Archive for 2016

2017 Top 12 Fantasy Players

smitty staff

Already looking to the 2017 fantasy football season? Whether you’re in dynasty leagues or redraft leagues, or both, let’s look at the Top 10 Overall Fantasy Players heading into 2017. This will be angled more toward redraft leaguers, but clearly since we are looking into the future, this information also helps all you dynasty owners out there.

1.01 – Le’Veon Bell (RB/PIT)
1.02 – David Johnson (RB/AZ)
1.03 – Ezekiel Elliott (RB/DAL)

How interesting is it that the RB is back! This is something I have predicted for years, the return of the RB being king. While the WRs right below are arguable top 1-4 overall players in PPR for 2017 and beyond, having one of the top 3RBs will give fantasy owners a clear advantage in 2017.

1.04 – Antonio Brown (WR/PIT)
1.05 – Julio Jones (WR/ATL)
1.06 – Odell Beckham (WR/NYG)

The above 3WRs clearly have No. 1 overall upside and command a look at that value. So, technically, this upcoming season, we have 6 players that are 100 percent arguable at that 1.01 value. Wow. Again, though, having one of those top 3RBs is huge.

1.07 – Melvin Gordon (RB/SD)
1.08 – Mike Evans (WR/TB)
1.09 – Todd Gurley (RB/LA)
1.10 – AJ Green (WR/CIN)
1.11 – DeMarco Murray (RB/TEN)
1.12 – DeAnde Hopkins (WR/HOU)

This next group is loaded with risk. Sure, any one of them could be top 5 at their position in 2017. Heck, any one of these guys could be top 1-3 at their position, but every single name in the 1.07-1.12 list above has big risk, from Murray and injury, to Evans and consistency, to Gurley/Hopkins and seeing no signs of life through all of 2016, to AJ Green and injury… etc, etc, etc.

Just missed the list, but deserving of top 7-12 consideration: Devonta Freeman, Jay Ajayi, LeSean McCoy, Jordan Howard, Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson, Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Rob Gronkowski

Week 14 Waiver Wire Advice

smitty staff

Below are our Week 14 Waiver Wire recommendations.

Ladarius Green (TE/PIT)

He appears healthy, and he pulled in 6 receptions for 110 yards and 1TD in Week 13. He’s a strong back-end TE1 moving forward — for as long as he stays healthy that is.

Malcolm Mitchell / Chris Hogan (WR/NE)

He had 8 receptions for 82 yards in Week 13. Rob Gronkowski is out, so that almost guarantees solid targets for Mitchell moving forward! Same goes for Hogan, who will now see more targets moving forward. He pulled in 23 yards and a TD in Week 13.

Mike Gillislee (RB/BUF)

Gillislee would have great numbers per start if McCoy ever missed time. He is even flex-worthy each week in larger leagues, as he could score a TD even in his sharing situation.

Dontrelle Inman (WR/SD)

He seems to find the end zone lately, scoring last week and the week prior.

Adam Thielen (WR/MIN)

He has pulled in at least 5 receptions and at least 50 yards in each of his last three games. Last week, in Week 13, he pulled in 7 receptions for 86 yards.

Radio: Week 11 (WED Show) – IDP

Check out this Week 11 fantasy football radio show, which is the Wednesday IDP Show. Russ Bliss has the longest running radio program in the world, going on 20 years. His show, The Red Zone, is on NBC Sports Radio 1060am every Tuesday and Wednesday during the fantasy football season.

Play Week 11 WED Show!

Radio Show: Russ Bliss’ Redzone August 24th

Below is Russ Bliss’ Red Zone fantasy football show on August 24th, 2016. Russ talks about sleepers, breakouts, fantasy football 2016.

Play Show – August 24th, 2016

Smitty’s 2016 Rankings Cheat Sheet

smitty staff

Here at STARTERS, the famous Draft Analyzer is key to helping you create custom Cheat Sheets for your draft. The tool factors in projections, previous year’s stats, trending, etc, so be sure to use it when getting ready for your draft. However, last year I created my own stand-alone set of Rankings, and while they might differ from the Draft Analyzer here and there, I think it’s important to take a bit of variation with you to your draft! So enjoy, this is my personal set of 2016 Fantasy Football Rankings. For Dynasty Rankings, check out Smitty’s Dynasty Content over at SleeperU.

Smitty’s 2016 Redraft Rankings

Updated: 8/6/16 (these rankings are only updated through Week 1)

QBs

1 Aaron Rodgers
2 Andrew Luck
3 Cam Newton
4 Blake Bortles
5 Drew Brees
6 Russell Wilson
7 Derek Carr
8 Carson Palmer
9 Ben Roethlisberger
10 Tom Brady
11 Eli Manning
12 Philip Rivers
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TEs

1 Rob Gronkowski
2 Greg Olsen
3 Delanie Walker
4 Jordan Reed
5 Travis Kelce
6 Tyler Eifert
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RBs

1 Todd Gurley
2 David Johnson
3 Devonta Freeman
4 Adrian Peterson
5 Ezekiel Elliott
6 Lamar Miller
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WRs

1 Julio Jones
2 Antonio Brown
3 DeAndre Hopkins
4 Odell Beckham
5 Amari Cooper
6 Allen Robinson
7 Dez Bryant
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Bust WRs for 2016?

Below are a few potential 2016 Fantasy Football Busts at WR.

Brandon Marshall NYJ WR

He’s 32 and has played 10 seasons. Sure, he could go through 33 as elite, it happens, but 32-33 is often the age of decline for WRs, so it’s tough to pay a 3rd-round price, which is his going ADP, in 2016 given the chance he declines at some point this year.

Kelvin Benjamin CAR WR

I like his future value, but without much proven on the field, it’s hard to justify his current 3rd-round ADP. If his value drops a round or more, we might like his value this year, but he seems risky as a third player on one’s team.

Julian Edelman NE WR

With Tom Brady serving a multi-game suspension, and with Edelman coming off foot surgery, there is reason to be concerned about drafting Edleman as high as his ADP is coming in at. His ADP is in the 3.10-4.02 area, and that’s way too high for a 30 year old wide receiver coming off injury and missing his QB for multiple games.

Tight Ends Sleepers for 2016

Below you will find a list of 2016 Tight End Sleepers for 2016.

Zach Ertz (TE/PHI)

Chip Kelly held Zach Ertz back a ton in Philly. He did the same to Jordan Matthews. We should see more productive players this year in terms of both of those guys. Ertz has very good TD upside. His TE ADP nears the 10 range, so don’t reach much past that, as he isn’t a sure bet… he is just a nice bet at that 10ish range for TEs for 2016.

Coby Fleener (TE/NO)

His current ADP for tight ends is around the 7-10 range, and with Drew Brees now tossing him the rock, he should have a big season in New Orleans. We would say don’t grab him earlier than you have to, though, but 7-12 for TEs is a great spot. Back him up nicely, though, just in case the transition to NO isn’t a smooth one.

Other TE Sleepers

  • Dwayne Allen (TE/IND)
  • Eric Ebron (TE/DET)
  • Jimmy Graham (TE/SEA)
  • Jordan Cameron (TE/MIA)
  • Richard Rodgers (TE/GB)

Updated 2016 ADP (End of May Edition)

It’s important to constantly look at updated ADP Data, and we will have updates in both June and July for this. Here is the final May Redraft edition of 2016 ADP Data for the 2016 fantasy football season.

ADP Data 2016

  1. Antonio Brown WR PIT
  2. Todd Gurley RB LA
  3. LeVeon Bell RB PIT
  4. Julio Jones WR ATL
  5. Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
  6. Adrian Peterson RB MIN
  7. David Johnson RB ARI
  8. DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
  9. Rob Gronkowski TE NE
  10. Dez Bryant WR DAL
  11. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
  12. Allen Robinson WR JAC
  13. Jamaal Charles RB KC
  14. A.J. Green WR CIN
  15. Devonta Freeman RB ATL
  16. Jordy Nelson WR GB
  17. Lamar Miller RB HOU
  18. Eddie Lacy RB GB
  19. Thomas Rawls RB SEA
  20. Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
  21. Amari Cooper WR OAK
  22. Doug Martin RB TB
  23. Mike Evans WR TB
  24. Mark Ingram RB NO
  25. Keenan Allen WR SD
  26. Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
  27. LeSean McCoy RB BUF
  28. Matt Forte RB NYJ
  29. Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
  30. Sammy Watkins WR BUF
  31. Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
  32. Brandin Cooks WR NO
  33. Julian Edelman WR NE
  34. Jeremy Langford RB CHI
  35. Aaron Rodgers QB GB
  36. Cam Newton QB CAR
  37. CJ Anderson RB DEN
  38. T.Y. Hilton WR IND
  39. Jordan Reed TE WAS
  40. DeMarco Murray RB TEN
  41. Jarvis Landry WR MIA
  42. Andrew Luck QB IND
  43. Carlos Hyde RB SF
  44. Randall Cobb WR GB
  45. Matt Jones RB WAS
  46. Golden Tate WR DET
  47. Doug Baldwin WR SEA
  48. Tyler Eifert TE CIN
  49. Dion Lewis RB NE
  50. Jeremy Hill RB CIN
  51. Greg Olsen TE CAR
  52. Jeremy Maclin WR KC
  53. Ryan Mathews RB PHI
  54. Allen Hurns WR JAC
  55. Jay Ajayi RB MIA
  56. Russell Wilson QB SEA
  57. Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
  58. Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
  59. Melvin Gordon RB SD
  60. Travis Kelce TE KC
  61. Jordan Matthews WR PHI
  62. Tom Brady QB NE
  63. Chris Ivory RB JAC
  64. Delanie Walker TE TEN
  65. Ameer Abdullah RB DET
  66. Latavius Murray RB OAK
  67. Eric Decker WR NYJ
  68. Drew Brees QB NO
  69. Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
  70. TJ Yeldon RB JAC
  71. DeVante Parker WR MIA
  72. Michael Floyd WR ARI
  73. Blake Bortles QB JAC
  74. Frank Gore RB IND
  75. Steve Smith WR BAL
  76. Giovani Bernard RB CIN
  77. Carson Palmer QB ARI
  78. Coby Fleener TE NO
  79. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

Bounce-Back Players for 2016

Below are a list of just a few bounce-back fantasy football candidates heading into the 2016 NFL fantasy football season. Have a few names you want to toss out? Comment below!

Eddie Lacy

Eddie Lacy has reportedly lost 15-18 pounds since the end of last year. Some are even suggesting that he will enter 2016 in the best shape of his life. There are plenty of reasons to doubt him, but if he can be had at RB2 value entering 2016, and currently that’s the case, he has bounce-back written all over him.

Jordy Nelson

Another Packer with bounce-back written all over him. Aaron Rodgers struggled a bit last year, as did the Packers, and one reason is that Rodgers lost Jordy. Jordy is always underrated, but coming off injury, he is more likely to get overlooked than ever. Buy-low, at least until his ADP climbs back into stud range, and it may. Once it does, then he is a tad risky and the appeal is somewhat lost.

Andrew Luck

Most expect a bounce-back, but given that he and Aaron Rodgers both struggled last year, and now with Brady again looking at a 4-game suspension, QBs might fall further than they should in 2016. Take advantage, as Luck (and Rodgers) both have top 10 overall value, it’s just that QBs are waited on in almost every veteran fantasy football draft. At 3rd- and 4th-round value, we say don’t wait, be the one to snag either QB.

Jamaal Charles

He should bounce-back from injury nicely, for at least one season. Don’t spend a top 5RB pick on him, but if you can get him near 2nd-round value, or particularly at 2nd-round value, strike!

DeMarco Murray

Risky, sure, especially with a new team (TEN); however, he is still top 5-10RB skilled, and TEN wanted him, which is a change from his situation in PHI last year. His ADP is in the 3rd/4th, so the risk is very low, whereas the reward is 1st-round possible.