Archive for drafts & mocks

What WRs are jumping out on the 2016 Draft Analyzer Rankings?

Allen Robinson | JAC

(ranked inside 2-3 for WRs)

Depending on your scoring settings, Allen Robinson is likely getting top 3WR love from the 2016 Draft Analyzer. Of course, don’t draft him that high, as his ADP is around 2.01 -2.03, which right around the 6th- to 7th-ranked WR in most drafts. Use ADPs to your advantage while realizing that the Draft Analyzer is seeing some overwhelmingly-positive data-driven things in Robinson heading into 2016.

More WRs Ranking High on the Draft Analyzer

Brandin Cooks – NO – He is currently ranking in inside the top 8-11 for WRs on the Draft Analyzer, depending on your entered league scoring. There is a lot to like about Cooks, and certainly use his third-round ADP to your advantage. He is roughly the 14th-16th ranked WR in most any draft, so be sure to draft him there, but understand that the Analyzer is calling for a big season out of the guy.

Jarvis Landry – MIA – He is definitely a breakout candidate, and the Analyzer is ranking him near the top 9-11 for WRs. Again, as said above, this is higher than his ADP, by about 5-7 WR spots, so use ADPs to your advantage and just know that the Analyzer is predicting big things out of Landry in 2016.

Allen Hurns – JAC – As with Landry and Cooks, Hurns is ranking in, according to the Draft Analyzer, near the top 10-13 for WRs in 2016. This is about 2-3 rounds higher than his ADP, which has him coming in around the 18th-21st ranked WR in an average draft. Expect big things, but draft accordingly and not too early.

Randall Cobb – GB – A forgotten man, Cobb should rebound in 2016, as will Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Cobb is right around the 15th-18th ranked WR in most any mock draft, but the Analyzer is calling for a top 10-12 fantasy season. Use this info to your advantage, but draft as low as you can, as the ADPs suggest you can.

Updated 2016 ADP (End of May Edition)

It’s important to constantly look at updated ADP Data, and we will have updates in both June and July for this. Here is the final May Redraft edition of 2016 ADP Data for the 2016 fantasy football season.

ADP Data 2016

  1. Antonio Brown WR PIT
  2. Todd Gurley RB LA
  3. LeVeon Bell RB PIT
  4. Julio Jones WR ATL
  5. Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
  6. Adrian Peterson RB MIN
  7. David Johnson RB ARI
  8. DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
  9. Rob Gronkowski TE NE
  10. Dez Bryant WR DAL
  11. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
  12. Allen Robinson WR JAC
  13. Jamaal Charles RB KC
  14. A.J. Green WR CIN
  15. Devonta Freeman RB ATL
  16. Jordy Nelson WR GB
  17. Lamar Miller RB HOU
  18. Eddie Lacy RB GB
  19. Thomas Rawls RB SEA
  20. Alshon Jeffery WR CHI
  21. Amari Cooper WR OAK
  22. Doug Martin RB TB
  23. Mike Evans WR TB
  24. Mark Ingram RB NO
  25. Keenan Allen WR SD
  26. Demaryius Thomas WR DEN
  27. LeSean McCoy RB BUF
  28. Matt Forte RB NYJ
  29. Brandon Marshall WR NYJ
  30. Sammy Watkins WR BUF
  31. Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR
  32. Brandin Cooks WR NO
  33. Julian Edelman WR NE
  34. Jeremy Langford RB CHI
  35. Aaron Rodgers QB GB
  36. Cam Newton QB CAR
  37. CJ Anderson RB DEN
  38. T.Y. Hilton WR IND
  39. Jordan Reed TE WAS
  40. DeMarco Murray RB TEN
  41. Jarvis Landry WR MIA
  42. Andrew Luck QB IND
  43. Carlos Hyde RB SF
  44. Randall Cobb WR GB
  45. Matt Jones RB WAS
  46. Golden Tate WR DET
  47. Doug Baldwin WR SEA
  48. Tyler Eifert TE CIN
  49. Dion Lewis RB NE
  50. Jeremy Hill RB CIN
  51. Greg Olsen TE CAR
  52. Jeremy Maclin WR KC
  53. Ryan Mathews RB PHI
  54. Allen Hurns WR JAC
  55. Jay Ajayi RB MIA
  56. Russell Wilson QB SEA
  57. Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
  58. Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
  59. Melvin Gordon RB SD
  60. Travis Kelce TE KC
  61. Jordan Matthews WR PHI
  62. Tom Brady QB NE
  63. Chris Ivory RB JAC
  64. Delanie Walker TE TEN
  65. Ameer Abdullah RB DET
  66. Latavius Murray RB OAK
  67. Eric Decker WR NYJ
  68. Drew Brees QB NO
  69. Jonathan Stewart RB CAR
  70. TJ Yeldon RB JAC
  71. DeVante Parker WR MIA
  72. Michael Floyd WR ARI
  73. Blake Bortles QB JAC
  74. Frank Gore RB IND
  75. Steve Smith WR BAL
  76. Giovani Bernard RB CIN
  77. Carson Palmer QB ARI
  78. Coby Fleener TE NO
  79. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI

Who is the 1.01?

We have addressed this topic earlier this off-season, but it’s time to address it again, as we are nearing June 1. Who is the 1.01 in fantasy football heading into 2016?. Of course, much depends on your scoring, as wide receivers are surely in the conversation if we’re talking about a PPR draft. And, for the most part, dynasty and redraft usually have slightly different top five ranked players. This year, dynasty and redraft look very much the same, so it really boils down to PPR or non-PPR, which we will mention below, however, we will rank the below players as if we are talking PPR.

Todd Gurley | STL RB

Todd Gurley is the safest RB to rank at the 1.01, and because he might be heads and shoulders above the rest of the 2016 rushers (minus a few names, which we will list below), going RB over WR makes a lot of sense when Gurley is sitting there. Gurley posted 229 uards for 1,106 yards, 10TDs, and 21 receptions for 188 yards. However, he didn’t really get the start until Week 4, as he barely played Week 3. So, if you pace out his stats, he essentially was on pace for 1,462 yards, 13TDs rushing, 26 receptions for 244 yards. As a rookie! If he gets more production through the air, which I expect he will, I think he can easily drop 1,700 combine rushing/receiving yards and 12-15TDs in 2016. The thing is, he has upside for more. To me, he is the safest 1.01 in all formats, dynasty to redraft, and even in PPR… I say this because there aren’t a ton of 1.01 worthy RBs this year, however, there are up to 4-5 WRs, if not a few more, that can actually be the best fantasy WR in football this year.

All this said above, below are a handful of excellent choices for the 1.01, as there is not just one player worthy of the selection (despite Gurley feeling like the overall safest).

More 1.01-worthy players:

Julio Jones (ATL, WR) – In PPR especially, he could be the top overall scorer, so he needs to be considered. He is a top 1-3 lock in any draft. With a high first-round draft slot, that means you will likely have back-to-back, or near back-to-back, picks near the bottom of the second/early third, so RBs will be available to you later, which means going WR in the 1.01-1.04 range does not mean you will be weak at RB in 2016.

Antonio Brown (PIT, WR) – Everything said above about Julio can be said here.

Le’Veon Bell (PIT, RB) – Only his knee recovery has him not locked into the 1.01 above with Todd Gurley. If he proves 100 percent before draft day, which isn’t likely the case, as he will probably play it safe heading into Week 1, he would be absolutely tied with Gurley above.

Other players, like Odell Beckham and DeAndre Hopkins, should be talked about, but early ADPs suggest both will fall at least to the 3-5 range, meaning if you want one of these 1.01-capable studs in Beckham and Hopkins, consider trading down to the 3-5 range. Both are easily capable of being 1.01 good, though.

2016 Rookie-Only Draft (post NFL Draft)

Below is a fresh 2016 Fantasy Football Rookie-Only Expert Draft. This is a real draft amongst ‘experts’ in the fantasy football industry, so it’s an interesting take on where to slot 2016 rookies. With the NFL Draft complete, it’s time to see where the 2016 rookies fall as you prepare for your rookie-only league drafts.

Round One

1.01 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB (R)
1.02 Doctson, Josh WAS WR (R)
1.03 Treadwell, Laquon MIN WR (R)
1.04 Coleman, Corey CLE WR (R)
1.05 Shepard, Sterling NYG WR (R)
1.06 Henry, Derrick TEN RB (R)
1.07 Fuller, Will HOU WR (R)
1.08 Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (R)
1.09 Thomas, Michael NOS WR (R)
1.10 Boyd, Tyler CIN WR (R)
1.11 Carroo, Leonte MIA WR (R)
1.12 Booker, Devontae DEN RB (R)

First-Round Observations: No shock seeign Ezekel Elliott go at the 1.01. In fact, there is no reason you should ever see another player ever drafted at the 1.01 in any upcoming rookie-only draft. I’m not suggesting that a player can’t come out of nowhere and be this year’s David Johnson, but ADPs suggest you can get a TON via trade if you don’t want Elliott for whatever reason. I think the first three receivers going right after Elliott is par for the course, as Doctson, Treadwell and Coleman have the most upside after Elliott, but keep an eye on Kenneth Dixon (1.08) and Devontae Booker (1.12). Derek Henry was a big name player heading into the 2016 NFL Draft, but his situation behind DeMarco Murray is not an attractive one heading into the next couple of years.

The Rest…

Round One

2.01 Prosise, C.J. SEA RB (R)
2.02 Howard, Jordan CHI RB (R)
2.03 Goff, Jared RAM QB (R)
2.04 Perkins, Paul NYG RB (R)
2.05 Marshall, Keith WAS RB (R)
2.06 Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R)
2.07 Thomas, Mike RAM WR (R)
2.08 Williams, Jonathan BUF RB (R)
2.09 Mitchell, Malcolm NEP WR (R)
2.10 Hogan, Chris NEP WR
2.11 Hooper, Austin ATL TE (R)
2.12 Allen, Dwayne IND TE

Round One

3.01 Washington, DeAndre OAK RB (R)
3.02 Higbee, Tyler RAM TE (R)
3.03 Payton, Jordan CLE WR (R)
3.04 Drake, Kenyan MIA RB (R)
3.05 Miller, Braxton HOU WR (R)
3.06 Moore, Chris BAL WR (R)
3.07 Wentz, Carson PHI QB (R)
3.08 Cooper, Pharoh RAM WR (R)
3.09 Ervin, Tyler HOU RB (R)
3.10 Garrett, Keyarris CAR WR (R)
3.11 Smallwood, Wendell PHI RB (R)
3.12 Lynch, Paxton DEN QB (R)

Round One

4.01 Higgins, Rashard CLE WR (R)
4.02 Smelter, DeAndre SFO WR
4.03 Ferguson, Josh IND RB (R)
4.04 Heuerman, Jeff DEN TE
4.05 Collins, Alex SEA RB (R)
4.06 Listenbee, Kolby BUF WR (R)
4.07 Janis, Jeff GBP WR
4.08 Quick, Brian RAM WR
4.09 Peake, Charone NYJ WR (R)
4.10 Miller, Zach CHI TE
4.11 Sharpe, Tajae TEN WR (R)
4.12 Tucker, Justin BAL PK

March 2016 NFL Mock Draft

Below is our 2016 NFL Mock Draft, which also includes the combine times for the fantasy football skill positions.

Expect this mock to change a ton between now and Draft Day, and expect more rookie analysis to come!

2016 NFL Mock Draft

Updated: 3/16/2016

1 – Tennessee Titans: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
2 – Cleveland Browns: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State (4.77 forty)
3 – San Diego Chargers: Jalen Ramsey, S/CB, Florida State
4 – Dallas Cowboys: Joey Bosa, DE/OLB, Ohio State
5 – Jacksonville Jaguars: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
6 – Baltimore Ravens: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss (tba forty)
7 – San Francisco 49ers: Jared Goff, QB, California (4.82 forty)
8 – Miami Dolphins: Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida
9 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State
10 – New York Giants: DeForest Buckner, DE/DT, Oregon
11 – Chicago Bears: A’Shawn Robinson, DE/DT, Alabama
12 – New Orleans Saints: Leonard Floyd, DE/OLB, Georgia
13 – Philadelphia Eagles: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State (4.47 forty)
14 – Oakland Raiders: Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
15 – Los Angeles Rams: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
16 – Detroit Lions: Robert Nkemdiche, DE/DT, Ole Miss
17 – Atlanta Falcons: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU (4.50 forty)
18 – Indianapolis Colts: Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama (4.54 forty)
19 – Buffalo Bills: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
20 – New York Jets: Jaylon Smith, LB, Notre Dame
21 – Washington Redskins: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
22 – Houston Texans: Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State (tba forty)
23 – Minnesota Vikings: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor (tba forty)
24 – Cincinnati Bengals: Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
25 – Pittsburgh Steelers: Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
26 – Seattle Seahawks: Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
27 – Green Bay Packers: Noah Spence, OLB/DE/OLB, Kentucky
28 – Kansas City Chiefs: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
29 – Arizona Cardinals: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
30 – Denver Broncos: (4.87 forty)
31 – Carolina Panthers: Kevin Dodd, DE, ClemsonVadal Alexander, G, LSU
2.01 – Cleveland Browns: Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech

And the No. 1 overall pick in 2016 is….?

Now that the off-season is here, it is time to discuss who is the leading candidate to be the No. 1 overall pick in August of 2016. If you had to draft today, who would you select with the first overall pick in a 2016 fantasy football draft? Here are the top options in order of who we’d roll with.

1.01 – Todd Gurley (STL/RB): Honestly, it’s hard to argue against any of the players below, and any of the players listed below might be in the discussion for the No. 1 overall pick come August, 2016. Still, Gurley showed flashes of the kind of runner that can have those occasional 2-3TD games, and those 150+ rushing performances. He is so dynamic, and he should only get better, stronger (from his ACL recovery) heading into this upcoming year.

1.02 – LeVeon Bell (PIT/RB): His health (PCL/MCL surgery) this off-season will steer his value, but having to guess now, we think it’s pretty safe to say he will be good to go for 2016. When healthy and on the field, Bell can be just as good as Gurley. Last year’s injury (MCL/PCL) is the only reason he isn’t tied for the 1.01.

1.03 – Antonio Brown (PIT/WR): As we said above, a case can be made for Brown going 1.01, especially in PPR. This is personal preference. If you’re a good running back draft, like in middle rounds, then you might lean Brown at 1.01. If you tend to struggle during years where you try going cheap at RB, then you might consider both Gurley and Bell before you consider the top receiver… there are no bad picks in this top 6 overall.

1.04 – Julio Jones (ATL/WR): Everything just said above under Antonio Brown can be said here.

1.05 – Devonta Freeman (ATL/WR): A case can be made that there is a lot of risk here, but a case can also be made that he is the No. 1 overall pick. Because of the risk, he falls near the bottom of this group of six, but again, that’s not a bad thing, as this group of six is all 1.01 worthy.

1.06 – DeAndre Hopkins (HOU/WR): He proved this year he can outscore any WR on any given Sunday. His QB situation isn’t as strong as any of the WRs above, which is the only reason he isn’t right up there with both Brown and Jones.

2016 Fantasy Football Mock Draft

Below is a 2016 fantasy football mock draft based on a ppr format; it’s based on redraft. Things will change quickly as the off-season moves along, but this is as of early January 2016, so enjoy.

Round One

1.01 – todd gurley
1.02 – antonio brown
1.03 – julio jones
1.04 – deandre hopkins
1.05 – le’veon bell
1.06 – adrian peterson
1.07 – odell beckham jr.
1.08 – rob gronkowski
1.09 – devonta freeman
1.10 – dez bryant
1.11 – aj green
1.12 – demaryius thomas

Analysis: Todd Gurley, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, LeVeon Bell and DeAndre Hopkins all deserve considerations for the 1.01 heading into 2016. You almost can’t go wrong with any of those names at the top spot, but even the next 3-4 names after that can be argued. This is a deep top 10 overall this upcoming season. The elite every-down rushers are not deep, however, as you are looking at Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, Devonta Freeman and LeVeon Bell (in no particular order) as the elite of the elite. Then, past those four, you have very capable rushers in Matt Forte and LeSean McCoy, and even Doug Martin, David Johnson, DeMarco Murray and Jamaal Charles, but that second group I just listed off is a tier below that top crew. So, the question is, is RB more valuable than ever because of this, or less? That will debated all off-season long!

Round Two

2.01 – matt forte
2.02 – lesean mccoy
2.03 – doug martin
2.04 – demarco murray
2.05 – jamaal charles
2.06 – david johnson
2.07 – aaron rodgers
2.08 – tom brady
2.09 – andrew luck
2.10 – drew brees
2.11 – amari cooper
2.12 – allen robinson

Analysis: This entire round is loaded with high-upside, but also lots of risk. This round is nowhere near as secure-looking as the first-round.

Round Three

3.01 – alshon jeffery
3.02 – mike evans
3.03 – russell wilson
3.04 – blake bortles
3.05 – cam newton
3.06 – keenan allen
3.07 – brandon marshall
3.08 – doug baldwin
3.09 – jeremy langford
3.10 – brandin cooks
3.11 – marshawn lynch
3.12 – eddie lacy

Analysis: If QBs like Luck, Brady, Brees or Rodgers fall into this round, they have great value, as they still have top 10 overall upside in fantasy (despite some of those passers struggling/getting hurt in 2015).

Round Four

4.01 – mark ingram
4.02 – jordan matthews
4.03 – randall cobb
4.04 – calvin johnson
4.05 – jarvis landry
4.06 – sammy watkins
4.07 – martavis bryant
4.08 – josh gordon
4.09 – jordy nelson
4.10 – thomas rawls
4.11 – emmanual sanders
4.12 – greg olsen

Analysis: Players like Thomas Rawls, Josh Gordon and Sammy Watkins all have big-time upside at this value, as they can all be top 10 at their position, yet you can buy them low-risk right here.

More Players Worth Considering: carlos hyde, lamar miller, allen hurns, latavius murray, jeremy hill, chris ivory, jordan reed, gary barnidge, carson palmer, ben roethlisberger, kirk cousins, derek carr, travis kelce, tyler eifert, delanie walker, arian foster, stefon diggs
michael floyd, ty hilton, tony romo, julius thomas, marcus mariota, jameis winston, larry fitzgerald, julian edelman, darren mcfadden, tj yeldon

2016 RB Rankings

Below are our early 2016 RB Rankings (cheat sheet)… it’s never too early to start ranking the 2016 fantasy football running backs.

Sort by: QB | RB | WR | TE

Running Backs | 2016

Updated: 1/3/2016

Top 12

1. todd gurley
2. devonta freeman
3. le’veon bell
4. adrian peterson
5. matt forte
6. lesean mccoy
7. jamaal charles
8. doug martin
9. david johnson
10. demarco murray
11. jeremy langford
12. marshawn lynch

The Rest

eddie lacy
mark ingram
thomas rawls
lamar miller
carlos hyde
chris ivory
latavius murray
jeremy hill
tj yeldon
arian foster
darren mcfadden
giovani bernard
justin forsett
melvin gordon
cj anderson
duke johnson
buck allen
charcandrick west
ronnie hillman
jonathan stewart
danny woodhead
matt jones
alfred morris
isaiah crowell
tevin coleman
jay ajayi
karlos williams
deangelo williams
ameer abdullah
dion lewis
shane vereen
rashad jennings
ryan mathews
alfred blue
andre ellington
frank gore
james starks
chris johnson
khiry robinson
christine michael
jerick mckinnon
chris polk
legarrette blount
bishop sankey
denard robinson
andre williams
darren sproles
theo riddick
cj spiller
chris thompson
brandon bolden
terrance west
james white
cameron artis-payne
mike gillislee
zach zenner
orleans darkwa
knile davis
charles sims

2016 TE Rankings

Below are our early 2016 TE Rankings (cheat sheet)… it’s never too early to start ranking the 2016 fantasy football tight ends.

Sort by: QB | RB | WR | TE

Tight Ends | 2016

Updated: 1/3/2016

Top 12

1. rob gronkowski
2. greg olsen
3. jordan reed
4. gary barnidge
5. travis kelce
6. tyler eifert
7. delanie walker
8. julius thomas
9. austin seferian-jenkins
10. jimmy graham
11. zach ertz
12. eric ebron

The Rest

kyle rudolph
jason witten
antonio gates
charles clay
jordan cameron
martellus bennett
ben watson
crockett gillmore
heath miller
zach miller
richard rodgers
ladarius green
maxx williams (R)
clive walford (R)
vernon davis
will tye
jacob tamme
larry donnell
coby fleener
dwayne allen
owen daniels
jared cook
josh hill
brent celek
scott chandler
mychal rivera
marcedes lewis
jace amaro
niles paul
jermaine gresham
gavin escobar
anthony fasano
lance kendricks
joseph fauria
brandon pettigrew
brandon myers

2016 WR Rankings

Below are our early 2016 WR Rankings (cheat sheet)… it’s never too early to start ranking the 2016 fantasy football wide receivers.

Sort by: QB | RB | WR | TE

Wide Receivers | 2016

Updated: 1/3/2016

Top 12

1. antonio brown
2. julio jones
3. deandre hopkins
4. odell beckham jr.
5. dez bryant
6. aj green
7. demaryius thomas
8. allen robinson
9. alshon jeffery
10. mike evans
11. amari cooper
12. brandon marshall

The Rest

keenan allen
doug baldwin
brandin cooks
randall cobb
calvin johnson
jarvis landry
sammy watkins
josh gordon
martavis bryant
jordy nelson
emmanual sanders
jordan matthews
allen hurns
stefon diggs
michael floyd
ty hilton
larry fitzgerald
julian edelman
steve smith sr.
john brown
tyler lockette
kelvin benjamin
golden tate
davante parker
jeremy maclin
donte moncrief
kevin white
eric decker
brian hartline
davante adams
kamar aiken
brian quick
devin funchess
vincent jackson
kendall wright
danny amendola
nelson agholor
willie snead
dorial green-beckham
pierre garcon
mohamed sanu
rueben randle
michael crabtree
desean jackson
torrey smith
roddy white
phillip dorsett
nate washington
brandon lafell
justin blackmon
marvin jones
james jones
mike wallace
percy harvin
tavon austin
andre johnson
marques colston
jeff janis
brandon coleman
breshad perriman
malcom floyd
jermaine kearse
justin hunter
cole beasley
anquan boldin
eddie royal
marquees wilson
robert woods
markus wheaton
cecil shorts
kenny stills
cordarrelle patterson
kenny britt
dwayne harris
josh huff
darrius heyward-bey
terrance williams
charles johnson
stevie johnson
rishard matthews
leonard hankerson
andrew hawkins
dexter mccluster
lance moore
victor cruz
harry douglas
riley cooper
rashad greene
dwayne bowe
marquise lee
stedman bailey
marquise goodwin
paul richardson
cody latimer
devin smith
sammie coates
jaelen strong
rod streater
donnie avery
brandon gibson
andre caldwell
aaron dobson
nick toon
chris conley
albert wilson
andre roberts