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Week 4 Buy Low / Sell High

smitty staff

In need of some Buy-Low/Sell-High candidates heading into Week 4 of the 2016 fantasy football season? Here are some names to both target and potentially sell-high.

Week 4: Buy-Low

Lamar Miller – With two mediocre Weeks in a row, some owners might be worried about Miller being a disappointment. Take advantage of this. Yes, he only rushed for 83 yards and only had 2 receptions for 14 yards and no TDs in Week 2, and 80 rushing yards, 4 receptions for 27 yards and 0TDs in Week 3, but he is the team’s workhorse, and I think a breakout is right around the corner. The time to buy low is now or never, and it sound like you can, at times, get the runner at near third-round value if we were to toss a price tag on him.

Amari Cooper – After dropping 6/137/0TDs in Week 1, Coop has only pulled in 5/71/0TDs and 4/62/0TDs since. I fully expect the receiver to be a top 4-7WR moving forward. For more on his dynasty value, checkout my SleeperU Dynasty Write-up on the guy!

Allen Robinson – Like Cooper, a slightly disappointing start has some current ARob owners on edge. Try and get him for almost third-round value if tossing a value on him. It can be done. Maybe not in every league, as some owners just don’t trade at all no matter what. But, I’ve seen him had for even less heading into this week!

Brandin Cooks – He exploded in Week 1 with 6/143/2TDs, but went quiet in Weeks 2 and 3. Well, he is Brees’ secret weapon this year, and Brees is on fire. I’m sorry, two dud weeks in a row don’t scare me off from wanting this guy in every league at what will likely be value outside of the top 25 if we were to draft today. Trade for him at that value!

Week 4: Sell-High

Christine Michael (RB/SEA) – I cannot stress this enough… DO NOT sell-low or assume my advising to sell CMichael high means I don’t believe in the guy. I love the guy, and I hope he continues to get starter carries. But, fantasy football is a business, and if your team is hurting and you need wins, sometimes selling high allows you to repair and built back a disappointing team. See what you can get. Buy low on an an Allen Robinson if you need a WR, or go get an Amari Cooper. Those are just two examples.

Carlos Hyde (RB/SF) – I love his skill set, but staying healthy is a concern. So, I am NOT predicting injury or bust, I’m merely pointing out that his value is high and he is a good person to trade if you need to move pieces around to get wins.

Eddie Lacy (RB/GB) – He could continue to get carries, but selling high is just plain smart given Lacy has disappointed fantasy owners so many times in the past. And, with his still-heavy weight, injury is more likely than when he was a touch slimmer. Trade high!

Radio: Week 4 Show (Tues)

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Check out Russ Bliss’ Week 4 Radio Show, The Red Zone, where he and Smitty talk Week 4 injuries, trade advice, waiver wire advice and start bench advice.

Play Week 4 Show!

Week 4 Adds

Below are just a few names to grab off the waiver wire heading into Week 3. Of course, make sure guys like Dak Prescott, Christine Michael and Josh Gordon (due back from his suspension in Week 5) aren’t available, for instance if you play in a very small league.

Updated: 9/27/16

Jordan Howard (RB/CHI) could start for 4-6 weeks With Jeremy Langford (ankle) likely out that long with the ankle injury. Howard, who is 6-0, 222 pounds, is the top pick up at this point given the new 4-6 week Langford timetable.

Davante Adams (WR/GB) could be set to produce consistent WR3/4 type numbers moving forward, as he found the end zone in Week 3.

Jamison Crowder (WR/WAS) – He pulled in 4/78/1TD in Week 3 and really is a player WAS counts on. He could be a fine WR3/4 in larger leagues moving forward.

Terrell Pryor (WR/CLE) – He pulled in 8 receptions for 144 yards, but also threw for 35 yards and ran for 21 yards and 1TD. He lines up in the wild cat formation and rotates at QB. Expect this to continue until Josh McCown returns (potentially returning in a couple weeks) and expect Pryor to be a sneaky WR3/4 moving forward.

Trevor Siemian (QB/DEN) – While he wont do what he did in Week 3 every week, which was 312 yards and 4TDs, he’s a fine backup QB in 2016, and a solid match-up start. Most of all, his solid play makes D-Thomas and E-Sanders owners smile, as their fantasy stock returns to form.

More Adds

Rob Kelley (RB/WAS)
Kenny Stills (WR/MIA)

Week 3 Buy Lows/Sell Highs

smitty staff

Ok, so we are already heading into Week 3 and many teams/owners have been hit hard by injuries. Maybe you lost Adrian Peterson? Maybe Doug Martin? How about Corey Coleman? Ok, well, let’s dig into a list of names that are good buy lows, and also a list of names that are good targets to sell off on the hight (maybe to get some of these buy lows). Here we go.

Buy Lows

Devonta Freeman (RB/ATL) – He comes with a boatload of risk and upside at this point. If you need a spark and are willing to take the risk that he shares carries all year, roll the dice!

Allen Robinson (WR/JAC) – The dude is elite and just waiting to drop a big game. Buy low while his owners worry he had a fluke of a season last year. He is easily a top 12 overall pick if drafting today.

Blake Bortles (QB/JAC) – Like ARob above, and their success is linked, I think breakout is near. Trade for both ARob and Bortles before they drop huge games this week or next week.

Amari Cooper (WR/OAK) – After a big week one, he had a disappointing Week 2, and for some reason that one single bad week already has many wondering if he has WR1-type ability. Really? This is a top 4-6 fantasy WR if you ask me, and I buy low any chance I get, even if this isn’t a huge, huge buy low (and more of a slight down tick in value).

Sell High

Philip Rivers (QB/SD) – I’ve seen two owners land Aaron Rodgers using Rivers already. After two weeks! See if you can get this kind of value for the passer (Rivers), who has lost both of his top two receiving options.

Cam Newton (QB/CAR) – I can’t stress this enough, but ONLY trade Newt if you are selling through the rough, and I’m talking an arm and a leg. And, only do this if you own Newt but have to make a move to stay in the mix. Meaning, your team is underperforming outside of Newt, or you were hit hard with injuries. This is the time to not consider him a bust, no, that’s not what selling high always means… it just means, in this case, you need to get two pieces for one, and the kind of deal I’d look to do is a Bortles/Landry or Bortles/McCoy… something like that is possible using Newt, and something like that could revive a season.

DeAngelo Williams (RB/CAR) – I almost say let it ride if you own DWill and cannot get awesome value. Keep in mind that Bell may struggle a bit coming back, maybe he even gets hurt trying to do too much too fast. It happens all the time. However, if you can sell high, and I mean for a strong starting piece for your lineup, consider the trade. Or, get crafty and at least trade for a stash in waiting, like Derrick Henry (as one example).

Matthew Stafford (QB/DET) – I don’t see Stafford continue to play at the level he is playing at, and I think he can be sold high to improve a team moving forward.

Matt Forte (RB/NYJ) – This is again one of those situations like Cam Newton above, don’t sell low or even at even value. Sell high or not at all. Forte is playing awesome, and he may continue that awesome play. But, if your team is in need, and only if it’s in need, consider selling high for two players. Just make sure it’s an awesome deal or hold tight!

Radio: Week 3 Trade and Waiver Advice

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Check out Russ Bliss’ Week 3 Radio Show, The Red Zone, which can be heard below (and live every Tuesday and Wednesday on NBC Sports Radio 1060am). Checkout the entire Week 3 Tuesday show below, as Smitty and Russ Bliss talk injuries, trade advice, waiver wire advice and start bench advice.

Play Week 3 Show!

Week 3 Waiver Wire

Players Not Likely Available

Make sure these guys aren’t sitting on waivers. If so, grab them ASAP!

Stefon Diggs (WR/MIN) – Top level WR3 moving forward, with upside for more!
Corey Coleman (WR/CLE) – With the QB situation a mess in CLE, it’s tough to say how consistent he will be, but a must own!

Available In Most Leagues

These players are far more likely to be available in fantasy leagues than the group above.

Travis Benjamin (WR/SD) – High upside as the team’s likely no. 1 moving forward!
Jerick McKinnon (RB/MIN) – Most own with AP on the mend for a while.
Charles Sims (RB/TB) – Martin is banged up and questionable for Week 3.
Tyrell Williams (WR/SD) – Benjamin might be better for 2016, but this kid has huge upside for the future, and nice WR3/4 value in fantasy moving forward.
Devontae Booker (RB/DEN) – Huge sleeper stash!
Kenyan Drake/Jay Ajayi (RBs/MIA) – RBBC mess in MIA!
Dennis Pitta (TE/BAL) – Solid numbers lately, but can he stay healthy?
Fozzy Whittaker/Cameron Artis Payne/Mike Tolbert (RBs/CAR) – Stewart could be out at least a week. Fozzy is the guy to own, for now. This could be a mess of a RBBC situation.
DeAndre Washington (RB/OAK) – Nice stash.

Radio: Week 2 fantasy talk

smitty staff

Listen to both Russ Bliss and Smitty talk Week 2 fantasy football on Russ’ Weekly Red Zone fantasy football radio show on NBC Sports Radio 1060am.

Listen to Week 2 Show

Week 2 Waiver Wire

smitty staff

Note: Spencer Ware is not likely available in most all leagues, but check, as the guy had 70 rushing and a score on the ground and over 100 receiving yards through the air in Week 1. He was also a breakout of ours this year, another reason he shouldn’t be available in your league. Ok, so here are the Week 2 Players to consider adding entering Week 2.

Week 2 Waiver Wire

  • Willie Snead – A strong WR3/4 player in fantasy moving forward; he pulled in 9-of-9 targets for 173 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 against the Raiders.
  • Mohamed Sanu – A strong WR3/4 player in fantasy moving forward; he pulled in 5-of-8 targets for 80 yards and a touchdown in Week 1.
  • Theo Riddick – Riddick rushed seven times for 45 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, and he also caught 5-of-5 targets for 63 yards and another touchdown. He has RB2 appeal in all PPR formats.
  • Chris Hogan – Not likely available in many leagues, it’s worth checking! He is the No. 2 in NE, and that means something, especially when Brady comes back from his suspension. In Week 1, Hogan grabbed 60 yards and a touchdown.
  • Carson Wentz – The Eagles QB has a bright future and makes for a solid add even in redraft.
  • Eli Rogers – The NO. 2 in PIT this year could spell a good WR3/4 season in fantasy!
  • Travis Benjamin – Keenan Allen is now out (ACL), so this guy is the team’s new No. 1 WR, and that makes him a solid WR3/4 moving forward.
  • Will Fuller – He caught 5 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 and should be owned as a WR3/4 moving forward.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 264 passing yards and one touchdown in Week 1 at Arizona. Until Brady returns, he is a solid backup passer in deep leagues.

More

  • Shane Vereen
  • Josh McCown
  • Quincy Enunwa
  • Anquan Boldin
  • Alfred Morris
  • Mike Wallace
  • Cole Beasley
  • Tyrell Williams

Radio: Full Fantasy Show from 9-6-16

smitty staff

Take a listen to both Russ Bliss and Smitty as they discuss Sleepers, Breakouts, Trade Advice, Start Bench Advice and more heading into the 2016 fantasy football season.

Play Entire Show

Radio: Dak Prescott to breakout in 2016?

smitty staff

Take a listen/watch both Russ Bliss and Smitty talk up Dak Prescott heading into the 2016 fantasy football season. Is Dak Prescott set to breakout?