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Smitty’s 2015 Redraft Rankings; Smitty’s 2015 Dynasty Rankings.

smitty staff

Hey STARTERS Nation:

Of course, we have our Draft Analyzer here at STARTERS, which cranks out custom cheat sheets using an industry-leading predictive algorithm. However, I also provide my personal redraft and dynasty rankings outside of the Analyzer rankings, just to give all you fantasy fanatics another list to look at. Use them all, you can never get enough info to mix together! Below are both the updated dynasty and redraft links!

NOTE: Due to endless requests for it, I have added a tiering system to both sets of rankings!

Redraft Rankings Dynasty Rankings

Training Camp Updates heading into Week 1 of the 2015 Preseason

smitty staff

Ok, Starters Nation, it’s August 13th, 2015, which means it’s time to look at some of the most recent/relevant Training Camp news. Below are a handful of situations that appear to be trending on newswires, and we have tackled each from a fantasy perspective. Enjoy.

Chargers

Melvin Gordon (RB) – Word is that Gordon has been a bit too patient at times during camp, however, it’s way too early to start drawing any kind of negative conclusions about the rusher. Instead, use this info to your advantage and try and draft him a bit after his going 3.05-3.08 ADP. If you can grab him near the early 4th-round range in 2015 drafts, you’re looking at HUGE upside. Dynasty wise, this kid has top 4-10R ceiling.

Stevie Johnson has been making noise in camp, and Philip Rivers could turn to him early and often to start the year, as Antonio Gates starts the beginning part of the season suspended.

Rams

Todd Gurley (RB) – The NFL Network is reporting that the Rams are expecting the rookie to miss the ‘first couple games’ in 2015. Gurley, who is recovering from a torn ACL, has top 1-8 overall dynasty upside, and once he gets going in 2015, he could play that well. His ADP should level out around the 5th- to 6th-round in most redraft formats, but some may reach a bit for Gurley, it just depends on your league. Is a 5th-round pick a reach? No, not necessarily, although, there is some risk (handcuff him to Tre Mason without question!). In dynasty, he is a top 5RB in my view.

Vikings

Adrian Peterson (RB) – The stud is suffering from a ‘minor’ thigh injury… Read More



2015 Average Draft Positions: April

smitty staff

Ok, so it’s only the middle of April, and 2015 Average Draft Positions (ADPs) are hardly settled, especially with the upcoming 2015 NFL Draft…. that said, it’s still fun, and important, to dig into the data and find out which players are looking overvalued heading into the upcoming fantasy football season, and which players look like early sleeper candidates.

This is REDRAFT ADP Data.

2015 ADP Data

Date: 4/21/15 | Source: Mixture of Industry-leading ‘Redraft’ ADPs

Note: I have placed notes next to certain players that are worth talking about, good or bad.

1 LeVeon Bell RB PIT – Keep in mind that a lot of this ADP data piled on prior to his suspension being announced, but even if we looked at only recent drafts, he will likely be near top 5.

2 Jamaal Charles RB KC

3 Eddie Lacy RB GB

4 Adrian Peterson RB MIN – Surprisingly high for even redraft ADP data, but certainly still worth this pick. He could still be the No. 1 rusher in fantasy.

5 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA

6 Antonio Brown WR PIT – Not surprising, however, his value is almost too high for him to exceed any further expectations. I’d almost rather trade down and land an AJ Green or Julio Jones in the 18-20ish range, thus moving up in a draft at other spots.

7 Matt Forte RB CHI – Year of decline? Or, does he have one more top 1-5RB season left? Certainly consider selling in dynasty. This is redraft ADP Data, though, so this slot is warranted, but concern is present for sure, even in redraft.

8 Rob Gronkowski TE NE

9 Dez Bryant WR DAL

10 DeMarco Murray RB PHI – Solid value, but still ranked about right given the risks involved in moving teams, getting hurt, and playing for an offense that just had LeSean McCoy bust.

11 LeSean McCoy RB BUF

12 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG – This is high, but he is worth the ranking.

13 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN – Solid value, but also a decent place to slot him given there are ‘some’ questions about Peyton Manning delivering top 1-3QB numbers this year.

14 Calvin Johnson WR DET – Very solid value. He is still Calvin, and unless we’re talking dynasty, he has No. 1WR upside still.

15 Arian Foster RB HOU – Foster was on our Upside Board last year, and for good reason. However, this year, there is a touch more risk he misses more than 1-2 games.

16 Jordy Nelson WR GB – Solid value, as always. He is always an underrated fantasy WR1.

17 Julio Jones WR ATL – Huge upside ranked this late, but about right given the risks. I like this value vs risk, it’s a risk worth taking given his 1-3 fantasy wide receiver ceiling.

18 A.J. Green WR CIN – Steal. It’s hard to imagine him not earning at least this value, and that screams sleeper given the slot, as he could be a top 1-4 fantasy wide receiver this season.

19 Aaron Rodgers QB GB – Some say a QB in the second is too early. I say no way, not when you’re talking Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck, as both have No. 1 overall upside in most all formats (especially leagues where QBs get 6pts per TD.

20 CJ Anderson RB DEN – It’s too risky counting on this situation as your RB2.

21 Jeremy Hill RB CIN – While I love Hill, who was an Upside Board player last year, ranking No. 21 means he has less upside than most would like. This seems like a fair value type slotting, meaning the ‘ceiling’ value isn’t through the roof.

22 Andrew Luck QB IND – See what I just said above regarding Aaron Rodgers.

23 Randall Cobb WR GB

24 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI – A top 5 fantasy WR season on the way?

25 T.Y. Hilton WR IND

26 Carlos Hyde RB SF – Get ready, this kid could be a top 5-10RB, a potential that makes this 26th overall ranking very solid.

27 Mike Evans WR TB – Beast in the making.

28 Jimmy Graham TE SEA – Solid value given he could still rival Rob Gronkowski. “Could” being the keyword, as we just don’t know what is in store for Graham in Seattle.

29 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN – This is a risky third player to draft in 2015. I like him as a 4th- or 5th-drafted player, but it seems like his ADP is just too high to snag him at those levels. I say pass on him in 2015, he has to play out of his mind to earn his value back, and that is questionable given how so many are predicting less passing in DEN in 2015.

30 Justin Forsett RB BAL – Risky in some ways, still solid ‘upside’ down here at No. 30 overall. What BAL does in the draft will move this guy around a ton between now and 2015.

31 Lamar Miller RB MIA – A former Upside Board candidate that could explode later than expected? We have always seen top 5-10RB numbers in this kid, he just needs/needed a chance.

32 Mark Ingram RB NO – Solid value given his ceiling. His playing time and job security are the risks, but that seems pretty well built into his ADP at this point. Great news.

33 Frank Gore RB IND – He could squeeze out one more elite year in this situation. Then again, it wouldn’t be all that shocking to see him just have decent success, or great success here and there.

34 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR – Solid future, and very solid value given he has WR2 upside.

35 Alfred Morris RB WAS

36 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU

37 Peyton Manning QB DEN – Are there concerns? Sure, but at this value who cares?

38 Joique Bell RB DET

39 Tre Mason RB STL – Top 10RB in the making? Or, is he yet another runner that will be overlooked and underutilized by his coaching staff?

40 Jordan Matthews WR PHI – Nice situation, huge talent.

41 Brandin Cooks WR NO – This screams value, as he could catch 90+ balls in 2015 – easy.

42 Latavius Murray RB OAK – Huge sleeper, but will OAK draft a runner? Will Oakland screw this up? They could, but the risk seems built into the ADP. Trust in Murray at 42 overall value, no question. He is worth that risk!

43 Russell Wilson QB SEA

44 Julian Edelman WR NE

45 Sammy Watkins WR BUF – Sleeper. Wow. In redraft, at least, it appears Sammy Watkins is being overlooked. Take full advantage.

46 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR – Not sure I trust him, even here. I wouldn’t call this all that risky, though, but with players like Drew Brees, brandon Marshall, Andre Johnson, Martavis Bryant, Jarvis Landry and Tom Brady still available in redraft, I couldn’t take JStew just yet.

47 Drew Brees QB NO – Steal in redraft.

48 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ – Solid value, but it looks like many fear a decline in NY this year. Again, solid value, but expectations should be somewhat curbed in NY.

49 Andre Ellington RB ARI

50 Golden Tate WR DET

51 Greg Olsen TE CAR

52 Andre Johnson WR IND – He still could be elite, for at least this year, in IND.

53 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE

54 Travis Kelce TE KC

55 Jarvis Landry WR MIA – Like with Sammy Watkins above, wow. This is great value in redraft.

56 Devonta Freeman RB ATL

57 Jeremy Maclin WR KC

58 Martavis Bryant WR PIT – Steal.

59 Tom Brady QB NE – Solid value.

60 Rashad Jennings RB NYG

61 DeSean Jackson WR WAS

62 C.J. Spiller RB NO – Huge appeal at this value. He could bust, sure, but the risk is minimal at 62 overall.

63 Giovani Bernard RB CIN – Don’t write him off after one year. CIN has room for both he and Jeremy Hill. He is worth the gamble at this slot, no question.

64 Keenan Allen WR SD

65 Todd Gurley RB FA – Steal. He may not play right away, or if he does, he could be limited. That doesn’t matter. He could be a top 10RB once he does get into his team’s line-up.

66 Julius Thomas TE JAC

67 Martellus Bennett TE CHI

68 Victor Cruz WR NYG – This is way too high given his injury.

69 Matt Ryan QB ATL

70 Darren McFadden RB DAL

71 LeGarrette Blount RB PIT

72 Mike Wallace WR MIN

73 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT

74 Ryan Mathews RB PHI

75 Roddy White WR ATL

76 Denard Robinson RB JAC

77 Michael Floyd WR ARI

78 Cam Newton QB CAR

79 Doug Martin RB TB

80 Antonio Gates TE SD

81 Vincent Jackson WR TB

82 Torrey Smith WR BAL

83 Tony Romo QB DAL

84 Branden Oliver RB SD

85 Matthew Stafford QB DET

86 Brandon LaFell WR NE

87 Kenny Stills WR MIA

88 Melvin Gordon RB FA – This is high-way robbery, but I don’t see Melvin Gordon ranking this low after the draft. Look for him to be a 3rd- to 4th-round pick come August. Expect that, at least.

89 Shane Vereen RB NYG

90 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN

91 Bishop Sankey RB TEN

92 Chris Ivory RB NYJ

93 Donte Moncrief WR IND – Could breakout in 2015.

94 Jordan Cameron TE MIA

95 Owen Daniels TE DEN

96 Eli Manning QB NYG

97 Steve Smith WR BAL

98 Dwayne Allen TE IND

99 Knile Davis RB KC

100 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

2016 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (not factoring in 2015)?

smitty staff

Date: 4/13/15

Looking for a 2016 Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft? No, I didn’t say 2015, I said 2016! That’s right, this mock draft is for one full season from now, so when you view this mock draft, keep in mind we are all pretending like the upcoming 2015 fantasy football season doesn’t matter at all. This means that LeVeon Bell’s missed games don’t apply, it means that no rookie rushers from the 2015 NFL Draft Class will have to worry about their rookie seasons holding them back from being drafted high… it’s all about 2016+. I asked some of our hardcore forum users to participate in this mock draft, so keep in mind these results have been produced by the people for the people, I am just merely writing it up and talking about where I see value. Thanks to all who participated in this 2016 fantasy football dynasty mock draft!

Round One
1.1 – LeVeon Bell
1.2 – Antonio Brown
1.3 – Eddie Lacy
1.4 – Dez Bryant
1.5 – Odell Beckham
1.6 – Julio jones
1.7 – Rob Gronkowski
1.8 – Jamal Charles
1.9 – Andrew Luck
1.10 – AJ Green
1.11 – Jeremy Hill
1.12 – Todd Gurley

Smitty’s Take: View This Exclusive Content Now!

Round Two
2.1 – DeMarco Murray
2.2 – Mike Evans
2.3 – Aaron Rodgers
2.4 – Demaryius Thomas
2.5 – Alshon Jeffery
2.6 – Melvin Gordon
2.7 – Jordy Nelson
2.8 – Calvin Johnson
2.9 – Sammy Watkins
2.10 – Randall Cobb
2.11 – LeSean Mccoy
2.12 – DeAndre Hopkins

Smitty’s Take: View This Exclusive Content Now!

Round Three
3.01 – Drew Brees
3.02 – Carlos Hyde
3.03 – Adrian Peterson
3.04 – Brandin Cooks
3.05 – Amari Cooper
3.06 – Kelvin Benjamin
3.07 – Matt Forte
3.08 – TY Hilton
3.09 – CJ Anderson
3.10 – Jordan Matthews
3.11 – Jimmy Graham
3.12 – Lamar Miller

Smitty’s Take: View This Exclusive Content Now!

View Smitty’s Write-Up!

Spotlight: Arian Foster

2015 fantasy football player spotlights

Arian Foster

3/25/2015: Is it time to jump ship on Arian Foster? I think so. Could we be jumping ship a year early? Sure, but it’s better to jump early vs. late, especially if you’re getting solid value back, value that is arguable even if jumping ship early. The guy is a two-time Upside Board/Bold Prediction graduate, once during his breakout season in 2010 (at 4th- to 6th-round value), and also last year during his return to the spotlight after a disappointing 2013… so, clearly I’m a big fan of his, but it’s time to get ready for decline while he still commands some serious value…Read Spotlight

ARTICLE: Day After The 2015 NFL Super Bowl Rankings (ranking for 2015 fantasy football)

smitty staff

Ok, folks… it’s that time! It’s time to start ranking players for the 2015 fantasy football season! Below you will find a button that leads you to our crazy early bold 2015 fantasy football rankings cheat sheet (redraft)! Get some!

Note: The 2015 Rookies will be mixed in closer to April’s 2015 NFL Draft

2015 Rankings Cheat Sheet

ARTICLE: Crazy-Early 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (Dynasty)

smitty staff

Hey Starters Nation:

Looking for an early 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft / Rankings heading into 2015? This is a dynasty mock draft, so keep in mind that players like Marshawn Lynch, Peyton Manning, Matt Forte, among others, are going to fall much, much further than they would in a early 2015 fantasy football yearly-league mock draft, but this mock draft should be rather useful to all fantasy leaguers, as for the most part things in redraft and dynasty can often times line-up rather well entering January. On that note, enjoy!

View Mock Draft Now!

NEWS: Andre Johnson (concussion) back practicing and expected to play Week 16?

SMITTY: He was inactive last week but appears set to return against the Ravens. With Case Keenum/Thad Lewis as the top passers in Houston right now, it’s tough to know what you’re going to get out of anyone but Arian Foster in Week 16. AJ is a WR3 in most formats, though, and Hopkins can flirt with WR2-type numbers based on his talent alone, but again, with passers like Houston has, a dud week is just as likely as any sort of solid week. Horrible timing for Week 16. If Julio Jones sits (and he will be a Sunday morning call), make sure Harry Douglas (monitor his health) isn’t sitting on waivers, as he is a fine Week 16 plug-and-play if Jones sits. If Jones doesn’t sit, Douglas still has WR3 upside. Looking for Week 16 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Andre Johnson (concussion) remains questionable for Week 15; Arian Foster probable.

SMITTY: He failed to get medical clearance on Friday, so he remains iffy this week. He if AJ plays, he won’t be 100 percent, so we might see the DeAndre Hopkins show no matter what. Also, Arian Foster (groin) is now probable, so both Foster and Hopkins going to see a grip of action in Week 15. Looking for Week 15 Power Rankings?

NEWS: Arian Foster (groin) likely to start Week 13?

SMITTY: Hopefully the stud rusher is back this week. If he starts, he needs to be in all line-ups and is a RB1 play for sure. Stay on this one, as setbacks happen in warm-ups all the time. If Foster doesn’t go, Alfred Blue would be a low-end RB2 play, but we expect Foster to go. Looking for Week 13 Power Rankings?