Archive for breakouts

Tight Ends Sleepers for 2016

Below you will find a list of 2016 Tight End Sleepers for 2016.

Zach Ertz (TE/PHI)

Chip Kelly held Zach Ertz back a ton in Philly. He did the same to Jordan Matthews. We should see more productive players this year in terms of both of those guys. Ertz has very good TD upside. His TE ADP nears the 10 range, so don’t reach much past that, as he isn’t a sure bet… he is just a nice bet at that 10ish range for TEs for 2016.

Coby Fleener (TE/NO)

His current ADP for tight ends is around the 7-10 range, and with Drew Brees now tossing him the rock, he should have a big season in New Orleans. We would say don’t grab him earlier than you have to, though, but 7-12 for TEs is a great spot. Back him up nicely, though, just in case the transition to NO isn’t a smooth one.

Other TE Sleepers

  • Dwayne Allen (TE/IND)
  • Eric Ebron (TE/DET)
  • Jimmy Graham (TE/SEA)
  • Jordan Cameron (TE/MIA)
  • Richard Rodgers (TE/GB)

Deep Sleepers: May

There are a ton of deep sleepers to target in 2016 fantasy football drafts, and this article will just touch on a few. We will provide more and more names as we near August, so stay tuned for future versions of this column.

Devontae Booker (RB/DEN)

CJ Anderson might have the starting job locked up in Denver, as he was signed to a huge off-season contract, but don’t sleep on Devontae Booker, a Devonta Freeman type rusher with a ton of determination. He has made it public that he plans to attack the starting gig, and he has the skill set to do it. Anderson isn’t the most secure RB1 in fantasy football, and his ADP is falling despite his huge contract and placement in that lineup. I think people fear that he isn’t for real, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that people aren’t still sleeping on Booker. They are. Take advantage and draft him as a stash type rusher.

Wendell Smallwood (RB/PHI)

Ryan Mathews and aging Darren Sproles are the only thing standing in the way of Smallwood, a runner that could easily be one of the bigger rookie running back surprises in 2016. He may not develop, so it’s important not to reach too high to grab him, but his ADP is in the crazy-low range where he isn’t even showing up in the top 100 of redraft ADPs. He has monster upside with no risk.

Top 10 Fantasy Football TEs for 2016!

Who are the Top 10 Fantasy Football Tight Ends for 2016? This list will change fast, and there are a number of players that ‘just missed the cut’, so know that those players are below (and many are worthy).

Top 10 TEs for 2016

1. Rob Gronkowski – There isn’t anything to argue here, as Gronk stands as the only fantasy football tight end even close to worthy of a first-round pick. If healthy, there is no reason to think Gronk won’t post at least 70-80 receptions fro 1,150-1,200 yards and 10-14TDs.

2. Greg Olsen – He is turning 31 here in March, but he just posted back-to-back 1,000-yard, 6TD seasons. He has never pulled in double-digit touchdowns during his nine seasons, so he doesn’t sniff Gronk’s No. 1 overall TE ranking, but he easily rivals anyone for the second spot. Others command consideration, like Jordan Reed, sure, but Olsen is a high-end TE1 in 2016 and maybe 2017… then we need to consider a slight decline.

3. Jordan Reed – Injuries are always a concern with Reed, as he has never played more than 14 games in his three NFL seasons (9, 11, 14 and in that order). Still, his 87 receptions for 952 and 11TDs last year is proof this kid is top 2-5 worthy for the long-term (especially if Kirk Cousins gets locked up by Washington).

4. Travis Kelce – Easily top 2-5TE upside. To be honest, he disappointed a bit in 2015, as I expected a bigger jump from his rookie season, but his first two years are pretty solid: 64/862/5TDs and 72/875/5TDs… I think that he can make that leap this year and could drop something along the lines of 70+ receptions for 900-950 yards and something close to 8-10TDs.

5. Gary Barnidge – What a breakout season last year, as the TE pulled in 79 receptions for 1,043 yards and 9TDs. He did that with a mess at the QB position, so that gives hope for consistency. However, keep in mind that he turns 31 in September, so his dynasty value has a touch of concern. Sell high in dynasty, draft as a top 3-6TE in redraft!

6. Tyler Eifert – Like Kelce, this guy could take a big step forward this year. He enters his fourth season and just dropped 52/615/13TDs in 2015. I think 8-10TDs is what one should count on, or hope for, in 2016, but any dip in TDs will be made up by receptions and yards, and I think 65 receptions for 750-800 yards sounds about right. Breakout!

7. Delanie Walker – The guy turns 32 this year, which is a bummer, because he never got things going (or had a passer that targeted him enough) until now. He dropped 94 receptions for 1,088 yards and 6TDs in 2016. In dynasty, I sell high, but in redraft, I think he drops 75-80 receptions for 900 or so yards and 5-6TDs.

8. Zach Ertz – Chip Kelly really slowed his growth. He was a breakout of Smitty’s two years ago, but Chip Kelly refused to use him (and use him down field). He showed signs of life near the end of last season with Kelly out the door… If any TE past the top 5-6 have top 3-5 upside, it’s Ertz.

9. Austin Seferian-jenkins – Big upside, but he has to stay healthy.

10. Julius Thomas – Tough to count on, but big talent.

Just missed the cut: Martellus Bennett, Jimmy Graham, Eric Ebron, Jason Witten, Antonio Gates, Charles Clay, Jordan Cameron, Ben Watson, Heath Miller

2016 Fantasy Football Mock Draft

Below is a 2016 fantasy football mock draft based on a ppr format; it’s based on redraft. Things will change quickly as the off-season moves along, but this is as of early January 2016, so enjoy.

Round One

1.01 – todd gurley
1.02 – antonio brown
1.03 – julio jones
1.04 – deandre hopkins
1.05 – le’veon bell
1.06 – adrian peterson
1.07 – odell beckham jr.
1.08 – rob gronkowski
1.09 – devonta freeman
1.10 – dez bryant
1.11 – aj green
1.12 – demaryius thomas

Analysis: Todd Gurley, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, LeVeon Bell and DeAndre Hopkins all deserve considerations for the 1.01 heading into 2016. You almost can’t go wrong with any of those names at the top spot, but even the next 3-4 names after that can be argued. This is a deep top 10 overall this upcoming season. The elite every-down rushers are not deep, however, as you are looking at Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, Devonta Freeman and LeVeon Bell (in no particular order) as the elite of the elite. Then, past those four, you have very capable rushers in Matt Forte and LeSean McCoy, and even Doug Martin, David Johnson, DeMarco Murray and Jamaal Charles, but that second group I just listed off is a tier below that top crew. So, the question is, is RB more valuable than ever because of this, or less? That will debated all off-season long!

Round Two

2.01 – matt forte
2.02 – lesean mccoy
2.03 – doug martin
2.04 – demarco murray
2.05 – jamaal charles
2.06 – david johnson
2.07 – aaron rodgers
2.08 – tom brady
2.09 – andrew luck
2.10 – drew brees
2.11 – amari cooper
2.12 – allen robinson

Analysis: This entire round is loaded with high-upside, but also lots of risk. This round is nowhere near as secure-looking as the first-round.

Round Three

3.01 – alshon jeffery
3.02 – mike evans
3.03 – russell wilson
3.04 – blake bortles
3.05 – cam newton
3.06 – keenan allen
3.07 – brandon marshall
3.08 – doug baldwin
3.09 – jeremy langford
3.10 – brandin cooks
3.11 – marshawn lynch
3.12 – eddie lacy

Analysis: If QBs like Luck, Brady, Brees or Rodgers fall into this round, they have great value, as they still have top 10 overall upside in fantasy (despite some of those passers struggling/getting hurt in 2015).

Round Four

4.01 – mark ingram
4.02 – jordan matthews
4.03 – randall cobb
4.04 – calvin johnson
4.05 – jarvis landry
4.06 – sammy watkins
4.07 – martavis bryant
4.08 – josh gordon
4.09 – jordy nelson
4.10 – thomas rawls
4.11 – emmanual sanders
4.12 – greg olsen

Analysis: Players like Thomas Rawls, Josh Gordon and Sammy Watkins all have big-time upside at this value, as they can all be top 10 at their position, yet you can buy them low-risk right here.

More Players Worth Considering: carlos hyde, lamar miller, allen hurns, latavius murray, jeremy hill, chris ivory, jordan reed, gary barnidge, carson palmer, ben roethlisberger, kirk cousins, derek carr, travis kelce, tyler eifert, delanie walker, arian foster, stefon diggs
michael floyd, ty hilton, tony romo, julius thomas, marcus mariota, jameis winston, larry fitzgerald, julian edelman, darren mcfadden, tj yeldon

Radio: 2016 Running Backs!!! Russ and Smitty Talk Dynasty.

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Take a listen to Russ Bliss and Smitty talk 2016 Fantasy Football Running Backs. Looking for 2016 dynasty fantasy football talk? This is the radio show you’re looking for!

Listen To Show

Sunday Morning Breaking News (Week 14)

Below is our Breaking News Wire for Week 14. Check back all morning long, and stay tuned to our Smart Alerts as well, as news can often break last-minute!


NEWS: According to reports, Browns TE Travis Benjamin (shoulder) and TE Gary Barnidge (ankle) are both expected to start Week 14 on Sunday.

FANTASY: Johnny Manziel loves Travis Benjamin, so as long as he remains a go, he is a strong WR this week.


NEWS: According to reports, Chargers QB Philip Rivers (flu) is expected to start Week 13 against KC.

FANTASY: “Expected” is the keyword here, so play this with caution, especially given the QB has lost so many weapons this year. Check back, but for now, he is ‘expected’ to play.


NEWS: NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has reported that NE TE Rob Gronkowski (knee) will be ready “if needed” for Sunday’s Week 14 game against the Texans.

FANTASY: This went from him not looking likely to play, to looking very likely given that he made the flight with the team… now, he could be ready on an emergency basis, or decoy. This will be a game-time call, so keep checking back on this one!


NEWS: According to reports, Packers RB Eddie Lacy will be the Packers’ top runner on Sunday against the Cowboys.

FANTASY: Last week was a disaster, after Lacy missed curfew and killed fantasy owners in unexpected fashion. This week, he should be considered a RB2 with high upside, but also a touch of risk.


NEWS: According to Rotoworld, NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport is reporting that the Eagles have “weighed all options” in regards to RB DeMarco Murray including benching him, and the team has already announced that Darren Sproles will be the feature back in Week 14.

FANTASY: Murray owners have had enough, and hopefully most of you own Sproles. Sproles is a very solid flex play this week (with upside for more), while Murray, right now, is looking like a “hopefully something changes in his favor next season” type of player.


NEWS: According to reports, Ravens QB Matt Schaub (questionable, chest) is not expected to play Week 14 on Sunday.

FANTASY: Jimmy Clausen will likely start against Seattle in Week 14.


NEWS: Ravens TE Crockett Gillmore (back) is doubtful for Week 14 against the Seahawks.

FANTASY: If we hear more, we will let you know!


Sunday Morning Breaking News (Week 12)

Below is our Breaking News Wire for Week 12. Check back all morning long, and stay tuned to our Smart Alerts as well, as news can often break last-minute!


NEWS: Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch is inactive for Week 12.

FANTASY: Get ready for the Thomas Rawls show! Rawls is a low-end RB1 moving forward with Lynch out.


NEWS: 49ers declared Carlos Hyde (foot) inactive for Week 12.

FANTASY: Shaun Draughn will start in his place. Hyde’s return timetable is unknown.


NEWS: Cardinals WR Michael Floyd is active for Week 12.

FANTASY: He has been playing well, but is tough to start outside of being a WR3/flex play.


NEWS: Bengals RB Jeremy Hill left Week 12 game against the Rams with an ankle injury.

FANTASY: He is questionable to return. We will keep you posted.


NEWS: According to Rotoworld, Falcons RB Devonta Freeman (concussion, out) was seen running with the Falcons’ inactive players prior to Sunday’s Week 12 game against the Vikings.

FANTASY: This is great news for his Week 13 availability, but Tevin Coleman is still expected to start Week 12. Stay tuned just in case something has changed, but last we heard, Freeman was ruled out and Coleman will start (and be a fine RB2).


NEWS: According to reports, there could be 1-3 inches of snow during Sunday’s Week 12 game between the Patriots and Broncos.

FANTASY: It’s tough to ever sit Tom Brady, so don’t unless your alternative is just plain awesome. He is without Danny Amendola (knee), Julian Edelman (foot) and he is playing Denver. But, he is Tom Brady.


NEWS: Accordindg to Rotoworld, ESPN’s Bob Holtzman has said that it “would be surprised” if Charcandrick West (hamstring, questionable) played in Week 12’s Sunday battle against the Bills. Travis Kelce (ankle, questionable) is expected to play in this one.

FANTASY: Spencer Ware is expected to start, and Knile Davis could see some action. Stay tuned just in case something changes, though.


NEWS: Falcons RB Devonta Freeman (concussion) has been ruled out for Week 12 against the Vikings.

FANTASY: Tevin Coleman will start Week 12 and will be backed up by Terron Ward. Coleman is a legit RB2 this week and could get 18+ carries.


NEWS: According to reports, Patriots WR Danny Amendola (knee) is not expected to travel with the team to Denver.

FANTASY: Check back with us on this one, but he doesn’t appear to be a go for Week 12.


NEWS: ESPN’s Adam Schefter has confirmed that Rams QB Nick Foles is expected to start Week 12.

FANTASY: Looks like Case Keenum couldn’t get through the concussion protocol.


Week 12 Waiver Wire Grabs

smitty staff

The Top Dogs To Add For Week 12

Thomas Rawls, RB Seahawks – With Marshawn Lynch extremely questionable for Week 12, Thomas Rawls could be one of the biggest pickups of the year, as he just ran for 200 rushing yards and scored 2TDs in Week 11. He is setup to be a monster sleeper the rest of the way, even if Lynch is able to return soon. Seattle might want to see what they have in Rawls and start him in 2016. Grab this kid in redraft without hesitation, and jump through the roof if he is available somehow in dynasty.
Javorious “Buck” Allen, RB Ravens – With Justin Forsett (broken arm) out for the year, next man up, and Buck Allen is a good rusher.

More Week 12 Adds

James White, RB Patriots
Crockett Gillmore, TE Ravens
Tyler Lockett, WR Seahawks
Brandon LaFell, WR Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB Colts
Shaun Draughn, RB 49ers
Spencer Ware, RB Chiefs

Note: Not likely available in most leagues, but be sure to grab Tevin Coleman, just in case Devonta Freeman (concussion) isn’t ready for Week 12.

Sunday Morning Breaking News (Week 11)

Below is our STARTERS Breaking News Wire, which will provide live breaking news all Sunday morning. Keep checking back all morning long, as news often breaks last second, thus we can update the Analyzers multiple times per hour, sometimes 2-3 times within the last 20 minutes!


NEWS: Bears WR Alshon Jeffery (shoulder, groin) is inactive for Week 11 against Denver.

FANTASY: This is horrible news for Jay Cutler and of course Jeffery owners. Get ready for a big dose of Jeremy Langford.


NEWS: Cowboys RB Darren McFadden (groin) is active for Week 11 against Miami.

FANTASY: Most reports suggest he will be close to being without limitation, but it’s tough to know how healthy he is. Turbin is expected to be the backup, but it’s also a guessing game as to how fast he has picked up the offense. It sounds like McFadden is a go, and the matchup is awesome.


NEWS: Bucs WR Vincent Jackson is active for Week 11 against Philly.

FANTASY: There was debate whether or not he’d be active in this one. He is risky given he was very questionable for this one, but get on our forums if you have a dilemma between VJax and someone else. If starting and healthy, he is always a decent play. The question is, is he healthy?


NEWS: The Eagles declared RB Ryan Mathews, QB Sam Bradford inactive for Week 11 against Tampa.

FANTASY: Get ready for a ton of DeMarco Murray. Even Darren Sproles could have relevance in this one now.


NEWS: Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders and Broncos QB Peyton Manning are inactive for Week 11.

FANTASY: Demaryius Thomas should be in for more targets than usual, and Owen Daniels is a solid start, and look for Cody Latimer to get some good run if in desperate need at WR3/4.


NEWS: Panthers WR Corey Brownis inactive for Week 11 against Washington.

FANTASY: Devin Funchess could have a bigger game than usual and is a solid WR3 start this week.


NEWS: Chargers WR Dontrelle Inman will be San Diego’s #2WR in Week 11.

FANTASY: It looks like it’s just Inman and Stevie Johnson at the WR position. Inman is worth a grab in deeper leagues, especially if you are in need this week. Same goes for Stevie.


NEWS: Cowboys QB Tony Romo has been activated off of the injured reserve-designated to return list.

FANTASY: Welcome back, Tony, who will start against the Dolphins in Week 11, which is fantastic news for Dez Bryant and Jason Witten owners.


NEWS: Bills RB Karlos Williams (illness) is no longer on the Week 11 injury report.

FANTASY: The runner could reach double-digit points even playing behind starter LeSean McCoy on Monday night. McCoy is still a RB1, though, don’t let Williams’ solid play and occasional play scare you off on ranking McCoy as a RB1 for as long as he is healthy. His health is a concern, though, so if you own McCoy and do not own Karlos, be sure to try and trade for him last minute in case McCoy gets hurt in Week 11! If McCoy makes it out of Week 11 ok, even more of a reason to go get Karlos on the cheap! You need both!


NEWS: According to reports, Dallas RB Darren McFadden (questionable, groin) could see a reduction in carries in Week 11.

FANTASY: Robert Turbin is likely to be McFadden’s most valuable backup, and then Rod Smith is next in line. It’s a guessing game, though, as we just can’t predict if Turbin will be up to speed in time for this one, so know that both runners, Turbin and Smith, are must-haves if McFadden is a stater for your team. It’s tough cuffing two players to one, but it’s kind of a must until we see Turbin settle into that backup role. With McFadden’s injury history, we strongly believe one of Turbin/Smith will start some games this year… both should be owned in all leagues given that upside!


NEWS: Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch (abdomen) is “questionable” for Week 11, but early reports are leaning in the direction of Lynch playing in Week 11.

FANTASY: Keep tabs on this by staying on this article and our Smart Alerts. For now, he looks like a go, but setbacks happen in warmups. Stay tuned!


Week 11 Waiver Wire Adds

smitty staff

Ok, folks, so we are heading into Week 11, which is often the time where injuries have hit your teams pretty hard, or some players have totally busted and you’re in need. Here are the top Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 11.

Not Likely Available, But Check!

Matt Jones – Not likely available, as he was a breakout bold prediction for us. He has been slow getting going, and spotty at times, but he looked beast-mode like on Sunday. Let’s hope he gets starter touches moving forward!
Tevin Coleman – Just in case Freeman gets hurt.

Solid!

Danny Amendola – With Julian Edelman likely out for the rest of the regular season, Danny Amendola instantly becomes a fantasy WR3 that has upside for much more. He is often injured, so curb expectations for sure, but he has nice upside for a waiver wire grab!

More Grabs

Jay Ajayi
James White
Thomas Rawls
David Cobb
Ahmad Bradshaw
Javorius “Buck” Allen
Jordan Todman
Chris Polk
Christine Michael
Ameer Abdullah
Brandon Bolden
Dexter McCluster