Archive for redraft

Week 3 Buy Lows/Sell Highs

smitty staff

Ok, so we are already heading into Week 3 and many teams/owners have been hit hard by injuries. Maybe you lost Adrian Peterson? Maybe Doug Martin? How about Corey Coleman? Ok, well, let’s dig into a list of names that are good buy lows, and also a list of names that are good targets to sell off on the hight (maybe to get some of these buy lows). Here we go.

Buy Lows

Devonta Freeman (RB/ATL) – He comes with a boatload of risk and upside at this point. If you need a spark and are willing to take the risk that he shares carries all year, roll the dice!

Allen Robinson (WR/JAC) – The dude is elite and just waiting to drop a big game. Buy low while his owners worry he had a fluke of a season last year. He is easily a top 12 overall pick if drafting today.

Blake Bortles (QB/JAC) – Like ARob above, and their success is linked, I think breakout is near. Trade for both ARob and Bortles before they drop huge games this week or next week.

Amari Cooper (WR/OAK) – After a big week one, he had a disappointing Week 2, and for some reason that one single bad week already has many wondering if he has WR1-type ability. Really? This is a top 4-6 fantasy WR if you ask me, and I buy low any chance I get, even if this isn’t a huge, huge buy low (and more of a slight down tick in value).

Sell High

Philip Rivers (QB/SD) – I’ve seen two owners land Aaron Rodgers using Rivers already. After two weeks! See if you can get this kind of value for the passer (Rivers), who has lost both of his top two receiving options.

Cam Newton (QB/CAR) – I can’t stress this enough, but ONLY trade Newt if you are selling through the rough, and I’m talking an arm and a leg. And, only do this if you own Newt but have to make a move to stay in the mix. Meaning, your team is underperforming outside of Newt, or you were hit hard with injuries. This is the time to not consider him a bust, no, that’s not what selling high always means… it just means, in this case, you need to get two pieces for one, and the kind of deal I’d look to do is a Bortles/Landry or Bortles/McCoy… something like that is possible using Newt, and something like that could revive a season.

DeAngelo Williams (RB/CAR) – I almost say let it ride if you own DWill and cannot get awesome value. Keep in mind that Bell may struggle a bit coming back, maybe he even gets hurt trying to do too much too fast. It happens all the time. However, if you can sell high, and I mean for a strong starting piece for your lineup, consider the trade. Or, get crafty and at least trade for a stash in waiting, like Derrick Henry (as one example).

Matthew Stafford (QB/DET) – I don’t see Stafford continue to play at the level he is playing at, and I think he can be sold high to improve a team moving forward.

Matt Forte (RB/NYJ) – This is again one of those situations like Cam Newton above, don’t sell low or even at even value. Sell high or not at all. Forte is playing awesome, and he may continue that awesome play. But, if your team is in need, and only if it’s in need, consider selling high for two players. Just make sure it’s an awesome deal or hold tight!

Radio: Week 3 Trade and Waiver Advice

russ-staff

Check out Russ Bliss’ Week 3 Radio Show, The Red Zone, which can be heard below (and live every Tuesday and Wednesday on NBC Sports Radio 1060am). Checkout the entire Week 3 Tuesday show below, as Smitty and Russ Bliss talk injuries, trade advice, waiver wire advice and start bench advice.

Play Week 3 Show!

Week 3 Waiver Wire

Players Not Likely Available

Make sure these guys aren’t sitting on waivers. If so, grab them ASAP!

Stefon Diggs (WR/MIN) – Top level WR3 moving forward, with upside for more!
Corey Coleman (WR/CLE) – With the QB situation a mess in CLE, it’s tough to say how consistent he will be, but a must own!

Available In Most Leagues

These players are far more likely to be available in fantasy leagues than the group above.

Travis Benjamin (WR/SD) – High upside as the team’s likely no. 1 moving forward!
Jerick McKinnon (RB/MIN) – Most own with AP on the mend for a while.
Charles Sims (RB/TB) – Martin is banged up and questionable for Week 3.
Tyrell Williams (WR/SD) – Benjamin might be better for 2016, but this kid has huge upside for the future, and nice WR3/4 value in fantasy moving forward.
Devontae Booker (RB/DEN) – Huge sleeper stash!
Kenyan Drake/Jay Ajayi (RBs/MIA) – RBBC mess in MIA!
Dennis Pitta (TE/BAL) – Solid numbers lately, but can he stay healthy?
Fozzy Whittaker/Cameron Artis Payne/Mike Tolbert (RBs/CAR) – Stewart could be out at least a week. Fozzy is the guy to own, for now. This could be a mess of a RBBC situation.
DeAndre Washington (RB/OAK) – Nice stash.

Radio: Week 2 fantasy talk

smitty staff

Listen to both Russ Bliss and Smitty talk Week 2 fantasy football on Russ’ Weekly Red Zone fantasy football radio show on NBC Sports Radio 1060am.

Listen to Week 2 Show

Week 2 Waiver Wire

smitty staff

Note: Spencer Ware is not likely available in most all leagues, but check, as the guy had 70 rushing and a score on the ground and over 100 receiving yards through the air in Week 1. He was also a breakout of ours this year, another reason he shouldn’t be available in your league. Ok, so here are the Week 2 Players to consider adding entering Week 2.

Week 2 Waiver Wire

  • Willie Snead – A strong WR3/4 player in fantasy moving forward; he pulled in 9-of-9 targets for 173 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 against the Raiders.
  • Mohamed Sanu – A strong WR3/4 player in fantasy moving forward; he pulled in 5-of-8 targets for 80 yards and a touchdown in Week 1.
  • Theo Riddick – Riddick rushed seven times for 45 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, and he also caught 5-of-5 targets for 63 yards and another touchdown. He has RB2 appeal in all PPR formats.
  • Chris Hogan – Not likely available in many leagues, it’s worth checking! He is the No. 2 in NE, and that means something, especially when Brady comes back from his suspension. In Week 1, Hogan grabbed 60 yards and a touchdown.
  • Carson Wentz – The Eagles QB has a bright future and makes for a solid add even in redraft.
  • Eli Rogers – The NO. 2 in PIT this year could spell a good WR3/4 season in fantasy!
  • Travis Benjamin – Keenan Allen is now out (ACL), so this guy is the team’s new No. 1 WR, and that makes him a solid WR3/4 moving forward.
  • Will Fuller – He caught 5 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 and should be owned as a WR3/4 moving forward.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 264 passing yards and one touchdown in Week 1 at Arizona. Until Brady returns, he is a solid backup passer in deep leagues.

More

  • Shane Vereen
  • Josh McCown
  • Quincy Enunwa
  • Anquan Boldin
  • Alfred Morris
  • Mike Wallace
  • Cole Beasley
  • Tyrell Williams

Radio: Full Fantasy Show from 9-6-16

smitty staff

Take a listen to both Russ Bliss and Smitty as they discuss Sleepers, Breakouts, Trade Advice, Start Bench Advice and more heading into the 2016 fantasy football season.

Play Entire Show

Radio: Dak Prescott to breakout in 2016?

smitty staff

Take a listen/watch both Russ Bliss and Smitty talk up Dak Prescott heading into the 2016 fantasy football season. Is Dak Prescott set to breakout?

Video: Fantasy Draft Prep Show

Below is our 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Prep Video Show, a video show created from Starters’ recent Red Zone 1060am NBC Sports Radio fantasy football show.

RB Analysis (32-Team Breakdown)

smitty staff

Below you will find my take on the 32 running back situations heading into the 2016 fantasy football season!

AFC

BUF: LeSean McCoy RB – The clear starter and potential a top 5-10RB in 2016. Just be sure to handcuff him to Mike Gillislee.

MIA: Arian Foster RB – He should have a nice season per start, but will he start many games, or will he get hurt fast? He should be handcuffed to Jay Ajayi

NE: LeGarrette Blount RB – The early favorite for starter carries with Dion Lewis likely to miss at least 8 weeks. James White and Tyler Gaffney command consideration, as this is NE, anyone could be starting by Week 5.

NYJ: Matt Forte RB – He is 30, and Bilal Powell is kind of a threat, but Forte has a good situation and could be one of this year’s “I shouldn’t have written him off yet as a RB1” type calls.

BAL: RB – While the early favorite to start, Buck Allen, Terrance West and Kenneth Dixon (injured, could miss several weeks) make this a cloudy situation, and one to avoid unless the value is right/low-risk.

CIN: Jeremy Hill RB – This is one undervalued RB that could play like a low-end RB1 this year. Gio Bernard is a solid flex grab all on his own, but a must-own for all Hill owners. Gio would thrive if forced to start, keep that in mind.

CLE: Isaiah Crowell RB – Looking like the clear starter, Crowell has one of the most talented backups in the league right behind him in Duke Johnson (who caught 60 balls for 500+ yards last year in a non-starting role. Imagine him starting and getting the rushes! Duke is the long-term bet come mid-season.

PIT: LeVeon Bell RB – He will miss three games, but he is still a top 7-10 overall pick in redraft. DeAngelo Williams is a must-own and will play like a low-end RB1 in Weeks 1-3.

HOU: Lamar Miller RB – Get ready for a top 5-10RB season!

IND: Frank Gore RB – He is old and injury is always a worry, but rookie Josh Ferguson is not impressing (yet), and Robert Turbin and Jordan Todman are the only other RBs that could steal carries. Todman is talented, but I’m not so sure the team would turn to him (at least right away) if Gore got hurt.

JAC: T.J. Yeldon RB – He’s the back to own if forced to pick between he and co-starter Chris Ivory, however, with Ivory looking like the goal line guy, this is a RBBC to avoid until one becomes the clear starter, which might only happen with injury.

TEN: DeMarco Murray RB – Derrick Henry looks good, and he would thrive starting, but Murray is the main guy and will have a great season if he stays healthy. He’s a sneaky-good RB2 this year, as somehow people are valuing him at lower value than that!

DEN: CJ Anderson RB – The clear starter, but both Devontae Booker and Ronnie Hillman could steal more touches than people think by 3-4 weeks into the season. Booker has the home upside of all the DEN rushers.

KC: Jamaal Charles RB – A top 5-10RB this year according to must, but he MUST be handcuffed to both Spencer Ware/C-West, and owning just the duo backups is often a great strategy to use!

OAK: Latavius Murray RB – The clear starter, but as the season moves along, DeAndre Washington could start making it tough for the Raiders to give Murray all the carries. Murray has the talent, but he needs to step up.

SD: Melvin Gordon RB – Breakout season coming!

NFC

DAL: Ezekiel Elliott RB – He could hit a rookie wall near Weeks 10-11, and that would be a great time to laterally trade in redraft… keep that in mind. But, he has a great situation, and he can be a top 4-8RB in 2016 when all is said and done!

NYG: Rashad Jennings RB – The clear starter, but Shane Vereen will pull in a lot of passes and will cut into the receptions that could be going to Jennings.

PHI: Ryan Mathews RB – He is the clear starter as of now, but staying healthy could be tough for the RB. Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood would fight for carries if Mathews went down.

WAS: Matt Jones RB – Banged up now, he could return in Week 1 or soon after. Rob Kelley is a must-own and will likely start Week 1 if Jones isn’t ready for Week 1.

CHI: Jeremy Langford RB – A big time breakout candidate.

DET: Ameer Abdullah RB – He should breakout this year, but if he drops the ball early and often, look for Theo Riddick to be the guy to own. Interesting fact: Riddick pulled in 80 receptions last year.

GB: Eddie Lacy RB – Lots of bust potential here. James Starks is a must-own.

MIN: Adrian Peterson RB – He should have one more elite season left.

ATL: Devonta Freeman RB – So underrated it’s crazy! He was the top RB last year, and his so called ‘drop off’ was not something that should scare off anyone, as his ‘drop off’ was still an elite RB numbers wise. Tevin Coleman is a must-own.

CAR: Jonathan Stewart RB – Hard to trust the guy, but he is younger than Matt Forte if you can believe that. Cameron Artis-Payne is a must-own.

NO: Mark Ingram RB – A top 10RB if healthy.

TB: Doug Martin RB – Kind of an underrated top 7-10RB this year. Charles Sims is a must-own.

AZ: David Johnson RB – His coaches call him the best receiving back they’ve ever seen — A top 1-3RB season in the cards! Chris Johnson is a must-own.

STL: Todd Gurley RB – Double-digit TDs and 1,400 rushing yards is in the cards in 2016. He might turn out to be a much better WR than people are projecting, keep that in mind, too.

SF: Carlos Hyde RB – A breakout season on the way, he just needs to stay healthy!

SEA: Thomas Rawls RB – The starter, if healthy, but watch out for Christine Michael, who has nothing to lose. He also has tremendous talent. Michael could be a huge force if given starter carries!

Updated ADP Data (2016)

smitty staff

Below is current 2016 ADP Data (Average Draft Position Data), which was created using a number of reliable ADP data sources in the industry. It’s super important for all fantasy football drafters to take a fresh set of ADP Data with them to their draft, as you need to know where players are getting taken on average. This helps you avoid reaching too early for sleepers and helps you avoid missing out on drafting your targeted players.

ADP Data | 2016

Date: 8/28/16

Pick Name Pos Team Bye
1.01 Antonio Brown WR PIT 8
1.02 Todd Gurley RB LA 8
1.03 Julio Jones WR ATL 11
1.04 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG 8
1.05 David Johnson RB ARI 9
1.06 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 6
1.07 A.J. Green WR CIN 9
1.08 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL 7
1.09 LeVeon Bell RB PIT 8
1.10 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 9
1.11 Dez Bryant WR DAL 7
1.12 Lamar Miller RB HOU 9
2.01 Allen Robinson WR JAC 5
2.02 Rob Gronkowski TE NE 9
2.03 Jamaal Charles RB KC 5
2.04 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 11
2.05 Eddie Lacy RB GB 4
2.06 Devonta Freeman RB ATL 11
2.07 Jordy Nelson WR GB 4
2.08 LeSean McCoy RB BUF 10
2.09 Mike Evans WR TB 6
2.10 Keenan Allen WR SD 11
2.11 Mark Ingram RB NO 5
2.12 Doug Martin RB TB 6
3.01 Amari Cooper WR OAK 10
3.02 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 9
3.03 Brandin Cooks WR NO 5
3.04 CJ Anderson RB DEN 11
3.05 Sammy Watkins WR BUF 10
3.06 Cam Newton QB CAR 7
3.07 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 11
3.08 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 4
3.09 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 7
3.10 Carlos Hyde RB SF 8
3.11 T.Y. Hilton WR IND 10
3.12 Randall Cobb WR GB 4
4.01 DeMarco Murray RB TEN 13
4.02 Jarvis Landry WR MIA 8
4.03 Jeremy Hill RB CIN 9
4.04 Matt Forte RB NYJ 11
4.05 Jeremy Langford RB CHI 9
4.06 Jordan Reed TE WAS 9
4.07 Andrew Luck QB IND 10
4.08 Thomas Rawls RB SEA 5
4.09 Jeremy Maclin WR KC 5
4.10 Julian Edelman WR NE 9
4.11 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 7
4.12 Donte Moncrief WR IND 10
5.01 Latavius Murray RB OAK 10
5.02 Eric Decker WR NYJ 11
5.03 Greg Olsen TE CAR 7
5.04 Russell Wilson QB SEA 5
5.05 Ryan Mathews RB PHI 4
5.06 Melvin Gordon RB SD 11
5.07 Josh Gordon WR CLE 13
5.08 Arian Foster RB MIA 8
5.09 Golden Tate WR DET 10
5.10 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 5
5.11 Michael Floyd WR ARI 9
5.12 Drew Brees QB NO 5
6.01 Allen Hurns WR JAC 5
6.02 Marvin Jones WR DET 10
6.03 DeAngelo Williams RB PIT 8
6.04 Ameer Abdullah RB DET 10
6.05 Rashad Jennings RB NYG 8
6.06 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 8
6.07 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 9
6.08 Tyler Lockett WR SEA 5
6.09 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 11
6.10 Tom Brady QB NE 9
6.11 John Brown WR ARI 9
6.12 Frank Gore RB IND 10
7.01 Matt Jones RB WAS 9
7.02 Travis Kelce TE KC 5
7.03 Coby Fleener TE NO 5
7.04 Delanie Walker TE TEN 13
7.05 Giovani Bernard RB CIN 9
7.06 Duke Johnson RB CLE 13
7.07 Carson Palmer QB ARI 9
7.08 Blake Bortles QB JAC 5
7.09 Derrick Henry RB TEN 13
7.10 Jordan Matthews WR PHI 4
7.11 Tyler Eifert TE CIN 9
7.12 LeGarrette Blount RB NE 9
8.01 DeVante Parker WR MIA 8
8.02 Chris Ivory RB JAC 5
8.03 Danny Woodhead RB SD 11
8.04 Justin Forsett RB BAL 8
8.05 Sterling Shepard WR NYG 8
8.06 Gary Barnidge TE CLE 13
8.07 Eli Manning QB NYG 8
8.08 Corey Coleman WR CLE 13
8.09 DeSean Jackson WR WAS 9
8.10 TJ Yeldon RB JAC 5
8.11 Kevin White WR CHI 9
8.12 Michael Crabtree WR OAK 10
9.01 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 13
9.02 Jay Ajayi RB MIA 8
9.03 Philip Rivers QB SD 11
9.04 Julius Thomas TE JAC 5
9.05 Stefon Diggs WR MIN 6
9.06 Denver Defense DEF DEN 11
9.07 Dion Lewis RB NE 9
9.08 Charles Sims RB TB 6
9.09 Christine Michael RB SEA 5
9.10 Kamar Aiken WR BAL 8
9.11 Derek Carr QB OAK 10
9.12 Tevin Coleman RB ATL 11
10.01 Arizona Defense DEF ARI 9
10.02 Antonio Gates TE SD 11
10.03 Devontae Booker RB DEN 11
10.04 Torrey Smith WR SF 8
10.05 Seattle Defense DEF SEA 5
10.06 Bilal Powell RB NYJ 11
10.07 Travis Benjamin WR SD 11
10.08 Devin Funchess WR CAR 7
10.09 Tyrod Taylor QB BUF 10
10.10 Markus Wheaton WR PIT 8
10.11 Michael Thomas WR NO 5
10.12 Carolina Defense DEF CAR 7
11.01 Jimmy Graham TE SEA 5
11.02 James White RB NE 9
11.03 Kirk Cousins QB WAS 9
11.04 Matthew Stafford QB DET 10
11.05 Willie Snead WR NO 5
11.06 Zach Ertz TE PHI 4
11.07 Kansas City Defense DEF KC 5
11.08 DeAndre Washington RB OAK 10
11.09 Tavon Austin WR LA 8
11.10 Alfred Morris RB DAL 7
11.11 Martellus Bennett TE NE 9
11.12 Mohamed Sanu WR ATL 11
12.01 Steve Smith WR BAL 8
12.02 Vincent Jackson WR TB 6
12.03 Houston Defense DEF HOU 9
12.04 Jameis Winston QB TB 6
12.05 Tyler Boyd WR CIN 9
12.06 Andy Dalton QB CIN 9
12.07 Minnesota Defense DEF MIN 6
12.08 Dwayne Allen TE IND 10
12.09 Chris Johnson RB ARI 9
12.10 Rishard Matthews WR TEN 13
12.11 Tajae Sharpe WR TEN 13
12.12 Theo Riddick RB DET 10
13.01 James Starks RB GB 4
13.02 Matt Ryan QB ATL 11
13.03 Marcus Mariota QB TEN 13
13.04 Robert Griffin III QB CLE 13
13.05 Tony Romo QB DAL 7
13.06 Stephen Gostkowski PK NE 9
13.07 Charcandrick West RB KC 5
13.08 Spencer Ware RB SEA 5
13.09 Sammie Coates WR PIT 8
13.10 NY Jets Defense DEF NYJ 11
13.11 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 6
13.12 Phillip Dorsett WR IND 10
14.01 Terrelle Pryor WR CLE 13
14.02 Darren Sproles RB PHI 4
14.03 Los Angeles Defense DEF LA 8
14.04 Justin Tucker PK BAL 8
14.05 Ladarius Green TE PIT 8
14.06 Jason Witten TE DAL 7
14.07 Laquon Treadwell WR MIN 6
14.08 Jared Cook TE GB 4
14.09 Terrance West RB BAL 8
14.10 Zach Miller TE CHI 9
14.11 Mike Wallace WR BAL 8
14.12 Steven Hauschka PK SEA 5