Archive for 4503

RADIO: Week 8 Sleepers, Add/Drops, Trade Advice and more

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 8 of the 2014 fantasy football season!


Wednesday Show The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 10/21/14

Guest: Smitty

Topics: IDP, Sleepers, Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em, Breakouts, Trade Advice and more

Listen Now!

NEWS: Colt McCoy will start Week 8 against Cowboys; Roy Helu should be picked up?

SMITTY: While Kirk Cousins’ failure to hold onto the job virtually locks Robert Griffin III as the team’s starter just as soon as he is ready (most think Week 9), Colt McCoy is a lot better than people give him credit for. I’m not suggesting he will hold off RG3 with a good game here, but I think a surprising outing shouldn’t be ruled out is all, which is good for those Redskins receivers and tight ends. Also, on a side note, all you deep league owners should take a long look at adding Roy Helu. I like the runner a lot, and he is a PPR type that would thrive if given the carries. Morris is banged up and Helu just feels “stash” worthy. Keep up-to-date with all the latest news with our Smart Alerts

NEWS: DeSean Jackson active for Thursday night Week 4; Niles Paul a must-start?

SMITTY: DJax is a good play assuming he doesn’t suffer a setback in warm-ups. Inactive for the Redskins is QB Robert Griffin III, TE Jordan Reed and WR Santana Moss, which makes Niles Paul a must-start in Week 4 — Paul is inside our top 5 for Week 4 tight ends. Of course, Pierre Garcon should be in line-ups, and Kirk Cousins is top 10-capable this week… and if you need a sneaky DST play this week, this Thursday night game is at home in Washington… Eli Manning turning the ball over a few times sounds about right. Looking for Week 4 Power Rankings?

RADIO: Listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2!

Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 2 of the 2014 fantasy football season! Take a listen!

The Red Zone With Russ Bliss

Date: 9/9/14

Guest: Smitty

Topics: Cordarrelle Patterson, Bernard Pierce, Ray Rice, Justin Forsett, Jordan Cameron, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White, Josh Gordon, Wes Welker, Michael Floyd, Andre Ellington, Bobby Rainey, Doug Martin, Eddie Lacy, Golden Tate, Percy Harvin, Anquan Boldin, Joique Bell, Chris Ivory, Keenan Allen

Listen Now!

NEWS: Robert Griffin III to work with Terry Shea; RG3 to have a big 2014?

According to ESPN, Redskins QB Robert Griffin III is set to work with Terry Shea next week to get ready for training camp.

SMITTY: Robert Griffin III is extremely undervalued right now in all formats, especially dynasty. Keep in mind that RG3 once had top 12 overall appeal, given his ability to drop strong running back numbers along with his passing stats. Working with Shea will help the passers tune-up his fundamentals, and I really think the still-stud passer can return to top 5 fantasy quarterback status. Should you draft him that high? Absolutely not. Use average draft positions to your advantage, and currently he is falling into the 6.08-7.08 range, which is where you’re drafting a fantasy WR3 or one of your first bench runners. That’s steal territory with literally no risk. With Pierre Garcon coming off a fantasy WR1-type season, and with the addition of DeSean Jackson (and with Jordan Reed potentially ready to breakout into a TE1), there are grips of reasons to love RG3 heading into 2014 and beyond. Word is that Griffin (knee) is fully back to his old self!

2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft In July (Redraft, PPR)

Below is a 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (in July), and below each round you will find my commentary/take on that round. This mock draft took place on our forums, so it’s a great indicator of current/true player values. The scoring for this fantasy football mock draft was assumed to be PPR, and it was done with a ‘redraft’ (2014 only) frame of mind. Thanks to all who participated. Enjoy.

Round One
1.01 – LeSean McCoy RB
1.02 – Jamaal Charles RB
1.03 – Adrian Peterson RB
1.04 – Calvin Johnson WR
1.05 – Eddie Lacy RB
1.06 – Matt Forte RB
1.07 – AJ Green WR
1.08 – Demariyus Thomas WR
1.09 – Julio Jones WR
1.10 – Jimmy Graham TE
1.11 – Marshawn Lynch RB
1.12 – Dez Byrant WR

Smitty’s Take: There weren’t very many surprises in round one, and their usually aren’t. Sure, a case can be made for Peyton Manning being round one worthy, but it’s not surprising to see him fall to 2.01. LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles and Adrian Peterson are spot on in my book, and I can’t argue a bit with 1.04-1.12 (aside from pushing Manning into that 1.09-1.12 range, which isn’t everyone’s cup of tea).

Round Two
2.01 – Peyton Manning QB
2.02 – Monte Ball RB
2.03 – Aaron Rodgers QB
2.04 – Rob Gronkowski TE
2.05 – Doug Martin RB
2.06 – Brandon Marshall WR
2.07 – Antonio Brown WR
2.08 – Randall Cobb WR
2.09 – Demarco Murray RB
2.10 – Arian Foster RB
2.11 – Leveon Bell RB
2.12 – Julius Thomas TE

Smitty’s Take: Ok, so this is where one draft will look completely different than another draft (even if that mock draft took place on the same exact forum 10 minutes later). I love the value of Montee Ball, even though his value has climbed higher than most expected (aside from us, as we predicted the climb). This is a redraft mock, but we’ve been pimping Ball since last season, and he and Nick Foles (and Christine Michael) have been our top “go get” players all off-season long. This was when Foles was still in most everyone’s bottom-half of their top ten-ranked passers, and this was before Ball started sniffing second-round value (he was even a 4th-round player on average back in February). In redraft, though, don’t shy away from making Ball your second-drafted player, as he is very likely to crank out top 1-5RB numbers in that extremely-potent Denver offense. I wouldn’t even shy away from grabbing him ahead of Lynch in round one. Crazy? Well, let’s talk come season’s end.

Aaron Rodgers probably seems high to some, and not high to others. Frankly, how high QBs go depends on your league and league trends, so anyone suggesting that Rodgers at 2.03 is too early, or too late, is obviously speaking based on trends that they see league-wide. His 2.03 slotting above is neither too early or too late, as he can easily earn top 15 overall value. Doug Martin has a touch more risk than upside at his 2.05 slotting above, but if you can handcuff him to Charles Sims, you can minimize most of that risk. But, if drafting at that spot, I would have let him slide to the 2.10-2.12 range, which is where I’m more comfortable snagging Martin in 2014; he has tons of talent, but he also has an injury label that he needs to shake, plus he has a potential sharing situation heading his way. Arian foster has awesome value heading into 2014, as he constantly falls in that late second-round range. He may go in the first-round in some leagues, as again, every league is different with players like this (faced injury the prior season and has some overworked concerns). He has top 5RB upside, so 2.10 is low-risk/high-reward in my opinion.

Round Three
3.01 – Giovani Bernard RB
3.02 – CJ Spiller RB
3.03 – Nick Foles QB
3.04 – Jordy Nelson WR
3.05 – Victor Cruz WR
3.06 – Drew Brees QB
3.07 – Keenan Allen WR
3.08 – Zac Stacy RB
3.09 – Bishop Stankey RB
3.10 – Cordarrelle Patterson WR
3.11 – Andre Johnson WR
3.12 – Pierre Garcon WR

Smitty’s Take: I love the value of Gio Bernard at 3.01, but I don’t think you will see him fall that far on average. I could be wrong, and I sure hope that I am wrong, as I’d love this value in all my real upcoming 2014 fantasy football drafts. Gio Bernard is fantasy RB1-capable, yet he landed at 3.01 above… that’s crazy-good value, and again, that’s why I think that this won’t happen on average (he will more often be a 2.04-2.08 range player). Cordarrelle Patterson is now creeping into the 3rd-round in a lot of early 2014 mock drafts… expect this trend to continue, possibly even in the upward direction. He can earn that value, though, he has WR1-type upside, I just wonder if that production is still a year away. It might not be, but it gets a bit risky when you’re talking 3rd-round vs. 4th-round is all (I like him a lot in the 4th). Keenan Allen is another player that is climbing mock draft boards as of late, and let me tell you, I see the guy producing borderline low-end fantasy WR1-type numbers this year. He often falls into the 4th-round outside of STARTERS/DraftCalc communities, so snag him in the 4th-round where you can, as he can crush that value! Nick Foles is another player that ranks and gets drafted higher in DraftCalc and FFStarters worlds, so know that he often falls to the 4th-round, or even the 5th-round… and if I consider the 3rd-round still a steal (in terms of what he can do by season’s end), you can imagine how big of a steal he is to me at 4th- and 5th-round value. Use ADP data to your advantage and don’t draft Foles in the 3rd-round if you don’t have to, but I think we’re about to see Foles drop a top 3 fantasy QB season (with appearances with the top 1-2 on lots of occasions).

Round Four
4.01 – Andre Ellington RB
4.02 – Alshon Jefferey WR
4.03 – Matthew Stafford QB
4.04 – Alfred Morris RB
4.05 – Michael Floyd WR
4.06 – Vincent Jackson WR
4.07 – Wes Welker WR
4.08 – Frank Gore RB
4.09 – Andrew Luck QB
4.10 – Kendall Wright WR
4.11 – Percy Harvin WR
4.12 – Shane Vereen RB

Smitty’s Take: Not a lot of surprises in terms of players falling into this round, but I will say that Andre Ellington is the only running back left that has top 5-10 fantasy running back upside. He has almost no risk as a 4th- to 5th-round pick, because he pulled in 39 receptions as a rookie, and 40-50 receptions feels like a given entering his first season as a starter. Ellington has HUGE, HUGE upside! I can’t wait to watch him breakout!

Just Missed The Cut

Now, a 4th-round argument can be made for any of the below players, especially Ben Tate (if handcuffed to Terrance West), Tom Brady, and Chris Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald
Reggie Bush
Sammy Watkins
Ben Tate & Terrance West
Trent Richardson
Toby Gerhart
Chris Johnson
Rashad Jennings
Joique Bell
Cam Newton
Tom Brady
RG3
Ryan Mathews
Mike Evans
Vernon Davis
Ray Rice / Bernard Pierce
Jordan Cameron
Michael Crabtree
Eric Decker
Lamar Miller
Mike Wallace
Matt Ryan
Tony Romo
Hakeem Nicks
Julian Edelman

NEWS: Jordan Reed having “eye-opening” days in minicamp.

According to ESPN 980, Redskins TE Jordan Reed had “another eye-opening day” during the team’s minicamp.

SMITTY: The key word is “another”. There are a number of middle-round sleepers emerging during camp, and Reed is definitely one of them. Reed pulled in 45 receptions for 499 yards and 3TDs last season, and he did so in just 9 games. If extrapolated, his stats would have been 80/887/5TDs on a full-season, numbers he can beat this upcoming season. Robert Griffin III could truly bounce-back in 2014, and Reed will likely be a big reason why. The addition of DeSean Jackson, to go along with the continued strong play by Pierre Garcon, will make this offense quite productive in 2014.

2014 Projections & Analyzers Are Ready!

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