SMITTY: Stay tuned on this on! Looking for Week 12 Power Rankings?
SMITTY: Stay tuned on this on! Looking for Week 12 Power Rankings?
SMITTY: UPDATE: Bryce Brown will start at RB for the Dolphins tonight, and he is a sneaky flex play for sure. Anything can happen with these RBBCs, though, so don't sit a solid play for Brown or anything, but don't be afraid to use him either (if in need). Anthony Dixon will get a shot to try and prove to be the hot hand in this game, and that's what makes this kind of a risk from all sides. It looks like Fred Jackson will sit this one, but Sammy Watkins (groin) is a go, and so is Lamar Miller, but he is said to possibly looking at a snap count, so be careful playing him if you have more secure options.
PREVIOUS NEWS: As of now, Watkins and Miller are expected to play, with Miller looking somewhat limited and maybe set to be in a RBBC rotation… F-Jax isn't likely to play, which makes Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown players to grab if you’re in need at the position. That will likely be an even split unless one of the two becomes the ‘hot hand’ in this one. Looking for Week 11 Power Rankings?
Take a listen to Russ Bliss’ and Smitty talk about the upcoming Week 8 of the 2014 fantasy football season!
Topics: IDP, Sleepers, Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em, Breakouts, Trade Advice and more
Hey Starters Nation:
We had a few big injuries in Week 7, along with some other injuries worth monitoring. Here we go:
C.J. Spiller broke his collarbone on a 53-yard run and is done for the season. Fred Jackson was injured early in this game as well — Both were carted to the locker room. The Bills have a bye in Week 9, but early word is that Jackson is already looking “out” for Week 8. Get ready for the Bryce Brown show, a player we said to go get prior to kickoff on Sunday (especially in dynasty). Now he gets to show his stuff. Make sure he isn’t on waivers in your league, especially if you lost either/both of these backs.
Reggie Bush (groin) received just nine touches in Week 7, as he was clearly still bothered by his ankle. Joique Bell is a dark horse RB2 of ours moving forward, but of course he can be had lower and should be valued lower (but with upside for that kind of production). If Bush stays moderately banged up for a bit, Bell will surely see some serious action. If Bush returns quickly, we still like Bell as a sneaky flex. Bell is extremely gifted, but he is the kind of back that gets better with carries and lots of work — We hope he gets a big dose of carries moving forward, but we aren’t in charge of his workload (unfortunately).
Pierre Thomas left Week 7 with a shoulder injury, Trent Richardson pulled a hamstring, James Starks injured his ankle, and Corey “Philly” Brown suffered a concussion. T-Rich being out only increases Ahmad Bradshaw’s value well past his RB2-type status, and an injured PT gives bumps to both Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson, but all these injuries just described above could be less serious, or more serious, than initially thought, so stay all over this news wires and our Smart Alerts for updates.
SMITTY: This is a strange situation… There was some speculation earlier this week that the team could mix things up a bit more at running back, which would make a logical person think “Bryce Brown“. However, Bills offensive coordinator Nate Hackett said on Friday that he wants to continue “feeding” Spiller the football, and this coming off a season-low 12 snaps for Spiller this past Sunday. Spiller should be in line-ups this week given this info, but selling high is advised if he has some production, as Spiller no longer feels capable of consistency in Buffalo. Fred Jackson seems set for around 10-12 carries per-week right now, but dynasty owners should start trying to buy-low on Bryce Brown, who could be inactive again this week. Be certain to ‘buy-low’ only, though, as he is no lock to be the team’s future rusher, but at extremely-low prices, he is worth a grab/stash. Looking for Week 7 Power Rankings?
According to buffalobills.com, Bills RB C.J. Spiller recalls being called a “one-year wonder,” and claims that he is “ready to produce the stats in a bid to prove his doubters wrong, once and for all.”
SMITTY: CJ Spiller has an ADP near the 3.10-4.02 range, which is awesome value given he still has top 5-10RB upside. He isn’t a lock for that kind of production in 2014, but that’s why youre buying him as roughly your 4th-drafted player. Bryce Brown is a must-own for all Spiller owners this upcoming season — He helps eliminate a lot of the risk if you can handcuff him to the elusive Spiller. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?
According to @buffalobills on Twitter, Bills RB CJ Spiller “looks more explosive than he did during the season last year.”
SMITTY: The tweet even has a “#lightning” hashtag, which I’m sure creates ear-to-ear grins on the faces of CJ Spiller fans everywhere. The greatest part about investing in Spiller in upcoming yearly-league August drafts is that his ADP is leveling out around 3.08, which is a steal. Is he risky if you are counting on top 5RB numbers (like last year)? Sure, but he can disappoint in a major way and still earn 3.08-type value, so Spiller is looking like high-reward/low-risk at this point. The Bryce Brown fan club is growing quite large on our STARTERS Forum, and he is almost a must-own if you plan to invest in Spiller this year, but Fred Jackson, who just signed a one-year extension/raise, might still complicate the handcuff situation heading into Week 1. The preseason should tell us a lot regarding this handcuff battle. Looking for Week 1 Power Rankings?
According to buffalobills.com, Bills RB CJ Spiller is likely to see 20 touches per game in 2014.
SMITTY: Twenty touches per game would be perfect for CJ Spiller owners — any more and he’d have a tough time staying healthy. Last season, Spiller averaged just 15.6 touches per-game, which only produced 927 rushing yards, 33 receptions for 185 yards and 2 total scores. The truth is, though, 15.6 touches per-game wasn’t the problem, it was the fact that he played hurt for part of last season, and his yards-per-carry and yards-per-catch were way down. Spiller’s YPC dropped from 6.0 in 2012 to 4.6 in 2013. And, his YPC went from 10.7 to 5.6; he also scored six less touchdowns. What matters is ‘quality’ touches (and health). With an ADP in the 3.05-3.08 range, there is more upside than risk when it comes to drafting Spiller in 2014, as he can earn 3.05-3.08 type value just by staying healthy. He is a strong bounce-back candidate heading into all drafts, just be sure to handcuff him to whomever wins the backup job between Bryce Brown or Fred Jackson. For full-season projections on Spiller, based on your exact league scoring, run our Draft Analyzer!
According to ESPN’s Mike Rodak, the Bills “would like [Bryce] Brown to develop into one of their lead backs.”
SMITTY: The thinking here by this writer is that CJ Spiller is going to be a free agent next season, and given that he has some injury concerns, and given the fact that there are questions about him being an every-down back, Buffalo may turn to Bryce Brown as their future RB1. Fred Jackson will be 34 this time next year, so he has almost no chance of being much of anything 1-2 years from now, if his decline doesn’t occur this very season. The future for that Bills rushing attack is either: A) Spiller, should he prove to be a RB1 in 2014, B) Brown, who the team acquired with a 4th-round pick, which could turn into a 3rd-round pick, or C) a future rookie yet to be selected. While I wouldn’t be so quick to anoint Brown the future BUF starting rusher, it’s important to keep it in mind a year early, as the dude has tremendous skill. He has a big-time fumbling problem, which he will have to overcome to ever hold onto a starting job, but if given the right opportunity, and fundamental training, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him leading that Buffalo backfield in 2015. Dynasty leaguers may want to see how easily he can be had via trade, but absolutely don’t overpay, this is one of those buy cheaply and stash, or don’t buy at all type situations. He feels like a must-own for all Spiller dynasty owners, though. Looking for 2014 fantasy football projections for CJ Spiller? Run this tool:
According to buffalobills.com, the Bills are considering using CJ Spiller on special teams in 2014.
SMITTY: There are two ways to look at this. First, if the team does use CJ Spiller on returns, that could indicate that he may not be guaranteed as many starter-type carries on offense (meaning Bryce Brown and Fred Jackson could be more involved in the rushing game than most had predicted). Or, this could mean that Buffalo’s coaching staff just wants to get their most powerful weapon on the field more. Either way, returning kicks puts Spiller in a position to get hurt, so I’m not a fan of the idea. Nothing appears to be locked in, this report merely points out that Spiller is in the competition for the return job. If not returning kicks, which still could be the outcome here, Spiller could be in for a bounce-back year… Sammy Watkins also has a shot at the gig. Watkins should be in for a big rookie campaign, and could pull in 1,000 yards and 6 or so scores as a rookie (which is rare, but he is a rare talent).