Archive for breakouts

Radio: Week 4 Show (Tues)

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Check out Russ Bliss’ Week 4 Radio Show, The Red Zone, where he and Smitty talk Week 4 injuries, trade advice, waiver wire advice and start bench advice.

Play Week 4 Show!

Radio: Week 3 Trade and Waiver Advice

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Check out Russ Bliss’ Week 3 Radio Show, The Red Zone, which can be heard below (and live every Tuesday and Wednesday on NBC Sports Radio 1060am). Checkout the entire Week 3 Tuesday show below, as Smitty and Russ Bliss talk injuries, trade advice, waiver wire advice and start bench advice.

Play Week 3 Show!

Radio: Full Fantasy Show from 9-6-16

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Take a listen to both Russ Bliss and Smitty as they discuss Sleepers, Breakouts, Trade Advice, Start Bench Advice and more heading into the 2016 fantasy football season.

Play Entire Show

Radio: Dak Prescott to breakout in 2016?

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Take a listen/watch both Russ Bliss and Smitty talk up Dak Prescott heading into the 2016 fantasy football season. Is Dak Prescott set to breakout?

Video: Fantasy Draft Prep Show

Below is our 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Prep Video Show, a video show created from Starters’ recent Red Zone 1060am NBC Sports Radio fantasy football show.

RB Analysis (32-Team Breakdown)

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Below you will find my take on the 32 running back situations heading into the 2016 fantasy football season!

AFC

BUF: LeSean McCoy RB – The clear starter and potential a top 5-10RB in 2016. Just be sure to handcuff him to Mike Gillislee.

MIA: Arian Foster RB – He should have a nice season per start, but will he start many games, or will he get hurt fast? He should be handcuffed to Jay Ajayi

NE: LeGarrette Blount RB – The early favorite for starter carries with Dion Lewis likely to miss at least 8 weeks. James White and Tyler Gaffney command consideration, as this is NE, anyone could be starting by Week 5.

NYJ: Matt Forte RB – He is 30, and Bilal Powell is kind of a threat, but Forte has a good situation and could be one of this year’s “I shouldn’t have written him off yet as a RB1” type calls.

BAL: RB – While the early favorite to start, Buck Allen, Terrance West and Kenneth Dixon (injured, could miss several weeks) make this a cloudy situation, and one to avoid unless the value is right/low-risk.

CIN: Jeremy Hill RB – This is one undervalued RB that could play like a low-end RB1 this year. Gio Bernard is a solid flex grab all on his own, but a must-own for all Hill owners. Gio would thrive if forced to start, keep that in mind.

CLE: Isaiah Crowell RB – Looking like the clear starter, Crowell has one of the most talented backups in the league right behind him in Duke Johnson (who caught 60 balls for 500+ yards last year in a non-starting role. Imagine him starting and getting the rushes! Duke is the long-term bet come mid-season.

PIT: LeVeon Bell RB – He will miss three games, but he is still a top 7-10 overall pick in redraft. DeAngelo Williams is a must-own and will play like a low-end RB1 in Weeks 1-3.

HOU: Lamar Miller RB – Get ready for a top 5-10RB season!

IND: Frank Gore RB – He is old and injury is always a worry, but rookie Josh Ferguson is not impressing (yet), and Robert Turbin and Jordan Todman are the only other RBs that could steal carries. Todman is talented, but I’m not so sure the team would turn to him (at least right away) if Gore got hurt.

JAC: T.J. Yeldon RB – He’s the back to own if forced to pick between he and co-starter Chris Ivory, however, with Ivory looking like the goal line guy, this is a RBBC to avoid until one becomes the clear starter, which might only happen with injury.

TEN: DeMarco Murray RB – Derrick Henry looks good, and he would thrive starting, but Murray is the main guy and will have a great season if he stays healthy. He’s a sneaky-good RB2 this year, as somehow people are valuing him at lower value than that!

DEN: CJ Anderson RB – The clear starter, but both Devontae Booker and Ronnie Hillman could steal more touches than people think by 3-4 weeks into the season. Booker has the home upside of all the DEN rushers.

KC: Jamaal Charles RB – A top 5-10RB this year according to must, but he MUST be handcuffed to both Spencer Ware/C-West, and owning just the duo backups is often a great strategy to use!

OAK: Latavius Murray RB – The clear starter, but as the season moves along, DeAndre Washington could start making it tough for the Raiders to give Murray all the carries. Murray has the talent, but he needs to step up.

SD: Melvin Gordon RB – Breakout season coming!

NFC

DAL: Ezekiel Elliott RB – He could hit a rookie wall near Weeks 10-11, and that would be a great time to laterally trade in redraft… keep that in mind. But, he has a great situation, and he can be a top 4-8RB in 2016 when all is said and done!

NYG: Rashad Jennings RB – The clear starter, but Shane Vereen will pull in a lot of passes and will cut into the receptions that could be going to Jennings.

PHI: Ryan Mathews RB – He is the clear starter as of now, but staying healthy could be tough for the RB. Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood would fight for carries if Mathews went down.

WAS: Matt Jones RB – Banged up now, he could return in Week 1 or soon after. Rob Kelley is a must-own and will likely start Week 1 if Jones isn’t ready for Week 1.

CHI: Jeremy Langford RB – A big time breakout candidate.

DET: Ameer Abdullah RB – He should breakout this year, but if he drops the ball early and often, look for Theo Riddick to be the guy to own. Interesting fact: Riddick pulled in 80 receptions last year.

GB: Eddie Lacy RB – Lots of bust potential here. James Starks is a must-own.

MIN: Adrian Peterson RB – He should have one more elite season left.

ATL: Devonta Freeman RB – So underrated it’s crazy! He was the top RB last year, and his so called ‘drop off’ was not something that should scare off anyone, as his ‘drop off’ was still an elite RB numbers wise. Tevin Coleman is a must-own.

CAR: Jonathan Stewart RB – Hard to trust the guy, but he is younger than Matt Forte if you can believe that. Cameron Artis-Payne is a must-own.

NO: Mark Ingram RB – A top 10RB if healthy.

TB: Doug Martin RB – Kind of an underrated top 7-10RB this year. Charles Sims is a must-own.

AZ: David Johnson RB – His coaches call him the best receiving back they’ve ever seen — A top 1-3RB season in the cards! Chris Johnson is a must-own.

STL: Todd Gurley RB – Double-digit TDs and 1,400 rushing yards is in the cards in 2016. He might turn out to be a much better WR than people are projecting, keep that in mind, too.

SF: Carlos Hyde RB – A breakout season on the way, he just needs to stay healthy!

SEA: Thomas Rawls RB – The starter, if healthy, but watch out for Christine Michael, who has nothing to lose. He also has tremendous talent. Michael could be a huge force if given starter carries!

Radio Show: Russ Bliss’ Redzone August 24th

Below is Russ Bliss’ Red Zone fantasy football show on August 24th, 2016. Russ talks about sleepers, breakouts, fantasy football 2016.


Play Show – August 24th, 2016

Revisiting the 2016 Rookies

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It’s the middle of August and a lot has changed over the last couple months, especially in terms of the 2016 rookies… it’s time to revisit the 2016 Rookie Class. Below I will rank the rookies, and provide commentary for certain players.

Note: These rankings are ranked with a dynasty/keeper frame of mind, but I provide commentary for both yearly leaguers and dynasty leaguers.

Top 10 Rookies

1. Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL – By far the 1.01 in 2016 in any rookie-only draft. He has top 6-10 overall value in all redraft leagues, which is super high for a rookie. He has that much appeal in DAL in 2016!
2. Corey Coleman WR CLE – This kid could be a top 10WR of the future. He is polished and NFL ready. He is my No. 2 overall in terms of rookies in dynasty.
2. Derrick Henry RB TEN – While I wonder how many years he can play at his highest level (at this size), he has fantastic upside for the next few years. DeMarco Murray is the starter in TEN, but if he gets hurt, Henry should thrive in 2016. Then I consider selling high at that point (if in dynasty).
3. Laquon Treadwell WR MIN – Lots of future appeal, but with Bridgewater tossing him the ball, I think Treadwell could be spotty and inconsistent in 2016, as he will naturally have ups and downs as a rookie, but he will also be limited when Bridgewater isn’t throwing a lot.
4. Kenneth Dixon RB BAL – This is my monster sleeper of this class, as I think he thrives if getting the carries. It’s a crowded backfield, though, so it’s tough to predict this situation. Just grab and stash in redraft, and get excited for the long-term.
5. Devontae Booker RB DEN – After Dixon, this is my next biggest sleeper rookie. He could be starting by mid-season, if not sooner. That’s not a lock, that’s a bold prediction, so draft/trade accordingly, don’t reach, as that would defeat the term ‘sleeper’ and all the upside that goes along with acquiring a sleeper.
6. Josh Doctson WR WAS – Nice long-term appeal and decent redraft appeal.
7. Sterling Shepard WR NYG – An exciting player that I want to get excited about, as everyone seems to be expecting so much out of this kid; however, if Odell Beckham is healthy, you have to wonder if many could be disappointed in 2016. He has nice long-term appeal, though.
8. Michael Thomas WR NO – Exciting receiver in a situation that could have him maturing fast.
9. Josh Ferguson RB IND – Nice sleeper potential in Indy.
10. Tyler Boyd WR CIN – Nice future and solid skill set.

The Rest

Will Fuller WR HOU
Wendell Smallwood RB PHI
DeAndre Washington RB OAK
Keith Marshall RB WAS
Alex Collins RB SEA
Pharoh Cooper WR LA
Leonte Carroo WR MIA
Paul Perkins RB NYG
C.J. Prosise RB SEA
Jordan Howard RB CHI
Kenyan Drake RB MIA
Jared Goff QB LA
Hunter Henry TE SD
Carson Wentz QB PHI
Jonathan Williams RB BUF
Tyler Ervin RB HOU
Braxton Miller WR HOU
Rashard Higgins WR CLE
Malcolm Mitchell WR NE
Paxton Lynch QB DEN

Dolphins Running Backs: The good, the Bad and the Decision

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On paper, Miami looks to have an impressive stable of running backs that
are capable of handling the three down duties in Gase’s offense, as the
Head Coach emphasizes his point’ not allow the defense time to adjust’.
Talking how ‘he is comfortable exploiting the horizontal aspect of the
field more than the vertical..’ ‘Get the ball out quick’ ‘hurry up’ ‘short
and intermediate passes’. That sounds like his M.O., it also provides a hint
into what we might be able to expect during this season, a continuation of
a dink and dunk approach. Realizing there is a ‘time and a place to get
your QB sacked 60 a year,’ I believe there to be plenty of opportunities
coming out of the Dolphins back field in 2016.

The Good

Arian Foster and Jay Ajayi both fit a scheme, Kenyan Drake,
the 3rd Round draft pick, brings the same attributes, and the Wild card I
like is the 3rd year Free Agent signee, Damien Williams. This offensive
approach was able to squeeze respectable numbers out of the running back
position. The 2013 Denver Bronco’s Knowshon Moreno had his most productive
season (1,038 on 241 attempts and another 60 receptions for 548 with 13
total touchdowns). In 2014, C.J Anderson was next up and produced his best
season with over 1,100 yards from scrimmage, 34 receptions and 10 TD’s.
His time Chicago gave him Matt Forte, though Forte was not lights out in
15, he only played 13 games, yet tallied over 1000 yards from scrimmage, 44
receptions and 7 total TD’s.
.

The Bad

Jay Ajayi gets the nod to start over Arian Foster. Foster is 31 years old and his myriad
of injuries may best be suited for spot duty. Still, Ajayi will need to be
playing lights out from the get go if he is going to keep Foster at bay.
This is looking like a time share.

My Projection

Jay Ajayi 173 attempts, 4TDs, 734 rushing yards, 21 receptions, 168 receiving yards, 2TDs
Arian Foster 142 attempts, 3TDs, 601 rushing yards, 34 receptions, 194 receiving yards, 2TDs

Bold prediction; mid-season waiver wire Gold: Daimen Williams.

The decision

Ajayi’s current ADP is sitting at #79 and Foster’s #83. Then looking at the QB prospects around the 7th and
8th rounds has me thinking of adjusting my draft strategy. Load up on RB’s,
WR’s through six. Not worry about Ajayi or Foster. Draft at the back of
the first, get the turnaround at 7th and 8th rds. We could conceivable
find any two of these QB combos sitting there. Brady, Bortles, Palmer,
Rivers and Eli. Tab Daimen Williams with my last pick 17th round stash.

No. 8 on the Upside Board is…

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