Archive for rookies

Running Backs to Doubt in 2016?

Below you will find a few big name running backs we caution against drafting in 2016, unless the price is right. Everything comes down to value.

Mark Ingram | RB Saints

It’s not that we doubt the guy’s talent, as he can play like a top 10RB when fed the ball. However, his ADP is in the top 10RB range, and that’s a bit high given his injury history and the potential he doesn’t get the carries he deserves. Don’t trade him away on the cheap if you own him in dynasty, but make sure you rank him in the low, low end of the RB2s heading into 2016, this way he won’t disappoint. We’ve seen some value him as a low end RB1 and that’s risky.

CJ Anderson | RB Broncos

Not only is his lack of experience a red flag, so is his inability to stay on the field. And, with Devontae Booker, the new rookie in Denver, now on the Denver roster, Anderson ‘could’ disappoint in 2016. Again, like with Ingram above, don’t sell cheap if you already own him in dynasty, but don’t draft him in upcoming drafts expecting elite RB1 numbers. His ADP is super high and we just don’t like the value even if he is relatively talented. If you plan to roll with CJ this year, just be sure to cuff him to Booker!

Thomas Rawls | RB Seahawks

He is still equal parts sleeper and risk, so know that the potential is there. This is great for those that bought low months and months ago in dynasty. Keep him, or trade him high… but don’t sell dirt cheap. All that said, don’t go drafting him at high-end RB2 value at this point, as the Seahawks drafted two rookies that have big skill sets, one being CJ Prosise. Cuff him to Rawls if you roll with Rawls this year! If drafting today, though, I think I avoid Rawls at his current asking price. I bought low in a lot of leagues, and I’m happy about that, but values change and some players turn into risks at the going rates. This is that situation.

Where to rank Ezekiel Elliott amongst 2016 running backs?

Everyone knows that Ezekiel Elliott is the top-ranked rookie heading into any 2016 rookie-only fantasy football draft. He is the top dog, no question. But, how good can he be right away? Many expect top 4-8RB numbers in time, but can he be that good in just his first season? We say yes. It’s safe to assume, that if healthy, he is going to see the kind of workload in Dallas that could have him producing 1,000-1,200 rushing yards, 25-30 receptions for 300-400 yards and near double-digit touchdowns. It’s tough to expect that out of any rookie rusher, as they often times hit a rookie wall near Weeks 11-14. However, this offensive line in Dallas is elite, and the offense will be more well-rounded than last year, so much so that even if Tony Romo misses some time here or there, the rushing game will help keep defenses honest, something that couldn’t always be said last year. Don’t draft Elliott as a top 5-8RB in 2016, as his ADP is more in the middle-to-late second-round. If you draft him higher than you need to, you limit the upside and ceiling potential and you increase the risk (should he get hurt, or struggle early on).

2016 Rookie-Only Draft (post NFL Draft)

Below is a fresh 2016 Fantasy Football Rookie-Only Expert Draft. This is a real draft amongst ‘experts’ in the fantasy football industry, so it’s an interesting take on where to slot 2016 rookies. With the NFL Draft complete, it’s time to see where the 2016 rookies fall as you prepare for your rookie-only league drafts.

Round One

1.01 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB (R)
1.02 Doctson, Josh WAS WR (R)
1.03 Treadwell, Laquon MIN WR (R)
1.04 Coleman, Corey CLE WR (R)
1.05 Shepard, Sterling NYG WR (R)
1.06 Henry, Derrick TEN RB (R)
1.07 Fuller, Will HOU WR (R)
1.08 Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (R)
1.09 Thomas, Michael NOS WR (R)
1.10 Boyd, Tyler CIN WR (R)
1.11 Carroo, Leonte MIA WR (R)
1.12 Booker, Devontae DEN RB (R)

First-Round Observations: No shock seeign Ezekel Elliott go at the 1.01. In fact, there is no reason you should ever see another player ever drafted at the 1.01 in any upcoming rookie-only draft. I’m not suggesting that a player can’t come out of nowhere and be this year’s David Johnson, but ADPs suggest you can get a TON via trade if you don’t want Elliott for whatever reason. I think the first three receivers going right after Elliott is par for the course, as Doctson, Treadwell and Coleman have the most upside after Elliott, but keep an eye on Kenneth Dixon (1.08) and Devontae Booker (1.12). Derek Henry was a big name player heading into the 2016 NFL Draft, but his situation behind DeMarco Murray is not an attractive one heading into the next couple of years.

The Rest…

Round One

2.01 Prosise, C.J. SEA RB (R)
2.02 Howard, Jordan CHI RB (R)
2.03 Goff, Jared RAM QB (R)
2.04 Perkins, Paul NYG RB (R)
2.05 Marshall, Keith WAS RB (R)
2.06 Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R)
2.07 Thomas, Mike RAM WR (R)
2.08 Williams, Jonathan BUF RB (R)
2.09 Mitchell, Malcolm NEP WR (R)
2.10 Hogan, Chris NEP WR
2.11 Hooper, Austin ATL TE (R)
2.12 Allen, Dwayne IND TE

Round One

3.01 Washington, DeAndre OAK RB (R)
3.02 Higbee, Tyler RAM TE (R)
3.03 Payton, Jordan CLE WR (R)
3.04 Drake, Kenyan MIA RB (R)
3.05 Miller, Braxton HOU WR (R)
3.06 Moore, Chris BAL WR (R)
3.07 Wentz, Carson PHI QB (R)
3.08 Cooper, Pharoh RAM WR (R)
3.09 Ervin, Tyler HOU RB (R)
3.10 Garrett, Keyarris CAR WR (R)
3.11 Smallwood, Wendell PHI RB (R)
3.12 Lynch, Paxton DEN QB (R)

Round One

4.01 Higgins, Rashard CLE WR (R)
4.02 Smelter, DeAndre SFO WR
4.03 Ferguson, Josh IND RB (R)
4.04 Heuerman, Jeff DEN TE
4.05 Collins, Alex SEA RB (R)
4.06 Listenbee, Kolby BUF WR (R)
4.07 Janis, Jeff GBP WR
4.08 Quick, Brian RAM WR
4.09 Peake, Charone NYJ WR (R)
4.10 Miller, Zach CHI TE
4.11 Sharpe, Tajae TEN WR (R)
4.12 Tucker, Justin BAL PK

2016 Rookie Rankings (Post Draft)

Below are our post-draft 2016 Rookie Rankings. We still rounds 4-7 to go, so note that some of the players ranked below could jump up, or down, depending on what team drafts them, or doesn’t draft them, in rounds 4-7. An example of a guy who could jump high is Kenneth Dixon, or even Devontae Booker.

Top Fantasy Football Rankings – Post Draft

  1. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL – He couldn’t have landed in a better spot. He has top 5RB upside for the future and possibly top 5-10 upside for 2016.
  2. Corey Coleman WR CLE – Very talented, he just needs consistent QB play, which may or may not happen in CLE.
  3. Josh Doctson WR WAS – Also very talented. Great landing spot.
  4. Laquon Treadwell WR MIN – Not elite speed wise but if he gets enough targets, which is questionable in MIN, he could develop into a solid NFL wide receiver in 2-3 years.
  5. Derrick Henry RB TEN – Horrible landing spot, as DeMarco Murray is the main man in TEN.
  6. Will Fuller WR HOU – Decent spot, but given Hopkins is a top 1-3 fantasy WR, it’s tough seeing Fuller ever becoming a stud in fantasy.
  7. Kenneth Dixon RB TBA – Hopefully he lands in a good spot in rounds 4-7. If not, he could drop on these rankings. He could also climb high if he finds a great situation. Sleeper!
  8. Carson Wentz QB PHI – Solid situation, good talent. Not sure he is ever going to be a top 5 fantasy QB, though.
  9. Jared Goff QB LA – Same thing said about Wentz goes here.
  10. Paxton Lynch QB DEN – He excites us a touch more than the other two QBs above, but he is more raw and could take longer to develop.
  11. CJ Prosise RB SEA – Not a great spot, but Rawls isn’t exactly a for sure – yet.
  12. Devontae Booker RB TBA – Could be huge if he gets drafted into the right spot in rounds 4-7, or he could drop off the map if drafted as a total backup.
  13. Alex Collins RB TBA – Where will he go? If drafted into a good spot, he jumps a ton! Sleeper!
  14. Michael Thomas WR NO – Good spot, good talent.
  15. Kenyan Drake RB MIA – Good spot, but we don’t love his upside, so this is a good thing for Jay Ajayi.
  16. Tyler Boyd WR CIN – Not elite.
  17. Sterling Shepard WR NYG – Not likely elite.
  18. Braxton Miller WR HOU – Crowded situation.
  19. Leonte Carroo WR MIA – Solid talent, but very, very crowded situation.
  20. The Rest

  21. Keith Marshall RB TBA
  22. Christian Hackenberg QB NYJ
  23. Wendell Smallwood RB TBA
  24. Deandre Washington RB TBA
  25. Hunter Henry TE SD
  26. Austin Hooper TE ATL

2016 NFL Draft Results (Round One)

Below is the entire first-round of the 2016 NFL Draft. View the draft results below, but also comment below on all of the fantasy implications! Look for our fantasy analysis to follow!

1 – Los Angeles Rams: Jared Goff QB CAL
2 – Philadelphia Eagles: Carson Wentz QB North Dakota St.
3 – San Diego Chargers: Joey Bosa DE Ohio St.
4 – Dallas Cowboys: Ezekiel Elliott RB Ohio St.
5 – Jacksonville Jaguars: Jalen Ramsey CB Florida St.
6 – Baltimore Ravens: Ronnie Stanley OT Notre Dame
7 – San Francisco 49ers: DeForest Buckner DE Oregon
8 – Tennessee Titans: Jack Conklin OT Michigan St.
9 – Chicago Bears: Leonard Floyd OLB Georgia
10 – New York Giants: Eli Apple CB Ohio St.
11 – Tampa Bay Bucs: Vernon Hargreaves III CB Florida
12 – New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Rankins DE Louisville
13 – Miami Dolphins: Laremy Tunsil OT Ole Miss
14 – Oakland Raiders: Karl Joseph S West Virginia
15 – Cleveland Browns: Corey Coleman WR Baylor
16 – Detroit Lions: Taylor Decker OT Ohio St.
17 – Atlanta Falcons: Keanu Neal S Florida
18 – Indianapolis Colts: Ryan Kelly C Alabama
19 – Buffalo Bills: Shaq Lawson DE Clemson
20 – New York Jets: Darron Lee OLB Ohio St.
21 – Houston Texans: Will Fuller WR Notre Dame
22 – Washington Redskins: Josh Doctson WR TCU
23 – Minnesota Vikings: Laquon Treadwell WR Ole Miss
24 – Cincinnati Bengals: William Jackson III CB Houston
25 – Pittsburgh Steelers: Artie Burns CB Miami
26 – Denver Broncos: Paxton Lynch QB Memphis
27 – Green Bay Packers: Kenny Clark DT UCLA
28 – San Francisco 49ers: Joshua Garnett G Stanford
30 – Arizona Cardinals: Robert Nkemdiche DT Ole Miss
31 – Carolina Panthers: Vernon Butler DT Louisiana Tech
32 – Seattle Seahawks: Germain Ifedi OT Texas A&M

Final 2016 NFL Mock Draft

Below is our Final 2016 NFL Mock Draft prior to the 2016 NFL Draft, which takes place this week (Thursday). Who will your favorite team draft this week?

2016 NFL Mock Draft

1 – Los Angeles Rams: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
2 – Philadelphia Eagles: Jared Goff, QB, California
3 – San Diego Chargers: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
4 – Dallas Cowboys: Joey Bosa, DE/OLB, Ohio State
5 – Jacksonville Jaguars: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
6 – Baltimore Ravens: Jalen Ramsey, S/CB, Florida State
7 – San Francisco 49ers: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
8 – Cleveland Browns: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
9 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DeForest Buckner, DE/DT, Oregon
10 – New York Giants: Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida
11 – Chicago Bears: Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State
12 – New Orleans Saints: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
13 – Miami Dolphins: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
14 – Oakland Raiders: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
15 – Tennessee Titans: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
16 – Detroit Lions: Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
17 – Atlanta Falcons: Darron Lee, OLB, Ohio State
18 – Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
19 – Buffalo Bills: Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
20 – New York Jets: Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech
21 – Washington Redskins: Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
22 – Houston Texans: William Jackson, CB, Houston
23 – Minnesota Vikings: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
24 – Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
25 – Pittsburgh Steelers: Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
26 – Seattle Seahawks: Taylor Decker, OT/G, Ohio State
27 – Green Bay Packers: Jonathan Bullard, DE/DT, Florida
28 – Kansas City Chiefs: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
29 – Arizona Cardinals: Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
31 – Carolina Panthers: Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
30 – Denver Broncos: A’Shawn Robinson, DE/DT, Alabama
2.01 – Cleveland Browns: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson

2016 Rookie-Only Fantasy Mock Draft

1.01 – Ezekiel Elliott (RB)
1.02 – Derrick Henry (RB)
1.03 – Laquon Treadwell (WR)
1.04 – Josh Doctson (WR)
1.05 – Kenneth Dixon (RB)
1.06 – Tyler Boyd (WR)
1.07 – Alex Collins (RB)
1.08 – Michael Thomas (WR)
1.09 – Cj Prosise (RB)
1.10 – Devontae Booker (RB)
1.11 – Will Fuller (WR)
1.12 – Corey Coleman (WR)

Comments: There really is zero question who the top-ranked rookie is in this year’s 2016 NFL Draft class. Ezekiel Elliott would have to get drafted into a very, very bad situation to not remain the consensus 1.01 post-draft. Landing spots are clearly important, and a great landing spot for Derrick Henry could very well close the gap between he and Elliott, but that’s the only scenario we see, as of now, where Elliott isn’t miles ahead of the pack on any dynasty/rookie rankings.

Worth Consideration:

Keith Marshall (RB)
Wendell Smallwood (RB)
Deandre Washington (RB)
Josh Ferguson (RB)
Paul Perkins (RB)
Aaron Green (RB)
Johnathan Williams (RB)

2016 Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings

Laquon Treadwell WR (Ole Miss)

Treadwell is most everyone’s lock as this year’s top WR, but there are some concerns about speed and being able to separate from defenders at that next level. He’s a good blocker, and while he has upside, there is some risk that expectations are too high and he turns into a possession type receiver.

Josh Doctson WR (TCU)

A great combine has ensured his place in the top 1-3 for 2016 rookie WRs. He could be amazing in the right spot, but he will need a good passer and plenty of targets.

Michael Thomas WR (Ohio State)

This kid has great size and speed. Some call him the most well-rounded receiver of this year’s group. Some feel he could go in the late first-round, some suggest the second-round. Where he lands will determine if he has high-end WR2-type appeal or WR3-type appeal.

Will Fuller WR (Notre Dame)

This guy is a big-time deep-threat and proved it at the combine, running a 4.32 forty. His hands, and hand size, are the only real question with Fuller. He will either be a deep-threat and only that, think Ted Ginn Jr., or a stud. He could go in either direction, so landing spot will be critical.

Next Group

Tyler Boyd WR (Pittsburgh)
Corey Coleman WR (Baylor)
Braxton Miller WR (Ohio State)
Pharoh Cooper WR (South Carolina)
Rashard Higgins WR (Colorado State)
Sterling Shepard WR (Oklahoma)

Radio: 2016 Running Backs!!! Russ and Smitty Talk Dynasty.

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Take a listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk 2016 Fantasy Football Running Backs. Looking for 2016 dynasty fantasy football talk? This is the radio show you’re looking for!

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Sunday Morning Breaking News (Week 14)

Below is our Breaking News Wire for Week 14. Check back all morning long, and stay tuned to our Smart Alerts as well, as news can often break last-minute!


NEWS: According to reports, Browns TE Travis Benjamin (shoulder) and TE Gary Barnidge (ankle) are both expected to start Week 14 on Sunday.

FANTASY: Johnny Manziel loves Travis Benjamin, so as long as he remains a go, he is a strong WR this week.


NEWS: According to reports, Chargers QB Philip Rivers (flu) is expected to start Week 13 against KC.

FANTASY: “Expected” is the keyword here, so play this with caution, especially given the QB has lost so many weapons this year. Check back, but for now, he is ‘expected’ to play.


NEWS: NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has reported that NE TE Rob Gronkowski (knee) will be ready “if needed” for Sunday’s Week 14 game against the Texans.

FANTASY: This went from him not looking likely to play, to looking very likely given that he made the flight with the team… now, he could be ready on an emergency basis, or decoy. This will be a game-time call, so keep checking back on this one!


NEWS: According to reports, Packers RB Eddie Lacy will be the Packers’ top runner on Sunday against the Cowboys.

FANTASY: Last week was a disaster, after Lacy missed curfew and killed fantasy owners in unexpected fashion. This week, he should be considered a RB2 with high upside, but also a touch of risk.


NEWS: According to Rotoworld, NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport is reporting that the Eagles have “weighed all options” in regards to RB DeMarco Murray including benching him, and the team has already announced that Darren Sproles will be the feature back in Week 14.

FANTASY: Murray owners have had enough, and hopefully most of you own Sproles. Sproles is a very solid flex play this week (with upside for more), while Murray, right now, is looking like a “hopefully something changes in his favor next season” type of player.


NEWS: According to reports, Ravens QB Matt Schaub (questionable, chest) is not expected to play Week 14 on Sunday.

FANTASY: Jimmy Clausen will likely start against Seattle in Week 14.


NEWS: Ravens TE Crockett Gillmore (back) is doubtful for Week 14 against the Seahawks.

FANTASY: If we hear more, we will let you know!