It’s that time again, the dog days of summer are winding down and we begin mulling heavily over the pre-season rankings visualizing what we want our 2015 Fantasy Squad to look like. Of course, what we want it to look like and how it actually fills out is not always what we expected, then we begin to feel the on-set of an acute neurosis called P.D.S.D (Post-Draft-Stress Disorder). OK, let’s relax a second, breathe! This is where it starts and before we know it, we’ll be singing Auld Lang Syne., really, time flies this time of year!
The Key To Drafting
Here we go. Research is a key to not drafting a losing team, you can never start too early and you can never have too much information. Use ADP’s as a starting point, refer to mock drafts as another gauge. Fantasy football drafts are a fluid process and rarely go in the order we wish so be prepared divert from plan A,B and sometimes C, opportunities will be missed but could also be gained if prepared, I believe that is called luck, when preparation meets opportunity? I approach each draft with different philosophies though using the same method by collecting the historical scoring data from each league to create my sheets, in this case a PPR re-draft, I tier my positions up using the Value based method, grabbing the point totals from each position and average them out this provides a nice guide when determining if I take a RB or WR at this spot?
Instance; over the last three years in this league the #1 RB averaged 375 points the top WR 351 points, the #12 RB 218 points, #12 WR’s 263 points. If your picking up in the front of the draft the first 4 picks you should be able to net a 300 point RB, if you pick at the back end 1:12 and 2:01 the number 12 and 13 are looking solid to me and would strongly consider going WR/WR with the prospect collecting 520 points right there.
Other factors to watch are players coming off of injuries, if you draft an aged or oft-injured running back be sure to hand-cuff the backup, cover your BYE weeks. And, finally, though a few years back I fell victim to a Kaepernick, Gore, Bolden, 9er D team in the post season that won the it all, (I still haven’t turn the page on that one!), do not draft with your heart, though as previously noted there can be an exception to the rule, Packers fans, you should be alright this year!