: No one knows how the Patriots will use Rob Gronkowski in Week 1, it really is impossible to predict how many plays he will play. He could play half-time and still catch a touchdown, or even two, or he could be used very little. If you play Gronk this week, you have to expect the move to be high-risk/high-reward… Tim Wright might be low-end TE1 worthy right away in Week 1… then when Gronk is back full-go, we will have to reevaluate Wright’s value. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski will not play every snap in Week 1.

According to Mike Reiss on Twitter, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski had this to say on his Week 1 playing time: “Definitely not [playing] every single snap. But just get out there, get my feet wet, whatever we game-plan this week, will be good.”

SMITTY: If he is playing, he is worth starting, as Gronk could catch just two passes, but both could be touchdowns. Hopefully he gets healthier each week. It will be interesting to see how much action Tim Wright gets in Week 1. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski currently limping?

According to reports, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (knee) is still favoring his right knee in practice, and multiple reports are suggesting that the tight end was running with a noticeable limp during Thursday’s practice.

SMITTY: Rob Gronkowski is the definition of high-risk/high-reward. He could pull in 1,000+ yard and 10-14TDs in 2014, or he could miss half a season and pull in half those stats. Drafting Gronk in to 2014 boils down to where you can get him, and currently his ADP sits almost too high at 3.04. I personally won’t pay that kind of price in redraft. As of now, we still have Rob Gronkowski projecting well on our Week 1 Power Rankings, but if better news doesn’t break here in the next couple weeks, you might see us quickly adjust his, and Tom Brady’s, Week 1 outlook.

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski could be ready for Week 1 despite conflicting reports.

Adam Schefter on Twitter stated that he is “Still optimism for opener” despite recent reports suggesting his Week 1 status could be in question.

SMITTY: It’s tough to know what’s going on with Rob Gronkowski right now, but it does not appear that he is injured… this all seems relatively precautionary. Until we hear otherwise, expect him to be ready for Week 1. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski not to play in preseason, but is practicing?

According to BostonGlobe.com, it “would be a surprise to see Rob Gronkowski play in any of New England’s preseason games” in 2014. He is practicing during both 11-on-11 and 7-on-7 drills.

SMITTY: I don’t think any Rob Gronkowski owners want to see him taking any more hits than he has to, and I highly-doubt the lack of action will impact his ability to pull in touchdown passes from Tom Brady. If healthy all year long, and that’s a big if, Gronk could easily pull in 80 passes for well over 1,100 yards and a strong shot at double-digit touchdowns, if not more like 12+ (and Brady could return to the top 3-5 for fantasy QBs for one more season). If I had to predict a number of games played for Gronk this upcoming season, I’d say 13-14, but anything can happen. Checkout where we have Rob Gronkowski ranked on our Week 1 Power Rankings.

NEWS: Rob Gronkowski participating in individual drills; Tom Brady to have big 2014?

According to ESPN, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski recently participated in individual drills, but did not take part in 7-on-7 or 11-on-11 drills.

SMITTY: Avoiding the PUP list was good enough for Rob Gronkowski owners, right? The guy will always be an injury concern, and subject to a couple missed games a year, but even on 14 or 15 games, he can score 10-12 times and pull in 1,000 yards. If Gronk is relatively healthy this season, Tom Brady could be quite the 2014 steal (as his ADP is at 6.08-6.12 right now, which is stupid-low). Looking for Rob Gronkowski and Tom Brady Projections for the 2014 fantasy football season?

NEWS: TE Rob Gronkowski expects to play 16 games in 2014.

According to ESPN, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (ACL/MCL) said last week that he expects to play the entire season in 2014. “I’m planning on playing the whole season this year,” Gronkowski said last Friday night.

SMITTY: Rob Gronkowski is virtually a lock for double-digit scores if he plays even 14 games in 2014. If he plays all 16, his last three seasons averaged-out per-game indicate that he’d pull in 86 receptions for 1,274 yards and 15TDs. A healthy Gronk in 2014 would certainly help Tom Brady get back to dancing with the league’s top 5 passers. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?

2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft In July (Redraft, PPR)

Below is a 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (in July), and below each round you will find my commentary/take on that round. This mock draft took place on our forums, so it’s a great indicator of current/true player values. The scoring for this fantasy football mock draft was assumed to be PPR, and it was done with a ‘redraft’ (2014 only) frame of mind. Thanks to all who participated. Enjoy.

Round One
1.01 – LeSean McCoy RB
1.02 – Jamaal Charles RB
1.03 – Adrian Peterson RB
1.04 – Calvin Johnson WR
1.05 – Eddie Lacy RB
1.06 – Matt Forte RB
1.07 – AJ Green WR
1.08 – Demariyus Thomas WR
1.09 – Julio Jones WR
1.10 – Jimmy Graham TE
1.11 – Marshawn Lynch RB
1.12 – Dez Byrant WR

Smitty’s Take: There weren’t very many surprises in round one, and their usually aren’t. Sure, a case can be made for Peyton Manning being round one worthy, but it’s not surprising to see him fall to 2.01. LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles and Adrian Peterson are spot on in my book, and I can’t argue a bit with 1.04-1.12 (aside from pushing Manning into that 1.09-1.12 range, which isn’t everyone’s cup of tea).

Round Two
2.01 – Peyton Manning QB
2.02 – Monte Ball RB
2.03 – Aaron Rodgers QB
2.04 – Rob Gronkowski TE
2.05 – Doug Martin RB
2.06 – Brandon Marshall WR
2.07 – Antonio Brown WR
2.08 – Randall Cobb WR
2.09 – Demarco Murray RB
2.10 – Arian Foster RB
2.11 – Leveon Bell RB
2.12 – Julius Thomas TE

Smitty’s Take: Ok, so this is where one draft will look completely different than another draft (even if that mock draft took place on the same exact forum 10 minutes later). I love the value of Montee Ball, even though his value has climbed higher than most expected (aside from us, as we predicted the climb). This is a redraft mock, but we’ve been pimping Ball since last season, and he and Nick Foles (and Christine Michael) have been our top “go get” players all off-season long. This was when Foles was still in most everyone’s bottom-half of their top ten-ranked passers, and this was before Ball started sniffing second-round value (he was even a 4th-round player on average back in February). In redraft, though, don’t shy away from making Ball your second-drafted player, as he is very likely to crank out top 1-5RB numbers in that extremely-potent Denver offense. I wouldn’t even shy away from grabbing him ahead of Lynch in round one. Crazy? Well, let’s talk come season’s end.

Aaron Rodgers probably seems high to some, and not high to others. Frankly, how high QBs go depends on your league and league trends, so anyone suggesting that Rodgers at 2.03 is too early, or too late, is obviously speaking based on trends that they see league-wide. His 2.03 slotting above is neither too early or too late, as he can easily earn top 15 overall value. Doug Martin has a touch more risk than upside at his 2.05 slotting above, but if you can handcuff him to Charles Sims, you can minimize most of that risk. But, if drafting at that spot, I would have let him slide to the 2.10-2.12 range, which is where I’m more comfortable snagging Martin in 2014; he has tons of talent, but he also has an injury label that he needs to shake, plus he has a potential sharing situation heading his way. Arian foster has awesome value heading into 2014, as he constantly falls in that late second-round range. He may go in the first-round in some leagues, as again, every league is different with players like this (faced injury the prior season and has some overworked concerns). He has top 5RB upside, so 2.10 is low-risk/high-reward in my opinion.

Round Three
3.01 – Giovani Bernard RB
3.02 – CJ Spiller RB
3.03 – Nick Foles QB
3.04 – Jordy Nelson WR
3.05 – Victor Cruz WR
3.06 – Drew Brees QB
3.07 – Keenan Allen WR
3.08 – Zac Stacy RB
3.09 – Bishop Stankey RB
3.10 – Cordarrelle Patterson WR
3.11 – Andre Johnson WR
3.12 – Pierre Garcon WR

Smitty’s Take: I love the value of Gio Bernard at 3.01, but I don’t think you will see him fall that far on average. I could be wrong, and I sure hope that I am wrong, as I’d love this value in all my real upcoming 2014 fantasy football drafts. Gio Bernard is fantasy RB1-capable, yet he landed at 3.01 above… that’s crazy-good value, and again, that’s why I think that this won’t happen on average (he will more often be a 2.04-2.08 range player). Cordarrelle Patterson is now creeping into the 3rd-round in a lot of early 2014 mock drafts… expect this trend to continue, possibly even in the upward direction. He can earn that value, though, he has WR1-type upside, I just wonder if that production is still a year away. It might not be, but it gets a bit risky when you’re talking 3rd-round vs. 4th-round is all (I like him a lot in the 4th). Keenan Allen is another player that is climbing mock draft boards as of late, and let me tell you, I see the guy producing borderline low-end fantasy WR1-type numbers this year. He often falls into the 4th-round outside of STARTERS/DraftCalc communities, so snag him in the 4th-round where you can, as he can crush that value! Nick Foles is another player that ranks and gets drafted higher in DraftCalc and FFStarters worlds, so know that he often falls to the 4th-round, or even the 5th-round… and if I consider the 3rd-round still a steal (in terms of what he can do by season’s end), you can imagine how big of a steal he is to me at 4th- and 5th-round value. Use ADP data to your advantage and don’t draft Foles in the 3rd-round if you don’t have to, but I think we’re about to see Foles drop a top 3 fantasy QB season (with appearances with the top 1-2 on lots of occasions).

Round Four
4.01 – Andre Ellington RB
4.02 – Alshon Jefferey WR
4.03 – Matthew Stafford QB
4.04 – Alfred Morris RB
4.05 – Michael Floyd WR
4.06 – Vincent Jackson WR
4.07 – Wes Welker WR
4.08 – Frank Gore RB
4.09 – Andrew Luck QB
4.10 – Kendall Wright WR
4.11 – Percy Harvin WR
4.12 – Shane Vereen RB

Smitty’s Take: Not a lot of surprises in terms of players falling into this round, but I will say that Andre Ellington is the only running back left that has top 5-10 fantasy running back upside. He has almost no risk as a 4th- to 5th-round pick, because he pulled in 39 receptions as a rookie, and 40-50 receptions feels like a given entering his first season as a starter. Ellington has HUGE, HUGE upside! I can’t wait to watch him breakout!

Just Missed The Cut

Now, a 4th-round argument can be made for any of the below players, especially Ben Tate (if handcuffed to Terrance West), Tom Brady, and Chris Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald
Reggie Bush
Sammy Watkins
Ben Tate & Terrance West
Trent Richardson
Toby Gerhart
Chris Johnson
Rashad Jennings
Joique Bell
Cam Newton
Tom Brady
RG3
Ryan Mathews
Mike Evans
Vernon Davis
Ray Rice / Bernard Pierce
Jordan Cameron
Michael Crabtree
Eric Decker
Lamar Miller
Mike Wallace
Matt Ryan
Tony Romo
Hakeem Nicks
Julian Edelman